This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze MLB stacks in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.
The Rangers have an implied team total of 5.1 runs and face Blue Jays right-handed pitcher Marco Estrada, who was roughed up in his last start, allowing 12 hits (including two home runs) over 3.1 innings. His 15-day batted ball distance of 226 feet is the slate’s second-worst mark. All five of the stacked batters are on the positive side of their ISO splits, and all but Shin-Soo Choo have positive 15-day/12-month distance and hard hit differentials. Batters with comparable differentials and implied team totals have historically averaged a Plus/Minus of +1.32 (per our Trends tool).
On FanDuel, the top four-man stack in the CSURAM88 Model belongs to the top of the projected Indians lineup:
The Indians’ current implied total of 5.1 runs ranks third on the day, and all four of the stacked batters have Bargain Ratings of at least 70 percent. