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NBA Fantasy Breakdown (Mon. 5/6): Lock in the Greek Freak

Monday features a two-game slate starting at 7 p.m. ET.

If you’re also interested in the single-game formats, be sure to check out the following pieces by Matt LaMarca:

Point Guard

Kyrie Irving is down to a series-low $8,200 on DraftKings. Irving is third on the slate in Projected Plus/Minus behind Giannis Antentokounmpo and James Harden, but Kyrie makes it into our Lineup Builder‘s optimal projected lineup ahead of the latter.

Credit: Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports. Boston Celtics guard Kyrie Irving (11)

Chris Paul also makes it into the optimal over Harden. CP3 posted 14/8/7 line in 44 minutes in Game 3 and 18/7/6 in 40 minutes in Game 2 and is a triple-double threat with that kind of playing time.

Round 2 has been nightmare for Eric Bledsoe compared to Round 1: After averaging 19.3 points on 31-for-59 shooting in the four-game sweep of Detroit, he’s averaging only 12.0 points on 12-for-32 shooting in the first three against Boston. That said, he’s a good buy-low: His $5,500 salary is a season-low, and his +6.0 Projected Plus/Minus puts him slightly ahead of a similarly discounted Stephen Curry ($7,700; +5.77).

Shooting Guard

Steve Kerr stated before the series started that not only would Andre Iguodala start, but he would see a bump in minutes because the Warriors need him to defend the Harden-CP3 combo. That has come to fruition, as Iguodala played 34 minutes in Game 1, 32 in Game 2, and 41 in Game 3. He’s a no-brainer play on DraftKings at $4,900.

On FanDuel, however, Iguodala is priced up to $6,000 while Eric Gordon is only $5,600. After going off for 30 in Game 3, Gordon is averaging 21.8 points per game in six regular and postseason games against the Warriors this season. Gordon is the same price on DraftKings as on FanDuel, which earns him a Bargain Rating of 89% on the latter.

Small Forward

Giannis Antentokounmpo is $100 cheaper than Harden on DraftKings, but our NBA Player Models have him projected for nearly 2 fantasy points more. The Greak Freak brushed off a down Game 1 to post 29/10/4 line in Game 2 and a 32/13/8 line in Game 3. He leads all players on DraftKings in Projected Plus/Minus and is No. 2 on FanDuel as well.

Marcus Morris has finished with a negative Plus/Minus on DraftKings only once this postseason and has averaged a +10.5 in the first three games of this series. He may see a slight decrease in playing time with Marcus Smart likely to return, but he is still among the top mid-range options on the slate.

Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA Today Sports. Pictured: Celtics forward Marcus Morris (13)

Power Forward

P.J. Tucker is now up to a +6.86 Plus/Minus and 90% Consistency Rating over his last 10 games. Tucker ranks third in projected value among PF-eligible players on DraftKings, mere tenths of a point behind Kevin Durant.

Nikola Mirotic‘s Plus/Minuses in the first three games of the series are +4.51, +17.3, +3.13. He was plugged into the starting lineup two games ago and his minutes have been on the rise since, topping out at a postseason-high 29 in Game 3. Our models have him projected for 29.5 tonight, enough to earn him the top Projected Plus/Minus among players under $4,500.

Center

Clint Capela has strung together back-to-back double-doubles and has the top Projected Plus/Minus on DraftKings. At $5,800, Capela is also at a low point salary-wise.

Whereas Capela is $700 cheaper than Al Horford on DraftKings, Horford costs $600 less than Capela on FanDuel, giving him a sizable advantage over Capela (and all other centers) in terms of projected value there.

News Updates

After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our NBA News Feed.

Pictured: Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34).
Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. 

Monday features a two-game slate starting at 7 p.m. ET.

If you’re also interested in the single-game formats, be sure to check out the following pieces by Matt LaMarca:

Point Guard

Kyrie Irving is down to a series-low $8,200 on DraftKings. Irving is third on the slate in Projected Plus/Minus behind Giannis Antentokounmpo and James Harden, but Kyrie makes it into our Lineup Builder‘s optimal projected lineup ahead of the latter.

Credit: Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports. Boston Celtics guard Kyrie Irving (11)

Chris Paul also makes it into the optimal over Harden. CP3 posted 14/8/7 line in 44 minutes in Game 3 and 18/7/6 in 40 minutes in Game 2 and is a triple-double threat with that kind of playing time.

Round 2 has been nightmare for Eric Bledsoe compared to Round 1: After averaging 19.3 points on 31-for-59 shooting in the four-game sweep of Detroit, he’s averaging only 12.0 points on 12-for-32 shooting in the first three against Boston. That said, he’s a good buy-low: His $5,500 salary is a season-low, and his +6.0 Projected Plus/Minus puts him slightly ahead of a similarly discounted Stephen Curry ($7,700; +5.77).

Shooting Guard

Steve Kerr stated before the series started that not only would Andre Iguodala start, but he would see a bump in minutes because the Warriors need him to defend the Harden-CP3 combo. That has come to fruition, as Iguodala played 34 minutes in Game 1, 32 in Game 2, and 41 in Game 3. He’s a no-brainer play on DraftKings at $4,900.

On FanDuel, however, Iguodala is priced up to $6,000 while Eric Gordon is only $5,600. After going off for 30 in Game 3, Gordon is averaging 21.8 points per game in six regular and postseason games against the Warriors this season. Gordon is the same price on DraftKings as on FanDuel, which earns him a Bargain Rating of 89% on the latter.

Small Forward

Giannis Antentokounmpo is $100 cheaper than Harden on DraftKings, but our NBA Player Models have him projected for nearly 2 fantasy points more. The Greak Freak brushed off a down Game 1 to post 29/10/4 line in Game 2 and a 32/13/8 line in Game 3. He leads all players on DraftKings in Projected Plus/Minus and is No. 2 on FanDuel as well.

Marcus Morris has finished with a negative Plus/Minus on DraftKings only once this postseason and has averaged a +10.5 in the first three games of this series. He may see a slight decrease in playing time with Marcus Smart likely to return, but he is still among the top mid-range options on the slate.

Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA Today Sports. Pictured: Celtics forward Marcus Morris (13)

Power Forward

P.J. Tucker is now up to a +6.86 Plus/Minus and 90% Consistency Rating over his last 10 games. Tucker ranks third in projected value among PF-eligible players on DraftKings, mere tenths of a point behind Kevin Durant.

Nikola Mirotic‘s Plus/Minuses in the first three games of the series are +4.51, +17.3, +3.13. He was plugged into the starting lineup two games ago and his minutes have been on the rise since, topping out at a postseason-high 29 in Game 3. Our models have him projected for 29.5 tonight, enough to earn him the top Projected Plus/Minus among players under $4,500.

Center

Clint Capela has strung together back-to-back double-doubles and has the top Projected Plus/Minus on DraftKings. At $5,800, Capela is also at a low point salary-wise.

Whereas Capela is $700 cheaper than Al Horford on DraftKings, Horford costs $600 less than Capela on FanDuel, giving him a sizable advantage over Capela (and all other centers) in terms of projected value there.

News Updates

After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our NBA News Feed.

Pictured: Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34).
Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports.