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NBA Fantasy Breakdown (Tues. 5/7): Kawhi Leonard Is a Machine

Toronto Raptors forward Kawhi Leonard (2) drives to the basket against the Orlando Magic during the first quarter at Amway Center.

Tuesday features a two-game slate starting at 8 p.m. ET.

If you’re interested in the single-game formats, be sure to check out the following pieces by Matt LaMarca:

Point Guard

Kyle Lowry leads all point guards in Projected Plus/Minus by a wide margin on DraftKings and FanDuel in our NBA Player Models. His ownership is also projected to be the highest-owned point guard on the slate, though, and thus profiles as a better play in cash games than guaranteed prize pool contests.

Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Toronto Raptors guard Kyle Lowry (7)

Damian Lillard, Ben Simmons and Jamal Murray all have negative Projected Plus/Minuses on FanDuel, but Lillard’s is the least negative, and his projected ceiling leads all point guards by more than 10 points. Still, Murray is averaging 26.5/5.3/4.5 in this series and could be a safer bet when considering cost.

Shooting Guard

Since Game 2, Gary Harris’ last three lines are 12/3/2, 13/4/1 and 14/5/0, meaning he’s on pace for 15 points, 6 rebounds and -1 assists. On a more serious note, Harris is second on the slate in Projected Plus/Minus on both sites.

Danny Green is one of many cheap wing options, but his projected floor is in the double-digits, giving him an edge over similarly priced alternatives at the position save for Harris.

 

Small Forward

Kawhi Leonard leads all players on the slate in Projected Plus/Minus on both DraftKings (+11.1) and FanDuel (+9.55). He’s gone straight unconscious through the first four games of this series, averaging an absurd 38.0 points — 38.7% of Toronto’s points — on 61.8% shooting with no game under 33. He’s also adding 9.0 rebounds and 4.0 assists a night.

Kawhi has already won the trade for Toronto, and it’s hard to imagine him not doing the same for DFS lineups tonight.

JJ Redick’s 7-of-13 3-point shooting over the past two games is likely to come back down to Earth tonight in Toronto, but he’s still the top projected value after Kawhi among an underwhelming group of options on FanDuel.

Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Philadelphia 76ers guard JJ Redick (17).

Power Forward

Tobias Harris’ scoring is down to 13.0 points per game this series against Toronto, but he’s contributing 10.0 rebounds and handing out 4.8 assists per game. Per our NBA Trends tool, Harris’ DraftKings Plus/Minus on the road with Philly this season (+2.8) is more than two points better than at home (+0.7), though he has been more consistent at home (58%) than away (50%).

Zach Collins has played 17-21 minutes a night in each game of the series and is a top-two value among players $3,000 or below on DraftKings.

Center

Nikola Jokic is averaging 26.8 points, 13.3 rebounds and 9.5 assists in the series. Even though he’s not the top projected value at center in our models, he appears in our Lineup Builder‘s optimal projected lineups on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports: Portland Trail Blazers forward Al-Farouq Aminu (8) and Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15)

Enes Kanter, who began fasting in observance of Ramadan early Monday morning, will look to do all of his eating on the court as he looks to bounce back from a disastrous 5-point, 4-foul appearance in Game 4. Kanter leads all centers on DraftKings in Projected Plus/Minus and Opponent Plus/Minus.

News Updates

After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our NBA News Feed.

Pictured above: Toronto Raptors forward Kawhi Leonard (2)
Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Tuesday features a two-game slate starting at 8 p.m. ET.

If you’re interested in the single-game formats, be sure to check out the following pieces by Matt LaMarca:

Point Guard

Kyle Lowry leads all point guards in Projected Plus/Minus by a wide margin on DraftKings and FanDuel in our NBA Player Models. His ownership is also projected to be the highest-owned point guard on the slate, though, and thus profiles as a better play in cash games than guaranteed prize pool contests.

Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Toronto Raptors guard Kyle Lowry (7)

Damian Lillard, Ben Simmons and Jamal Murray all have negative Projected Plus/Minuses on FanDuel, but Lillard’s is the least negative, and his projected ceiling leads all point guards by more than 10 points. Still, Murray is averaging 26.5/5.3/4.5 in this series and could be a safer bet when considering cost.

Shooting Guard

Since Game 2, Gary Harris’ last three lines are 12/3/2, 13/4/1 and 14/5/0, meaning he’s on pace for 15 points, 6 rebounds and -1 assists. On a more serious note, Harris is second on the slate in Projected Plus/Minus on both sites.

Danny Green is one of many cheap wing options, but his projected floor is in the double-digits, giving him an edge over similarly priced alternatives at the position save for Harris.

 

Small Forward

Kawhi Leonard leads all players on the slate in Projected Plus/Minus on both DraftKings (+11.1) and FanDuel (+9.55). He’s gone straight unconscious through the first four games of this series, averaging an absurd 38.0 points — 38.7% of Toronto’s points — on 61.8% shooting with no game under 33. He’s also adding 9.0 rebounds and 4.0 assists a night.

Kawhi has already won the trade for Toronto, and it’s hard to imagine him not doing the same for DFS lineups tonight.

JJ Redick’s 7-of-13 3-point shooting over the past two games is likely to come back down to Earth tonight in Toronto, but he’s still the top projected value after Kawhi among an underwhelming group of options on FanDuel.

Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Philadelphia 76ers guard JJ Redick (17).

Power Forward

Tobias Harris’ scoring is down to 13.0 points per game this series against Toronto, but he’s contributing 10.0 rebounds and handing out 4.8 assists per game. Per our NBA Trends tool, Harris’ DraftKings Plus/Minus on the road with Philly this season (+2.8) is more than two points better than at home (+0.7), though he has been more consistent at home (58%) than away (50%).

Zach Collins has played 17-21 minutes a night in each game of the series and is a top-two value among players $3,000 or below on DraftKings.

Center

Nikola Jokic is averaging 26.8 points, 13.3 rebounds and 9.5 assists in the series. Even though he’s not the top projected value at center in our models, he appears in our Lineup Builder‘s optimal projected lineups on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports: Portland Trail Blazers forward Al-Farouq Aminu (8) and Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15)

Enes Kanter, who began fasting in observance of Ramadan early Monday morning, will look to do all of his eating on the court as he looks to bounce back from a disastrous 5-point, 4-foul appearance in Game 4. Kanter leads all centers on DraftKings in Projected Plus/Minus and Opponent Plus/Minus.

News Updates

After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our NBA News Feed.

Pictured above: Toronto Raptors forward Kawhi Leonard (2)
Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports