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Daily Fantasy Football NFL DFS Picks: Landon’s Locks for Week 13

There are an abundance of tools at FantasyLabs to use for your NFL DFS lineups each week. Our most popular tools are our NFL Player Models, which house our NFL DFS projections from Sean Koerner.

You can use these projections in our models with our Lineup Builder to hand-build your lineups or use our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups for your NFL DFS tournaments.

In this article, we will go position by position, highlighting my favorite plays for both cash games and single-entry/three-max GPP contests. These plays are also viable in large field tournaments but do not focus on ownership percentages.

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NFL DFS Quarterback Picks 

Joe Burrow ($6,900 DraftKings, $8,300 FanDuel) Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Burrow checks in as the likely cash game chalk as a $1,400 discount off Patrick Mahomes. The Bengals rank third in the NFL in pass rate over expectation and should be getting superstar WR Ja’Marr Chase back for this game. In addition, this game has the highest total on the Week 13 main slate at a hefty 53 points, clearing Detroit/Jacksonville by two full points.

The Chiefs have faced the fifth most pass attempts in the NFL and rank 24th in DraftKings points allowed to opposing quarterbacks. The spot is pretty clean for Burrow, even more so if Joe Mixon sits, as they’d likely lean even more pass-heavy in that case. Either way, he is underpriced at just $6,900 and boasts both an elite floor and ceiling in what should be a shootout.


Trevor Lawrence ($5,900 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel) Jacksonville Jaguars Seahawks vs. Detroit Lions

If you prefer to pay down at quarterback, Lawrence is my preferred paydown, getting the slight nod over the other QB in this game — Jared Goff. Five of the six games played in Detroit this year have gone for 53, 58, 93, 63, and 73 points. The Lions rank dead last in DraftKings points allowed to quarterbacks.

Lawrence played the best game of his career last week against the Ravens, throwing for season-highs 321 yards and three touchdowns while reaching 28.9 DraftKings points in the process. He will likely not be as chalky as he should be simply due to Travis Etienne garnering a ton of ownership at running back. Regardless, this game environment could be the best on the slate and has a 51 total.

It doesn’t take much to score on this Lions defense, and it comes through the air rather than on the ground. T-Law is going to smash value here.

NFL DFS Running Back Picks

Josh Jacobs ($7,900 DraftKings, $9,500 FanDuel) Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Jacobs was left for dead after playing the first series of the Hall of Fame game this past August. It just goes to show that none of us know anything. He’s averaging 23.4 DraftKings points per game on the season, second to only Austin Ekeler.

Last week he had one of the greatest performances in NFL history, turning his 39 combined touches into 303 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns. Only eight players EVER have had more scrimmage yards in a game than Jacobs had against Seattle last week. Naturally, it feels like if you missed out on his huge game, you should absolutely not chase it this week at the highest price he’s been all season.

However, he is playing the Chargers. I could leave it at that, but just to illustrate how bad they’ve been against the run this year — they’ve allowed the ninth most rush attempts in the NFL but the second most rushing yards. They also rank dead last in yards per carry allowed and 30th in rush defense DVOA.

It’s a cupcake spot for Jacobs, who will remain the focal point of this Raiders offense in a game with a 49.5 total


Aaron Jones (6,900 DraftKings, $7,400 FanDuel) Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

The Bears, much like the Chargers have an all-time bad rush defense. Through 12 weeks, they’ve ceded the fifth-most rushing attempts, fourth-most rushing yards, sixth-highest yards per carry, and second-most rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs. That’s bad news considering all the Packers want to do is establish it.

Aaron Jones has looked great all season and, most specifically, has an elite pass-game role. He’s caught three or more passes in nine of the Packers’ 12 games this season. Despite Green Bay’s penchant for giving A.J. Dillon carries, this backfield still belongs to Jones, who is too cheap this week at just $6,900.

He basically got scripted out of the play the past couple of games, but the Packers are 5.5-point favorites in this spot, and with Aaron Rodgers pretty banged up, I’d expect Jones to see 20 touches in this spot. We’re at the point in the season where we know what defenses do well and what they don’t do well.

I don’t like overthinking too much, which means just play running backs against the Bears. Jones is going to find paydirt this week, you can take it to the bank.

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NFL DFS Wide Receiver Picks

Amon-Ra St. Brown ($7,100 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel) Detroit Lions vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

St. Brown finds himself in yet another good spot this week, as the Jaguars are allowing the 10th-highest yards per reception to wide receivers and have given up the fourth most receiving touchdowns on the year. ARSB is the engine of the Lions offense and has an absurd role that only guys like Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, and Justin Jefferson have, just he’s about $1500 cheaper than all those guys.

As mentioned, this is going to be an insane back and forth game environment, and the Lions have shown they really cannot move the ball well on offense if St. Brown is not the catalyst. The Sun God leads the NFL in targets per route run and is essentially locked into nine targets.

No need to overthink this one, as the Lions have a 26-point implied team total.


Christian Kirk ($6,300 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel) Jacksonville Jaguars @ Detroit Lions

Right on the other side of this game sits Christian Kirk, who is one of the best points-per-dollar wide receiver plays on the slate. He took a backseat to Zay Jones last week in the comeback win at Baltimore but is still the Jaguars leader in target share, targets per routes run, yards per route run, and air yards. The Lions have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing slot receivers in the NFL.

Kirk is too cheap for both his role, and game environment. He’s also tied for the second most pro trends at his position on the entire slate. If this game goes over the total, Kirk is gonna blast off.

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NFL DFS Tight End Picks

Harrison Bryant ($2,700 DraftKings, $4,700 FanDuel) Cleveland Browns @ Houston Texans

Man, there’s something about a $2,700 tight end that just gets the juices flowing. David Njoku has been ruled out with a knee injury, leaving Harry B to handle most of the Browns tight end duties. Njoku missed Weeks 8 and 10, and in those games, Bryant played 53-of-72 and 51-of-67 snaps, respectively.

The way to attack Houston is obviously on the ground, but tight end is where they are next weakest, and Bryant is going to be on the field a ton for his price.

You’re playing him in cash and not thinking twice about it.


Ty Conklin ($3,100 DraftKings, $5,000 FanDuel) New York Jets @ Minnesota Vikings

Mike White has resurrected this Jets passing game, at least for one week. Conklin caught all three of his targets for 50 yards last week against the Bears with White at the helm. He now gets the Vikings, who have allowed the 10th-most DraftKings points to opposing tight ends on the season. This game actually has some sneaky shootout potential, and we have already seen Conklin’s ceiling this season when he popped off for 25 DraftKings points against the Patriots in Week 8.

By the way, this is a revenge game for Conklin, who spent the first four seasons of his career with the Vikings. Do with that information what you’d like.

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There are an abundance of tools at FantasyLabs to use for your NFL DFS lineups each week. Our most popular tools are our NFL Player Models, which house our NFL DFS projections from Sean Koerner.

You can use these projections in our models with our Lineup Builder to hand-build your lineups or use our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups for your NFL DFS tournaments.

In this article, we will go position by position, highlighting my favorite plays for both cash games and single-entry/three-max GPP contests. These plays are also viable in large field tournaments but do not focus on ownership percentages.

Start Your PRO Trial Today

Lineup builder and optimizer

Real-time DFS models & projections

Data-driven analysis & tutorials

NFL DFS Cash Game + Single-Entry GPP Locks

NFL DFS Quarterback Picks 

Joe Burrow ($6,900 DraftKings, $8,300 FanDuel) Cincinnati Bengals vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Burrow checks in as the likely cash game chalk as a $1,400 discount off Patrick Mahomes. The Bengals rank third in the NFL in pass rate over expectation and should be getting superstar WR Ja’Marr Chase back for this game. In addition, this game has the highest total on the Week 13 main slate at a hefty 53 points, clearing Detroit/Jacksonville by two full points.

The Chiefs have faced the fifth most pass attempts in the NFL and rank 24th in DraftKings points allowed to opposing quarterbacks. The spot is pretty clean for Burrow, even more so if Joe Mixon sits, as they’d likely lean even more pass-heavy in that case. Either way, he is underpriced at just $6,900 and boasts both an elite floor and ceiling in what should be a shootout.


Trevor Lawrence ($5,900 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel) Jacksonville Jaguars Seahawks vs. Detroit Lions

If you prefer to pay down at quarterback, Lawrence is my preferred paydown, getting the slight nod over the other QB in this game — Jared Goff. Five of the six games played in Detroit this year have gone for 53, 58, 93, 63, and 73 points. The Lions rank dead last in DraftKings points allowed to quarterbacks.

Lawrence played the best game of his career last week against the Ravens, throwing for season-highs 321 yards and three touchdowns while reaching 28.9 DraftKings points in the process. He will likely not be as chalky as he should be simply due to Travis Etienne garnering a ton of ownership at running back. Regardless, this game environment could be the best on the slate and has a 51 total.

It doesn’t take much to score on this Lions defense, and it comes through the air rather than on the ground. T-Law is going to smash value here.

NFL DFS Running Back Picks

Josh Jacobs ($7,900 DraftKings, $9,500 FanDuel) Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Jacobs was left for dead after playing the first series of the Hall of Fame game this past August. It just goes to show that none of us know anything. He’s averaging 23.4 DraftKings points per game on the season, second to only Austin Ekeler.

