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Raybon’s Week 11 DFS Picks and Preview: Back Joe Burrow for a Big Performance

This article is a data-driven deep dive on strategic decision-making and roster construction for DFS cash games and tournaments. It relies heavily upon FantasyLabs’ extensive suite of analytical DFS tools, as well as advanced metrics and film study. First, I walk through narrowing down the player pool at each position. Then, I lay out how to choose the highest-floor lineup combinations for cash games. Finally, I go game-by-game to present the biggest edges (stacks, pivots, leverage opportunities, etc.) in each.

Week 11 shmoney time!

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Quarterback (Cash)

  • Joe Burrow, Bengals ($5,500 DK, $7,700 FD) at WAS
  • Deshaun Watson, Patriots ($6,500 DK, $7,700 FD) vs. NE

Joe Burrow is 0.02 points behind top-ranked Deshaun Watson in Projected Plus/Minus on DraftKings in our NFL Player Models, and Watson is .01 points behind the top-ranked Lamar Jackson on FanDuel.

On DraftKings, Burrow projects for the fourth-highest floor among QBs at the 14th-highest price. The likely runner-up for Offensive Rookie of the Year is a higher-floor option than Taysom Hill, who costs $700 less but is no lock to play all of the Saints’ quarterback snaps and comes with a floor projection 14% Burrow.

Watson is the sixth-highest priced QB on FanDuel but comes with the highest projected floor of any passer in our models. The Patriots defense has slipped to 30th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA.

Running Back (Cash)

This article is a data-driven deep dive on strategic decision-making and roster construction for DFS cash games and tournaments. It relies heavily upon FantasyLabs’ extensive suite of analytical DFS tools, as well as advanced metrics and film study. First, I walk through narrowing down the player pool at each position. Then, I lay out how to choose the highest-floor lineup combinations for cash games. Finally, I go game-by-game to present the biggest edges (stacks, pivots, leverage opportunities, etc.) in each.

Week 11 shmoney time!

New NFL DFS Trial Offer: Try our new football subscription for $4.95 and get access to our industry-leading tools and projections.

Quarterback (Cash)

  • Joe Burrow, Bengals ($5,500 DK, $7,700 FD) at WAS
  • Deshaun Watson, Patriots ($6,500 DK, $7,700 FD) vs. NE

Joe Burrow is 0.02 points behind top-ranked Deshaun Watson in Projected Plus/Minus on DraftKings in our NFL Player Models, and Watson is .01 points behind the top-ranked Lamar Jackson on FanDuel.

On DraftKings, Burrow projects for the fourth-highest floor among QBs at the 14th-highest price. The likely runner-up for Offensive Rookie of the Year is a higher-floor option than Taysom Hill, who costs $700 less but is no lock to play all of the Saints’ quarterback snaps and comes with a floor projection 14% Burrow.

Watson is the sixth-highest priced QB on FanDuel but comes with the highest projected floor of any passer in our models. The Patriots defense has slipped to 30th in Football Outsiders’ DVOA.

Running Back (Cash)