Truist Championship: Top PGA DFS Picks, Values, and Sleepers for Large-Field GPPs on DraftKings

The Truist Championship is a new name for this event since it has a new sponsor, and the signature event will take place on a new course on the PGA TOUR as well. The Philadelphia Cricket Club’s Wissahickon Course is actually a very old course, but this will be the first time it has hosted a PGA TOUR event.

It should be an exciting week to check out the new track since we get an elite field of 72 of the top golfers in the world in a no-cut event, with only Scottie Scheffler, Jason Day, and Billy Horschel qualified but not playing. Each player will get in four rounds, barring withdrawal or disqualification, which means no cut sweat on Friday. For all the info about the field, the course, the weather, and some key stats, check out this First Look from RotoGrinders.

Especially in a limited field, you’ll want to make sure to target players who have lower ownership projections than their potential performance. Finding high-leverage plays is critical for GPP success, so the picks here go against the grain, looking for under-owned options.

All Strokes Gained metrics referenced are from the Rabbit Hole.

Usually, I rely heavily on the Strokes Gained Model in FantasyLabs, which is very predictive of results. I also tend to lean toward players who excel in Strokes Gained: Approach, which is more sustainable week-to-week than a hot putter.

Since these are GPP picks, we can accept more risk in exchange for getting a higher ceiling. High-risk, high-reward options with low ownership create the “boom-or-bust” style lineups that often lead to large-field success. To find guidance for all contest types, check out our full Daily Fantasy Golf coverage each week.

No matter what type of format you prefer, be sure to use the FantasyLabs PGA Models to help you make the best choices. These models use stats and simulations to highlight different players’ strengths and weaknesses. A few critical new stats for GPP play are Perfect% and SimLeverage, which are further explained here.

As you dig into the numbers, you can enjoy the many tools FantasyLabs offers, including the Lineup Optimizer, which effortlessly creates up to 300 lineups. Alternatively, you can use the Lineup Builder if you prefer a more hands-on approach.

Check out my top picks in each price range listed below.

Editor’s note: SimLeverage and Perfect% numbers may change after this piece is published. Be sure to check the PGA Models for any updates to the sims.

High-Priced PGA DFS Picks

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Unless otherwise noted, all Strokes Gained metrics referenced in this article come via the Rabbit Hole.

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Rory McIlroy, $12,000

Like last week, there’s a clear favorite in the field this week, but instead of Scottie Scheffler, this week it’s Rory McIlroy’s turn. Rory won this event last year to claim his fourth win at the event, but that doesn’t mean as much since this year’s tournament is on a different course.

Still, he has the highest Perfect% in the field by a wide margin, and like Scheffler last week, his ownership projection actually comes up short, leaving him with a positive SimLeverage. He has the second-highest ownership projection but still has the highest SimLeverage in the field.

On the year, Rory has three wins, four top 10s, and has finished no worse than T17 in any of his seven PGA TOUR events. He won a Signature Event at Pebble Beach, THE PLAYERS Championship, and the Masters in three of the biggest tournaments of the year.

Over the last 24 rounds, he leads the field in Total Strokes Gained and Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green. He has a versatile game that can adapt to any kind of course and should keep him right in the mix for another win this week.

Rory has dominated at Quail Hollow in the past, and he’ll be ready to gear up for his return to that track next week. He and Scottie appear to be on a collision course once again, and getting a win this week will give him even more steam going into their potential showdown.

Justin Thomas $10,000

Thomas broke through and got his win at the RBC Heritage, snapping an extended winless drought that stretched back almost three years. He needed a playoff hole to defeat Andrew Novak for his 16th career PGA TOUR victory.

Despite that win, his ownership projection for this week is not high at all. He matches the second-most Pro Trends and has the second-highest Perfect% in the field behind only Rory, but he only has the sixth-highest ownership projection, leaving him with the second-highest SimLeverage in the entire field.

Before the win, he had been knocking on the door and had several near misses already this season. He already has five top-10 finishes and has the potential to be near the top again this week if he stays in form. His win three weeks ago came in an elite field like this one since that was also a Signature Event.

He has the second most Total Strokes Gained over the last 12 rounds, and over the last 24 rounds, he ranks fifth in the field in Total Strokes Gained and fifth in Strokes Gained: Approach.

JT has contended and won on a wide variety of courses in his career, and his recent consistency and low relative ownership make him a great GPP play for this week.

Now available: our PGA DFS SimLabs Lineup Generator that creates advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.

Mid-Priced PGA DFS Picks

All Strokes Gained metrics referenced are from the Rabbit Hole.

Check out my top picks in each price range listed below.

Editor’s note: SimLeverage and Perfect% numbers may change after this piece is published. Be sure to check the PGA Models for any updates to the sims.