Last week he had one of the greatest performances in NFL history, turning his 39 combined touches into 303 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns. Only eight players EVER have had more scrimmage yards in a game than Jacobs had against Seattle last week. Naturally, it feels like if you missed out on his huge game, you should absolutely not chase it this week at the highest price he’s been all season.

However, he is playing the Chargers. I could leave it at that, but just to illustrate how bad they’ve been against the run this year — they’ve allowed the ninth most rush attempts in the NFL but the second most rushing yards. They also rank dead last in yards per carry allowed and 30th in rush defense DVOA.

It’s a cupcake spot for Jacobs, who will remain the focal point of this Raiders offense in a game with a 49.5 total


Aaron Jones (6,900 DraftKings, $7,400 FanDuel) Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears

The Bears, much like the Chargers have an all-time bad rush defense. Through 12 weeks, they’ve ceded the fifth-most rushing attempts, fourth-most rushing yards, sixth-highest yards per carry, and second-most rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs. That’s bad news considering all the Packers want to do is establish it.

Aaron Jones has looked great all season and, most specifically, has an elite pass-game role. He’s caught three or more passes in nine of the Packers’ 12 games this season. Despite Green Bay’s penchant for giving A.J. Dillon carries, this backfield still belongs to Jones, who is too cheap this week at just $6,900.

He basically got scripted out of the play the past couple of games, but the Packers are 5.5-point favorites in this spot, and with Aaron Rodgers pretty banged up, I’d expect Jones to see 20 touches in this spot. We’re at the point in the season where we know what defenses do well and what they don’t do well.

I don’t like overthinking too much, which means just play running backs against the Bears. Jones is going to find paydirt this week, you can take it to the bank.

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NFL DFS Wide Receiver Picks

Amon-Ra St. Brown ($7,100 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel) Detroit Lions vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

St. Brown finds himself in yet another good spot this week, as the Jaguars are allowing the 10th-highest yards per reception to wide receivers and have given up the fourth most receiving touchdowns on the year. ARSB is the engine of the Lions offense and has an absurd role that only guys like Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, and Justin Jefferson have, just he’s about $1500 cheaper than all those guys.

As mentioned, this is going to be an insane back and forth game environment, and the Lions have shown they really cannot move the ball well on offense if St. Brown is not the catalyst. The Sun God leads the NFL in targets per route run and is essentially locked into nine targets.

No need to overthink this one, as the Lions have a 26-point implied team total.


Christian Kirk ($6,300 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel) Jacksonville Jaguars @ Detroit Lions

Right on the other side of this game sits Christian Kirk, who is one of the best points-per-dollar wide receiver plays on the slate. He took a backseat to Zay Jones last week in the comeback win at Baltimore but is still the Jaguars leader in target share, targets per routes run, yards per route run, and air yards. The Lions have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing slot receivers in the NFL.

Kirk is too cheap for both his role, and game environment. He’s also tied for the second most pro trends at his position on the entire slate. If this game goes over the total, Kirk is gonna blast off.

Get a 100% Deposit Match up to $100!

Sign up and deposit up to $100

Your deposit will be fully matched

New users only

NFL DFS Tight End Picks

Harrison Bryant ($2,700 DraftKings, $4,700 FanDuel) Cleveland Browns @ Houston Texans

Man, there’s something about a $2,700 tight end that just gets the juices flowing. David Njoku has been ruled out with a knee injury, leaving Harry B to handle most of the Browns tight end duties. Njoku missed Weeks 8 and 10, and in those games, Bryant played 53-of-72 and 51-of-67 snaps, respectively.

The way to attack Houston is obviously on the ground, but tight end is where they are next weakest, and Bryant is going to be on the field a ton for his price.

You’re playing him in cash and not thinking twice about it.


Ty Conklin ($3,100 DraftKings, $5,000 FanDuel) New York Jets @ Minnesota Vikings

Mike White has resurrected this Jets passing game, at least for one week. Conklin caught all three of his targets for 50 yards last week against the Bears with White at the helm. He now gets the Vikings, who have allowed the 10th-most DraftKings points to opposing tight ends on the season. This game actually has some sneaky shootout potential, and we have already seen Conklin’s ceiling this season when he popped off for 25 DraftKings points against the Patriots in Week 8.

By the way, this is a revenge game for Conklin, who spent the first four seasons of his career with the Vikings. Do with that information what you’d like.

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About the Author

Landon has been playing DFS since 2014 and uses it to pay his bills to this day. He is a FantasyLabs contributor specializing in PGA and NFL. When he’s not grinding Strokes Gained data or target shares, he enjoys hanging with his mini poodle William.