This article is a data-driven deep dive on strategic decision-making and roster construction for DFS cash games and tournaments. It relies heavily upon FantasyLabs’ extensive suite of analytical DFS tools, as well as advanced metrics and film study. First, I walk through narrowing down the player pool at each position. Then, I lay out how to choose the highest-floor lineup combinations for cash games. Finally, I go game-by-game to present the biggest edges (stacks, pivots, leverage opportunities, etc.) in each.
Week 13 shmoney time!
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- Aaron Rodgers ($6,800 DK, $8,500 FD) vs. PHI
This is one of the more uncomfortable QB slates in recent memory: Russell Wilson is overpriced and faces a Giants defense that ranks top five in fewest fantasy points allowed to QBs; Kyler Murray may or may not still be hurt enough to limit his rushing; Deshaun Watson has no receivers; Justin Herbert is a rookie facing Belichick for the first time; Mitchell Trubisky could get benched; and Taysom Hill — while tempting considering his four rushing TDs in two starts — has range of outcomes could be anywhere from Josh Allen to Tim Tebow.
The Eagles’ defense was impressive against Wilson on Monday night, and there’s always an outside chance their four-man rush could cause Aaron Rodgers to have another stinker like he had against the Bucs this year and 49ers last year. But Rodgers has been the most consistent fantasy QB of 2020, throwing for multiple scores in every game but the Bucs matchup. He went off for 422 passing yards and 46 more on the ground against this defense in Week 4 of last season.