Let’s dive into some of the top plays using the FantasyLabs Tools and metrics.
Note: Projections and Leverages Scores/Ratings may change throughout the day after this article is posted. The NBA DFS landscape changes quickly. Consult the Player Models directly for any updates as we get closer to lock.
Who else but Ja Morant? This dude has been on an absolute tear this season, and he’s been sensational as of late. The two highest-scoring games of his career have come in his last three games, and he dropped a career-best 46 in Saturday’s win over the top-seeded Bulls.
King Ja has averaged 35.5 points, 8.0 assists, 5.5 rebounds, 3.0 triples and 1.0 steals in two previous matchups with the Spurs, and he’ll get another crack at a team that’s been allowing a boatload of points recently. The matchup between Grizz and Spurs has a monster 236.5 total.
Gabe Vincent has averaged 12.8 points, 4.7 assists, 2.8 rebounds, 1.3 steals and 2.6 triples in 19 starts this season, and he could be in the starting lineup again tonight. Kyle Lowry is out for personal reasons, and Vincent is a mere $3,600 on DraftKings and $3,900 on FanDuel. That’s huge value for a guy who can easily eclipse 25 fantasy points.
Tyrese Haliburton has averaged 19.8 points, 10.7 assists, 4.3 rebounds and 2.0 steals in six games since joining the Pacers. His DFS salary has increased accordingly, but he’s still worth the price.
Brandon Goodwin has averaged almost 27 fantasy points across his last two games, and he’ll likely be in the starting lineup again tonight with Darius Garland and Rajon Rondo out.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander missed 10 games and then returned for a back-to-back set where he averaged 34/5/5 with 2.5 stocks. SGA put the team on his back in those contests, and he’ll be forced to do so again tonight.
Josh Giddey and Lu Dort are both out, and the Thunder’s other scoring options are a bit thin. This game features a respectable 226.5 total and a mere four-point spread, opening the door for SGA to ball out against the hapless Kings.
Seth Curry has averaged 19.2 points and 3.6 triples in five games since arriving in Brooklyn, good for an average of 29.5 fantasy points in that span. The Nets are back at home on Monday, and that can only mean one thing: no Kyrie Irving.
With Irving out of commission and Patty Mills unable to hit the broad side of a barn, Curry should be able to keep the hot hand. He’s scored fewer than 19 points just once and hit the 20-point threshold three times as a Net.
Tre Mann has averaged 21.8 points, 4.3 rebounds, 3.8 assists, 2.0 steals and 2.8 triples across the Thunder’s last four games, and there’s no reason to think he can’t hit those numbers again tonight with Dort and Giddey out of action.
DeMar DeRozan averaged 52.4 fantasy points across his last 10, including 36.9 points per game and at least 30 in every contest. He’ll look to score 30 for the 11th straight game to tie Michael Jordan’s franchise record set back in 1986-87.
The Bulls are four-point dogs in Miami, and they’ll need DeRozan’s best effort to beat the Eastern Conference contender that’s gotten massive play from its stars Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo recently. I’m ready to see history tonight, and I’ll be happy to have Deebo in my DFS lineup along the way.
Jeremy Lamb is just $3,800 on DraftKings and $4,300 on FanDuel and should be an excellent salary-saving option on tonight’s slate. Our NBA Models love him at this price, and it’s not hard to see why. Lamb has averaged better than 23 fantasy points in his last two games, putting up 11.5 points, 5.0 rebounds, 1.5 dimes and 1.5 stocks across 24.5 minutes. He’ll face his former team, the Thunder, in what should be a quality matchup.
Oshae can you see? Oshae Brissett has balled out over his last three, averaging 18 points, nine rebounds, one assist and nearly two stocks per contest in that span. Brissett has eclipsed 34 fantasy points in all of those outings, and he’s done so in five of six, including three 40-point efforts. Let’s run it back tonight in a friendly matchup with the Magic.
Giannis Antetokounmpo gets a phenomenal matchup with Charlotte in a game with a ludicrous 241-point total that could very realistically hit the over.
In three prior matchups with Charlotte, the Greek Freak averaged 62.1 fantasy points, cruising to three double-doubles padded with points, rebounds and defensive stats. He’ll get a considerable boost from the Pace Differential, Opponent Plus/Minus and lack of frontcourt defense.
While Isaiah Jackson has been the belle of the fantasy ball this season, Jalen Smith has been just as good and far more consistent while remaining a cheaper DFS play ($4,900 DraftKings, $5,600 FanDuel). He gets a delicious matchup with Orlando and has averaged 25.4 fantasy points per game in six appearances for Indiana.
Domantas Sabonis has averaged 23.0 points, 14.0 rebounds, 6.7 assists and 2.0 stocks in his last three games, and he could undoubtedly hit or exceed those numbers vs. the Thunder. Oklahoma City has surrendered the fourth-most fantasy points to PFs and fifth-most to Cs this season. This is a pace-down spot for the Kings, but the Thunder are still an elite matchup for one of the best big men on the slate.
Bam Adebayo went off for an unbelievable 36/7/4/2/3 in Saturday’s win over the Spurs, providing his best fantasy performance of the season. The shorthanded Spurs kept it close, but Bam scored a career-best 16 points in the fourth quarter to close it out for Miami.
With Lowry out on Monday, Adebayo could be looking at another excellent performance. His assist and defensive numbers have been better this season when the former is unavailable.
Steven Adams has been on a roll. He’s eclipsed 39 fantasy points in four of six games and gone for at least 40 thrice. In that span, he’s averaged 10.8 points, 12.8 rebounds, 4.7 assists and 1.3 blocks. There’s a huge 236.5 over/under in this one, and Adams should still be a nice value even with Jakob Poeltl available for the Spurs.
Speaking of Poeltl, he sat out Saturday’s matchup with the Heat on the second of a back-to-back set. He should be at full strength, as the absence was purely for maintenance. In two games before sitting, Poeltl scored better than 50 fantasy points in each contest and provided 20-point double-doubles with at least five dimes and two swats. He should be a popular option tonight, especially given how hot his Wordle-themed NBA guessing game has become.