This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze three key MLB players in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.
Stephen Strasburg: Pitcher, Nationals
There are a few intriguing pitching options in the slate, but the most enticing of them is likely Strasburg with his combination of strikeout upside and Vegas data. Facing the Braves, who are implied for a slate-low 3.2 runs on his home field, Strasburg has a 7.3 K Prediction and is currently a -223 moneyline favorite. Historically, pitchers at home with similar Vegas data and K Predictions have averaged a +4.96 FanDuel Plus/Minus with a 60.3 percent Consistency Rating (per our Trends tool):
The projected Braves lineup has a mediocre .296 wOBA against right-handed pitching over the last 12 months. Strasburg will likely end up with massive ownership, which Pro Subscribers can review across multiple buy-in levels using our DFS Ownership Dashboard.
Kyle Seager: Third Baseman, Seattle
With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters. Although they are not one of the three teams implied for at least 5.0 runs, the Mariners have a respectable total of 4.9 runs, and their implied total has already increased by 0.3 runs since their line opened:
Seager’s Statcast data is excellent, as he’s averaging a recent batted ball distance of 257 feet, exit velocity of 94 miles per hour, hard hit rate of 44 percent, and fly ball rate of 55 percent. Additionally, he faces struggling Twins pitcher Adalberto Mejia, who owns a 1.55 WHIP along with some rough Statcast data: A recent batted ball distance of 235 feet, exit velocity of 93 miles per hour, and hard hit rate of 35 percent. Given the 65 percent chance of light rain for this game, Seager may be an excellent pivot away from chalkier batters in guaranteed prize pools. Be sure to monitor the weather throughout the day on our MLB Lineups page.
Todd Frazier: Third Baseman, White Sox
Per our Vegas Dashboard, the White Sox own an implied total of 4.9 runs as well as the slate’s fourth-highest FanDuel Team Value Rating at 80:
The White Sox take on Orioles lefty Wade Miley, and Frazier owns an exceptional .338 wOBA and .252 ISO against left-handed pitching over the last 12 months. Frazier has played well of late with a recent batted ball distance of 228 feet, exit velocity of 92 miles per hour, and hard hit rate of 40 percent. Oddly, Frazier’s price has decreased $100 over his last 10 games even though he’s averaged a +2.98 FanDuel Plus/Minus within that span. With the expensive Strasburg on the mound tonight, Frazier’s 90 percent Bargain Rating on FanDuel is enticing.
Good luck, and be sure to read today’s MLB Breakdown!
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs: