This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze MLB stacks in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.
Seattle Mariners
With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters. The Mariners have the highest-rated DraftKings and FanDuel stacks in the Bales and CSURAM88 Models, and their 86 Team Value Rating on FanDuel presently leads all teams (per our Vegas Dashboard). The difference in the FanDuel stacks between the models is Robinson Cano and Mitch Haniger — a $200 divergence:
Opting for Haniger over Cano will likely result in a low-owned stack due to Cano’s perceived upside and elevated spot in the projected lineup of a team presently implied for a slate-best 5.4 runs. Nevertheless, Haniger leads the Mariners with a +2.32 FanDuel Plus/Minus and 51.1 percent Consistency Rating this season (per our Trends tool). White Sox right-hander James Shields has allowed a slate-high 244-foot recent batted ball distance combined with a 54 percent recent fly ball rate. Not only has he allowed positive Statcast differentials in all three categories, but he’s also yielded 10 home runs in seven starts this season. Even in this 15-game slate, the Mariners will likely have elevated ownership, which Pro subscribers can review after lineup lock via our DFS Ownership Dashboard.
Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers have the No. 2 DraftKings and FanDuel stacks in the Bales and CSURAM88 Models:
Every hitter in the stack has positive Statcast differentials in all three categories, and Domingo Santana, whose recent hard hit rate is 39 percent, is the only one with a hard hit rate less than 42 percent. Eric Thames leads all hitters with 11 Pro Trends and a 285-foot recent batted ball distance. Phillies right-hander Nick Pivetta ranks in the bottom five in WHIP and HR/9 rate over the past 12 months, and he’s allowed an astronomical 75 percent fly ball rate in his last two starts. The Brewers rank in the top three in home runs and stolen bases against right-handed pitchers this season, but they also possess the third-highest strikeout rate. Be sure to monitor the news as we approach lineup lock: Ryan Braun is currently questionable due to left calf tightness.
New York Mets
We’ve recently incorporated FantasyDraft data and tools into our Models. After the Mariners and Brewers, the top-rated six-man FantasyDraft stack in the Bales Model belongs to the Mets:
They are presently implied to score 4.4 runs, and the Rockies-Mets game has a 31 percent chance of precipitation — two factors that will likely reduce the Mets’ overall guaranteed prize pool (GPP) exposure. All the stacked batters except for Yoenis Cespedes have positive wOBA differentials, and Rockies starter Jon Gray — despite limiting opposing batters to four runs over his last two starts — has still allowed 15 hits in two outings since returning from the disabled list. A contrarian stack, the Mets have three of the slate’s top 16 hitters in recent fly ball rate, and Cespedes and Lucas Duda both have Recent Batted Ball Luck marks of at least +56.
Good luck, and be sure to read Bryan Mears’ MLB Breakdown!
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
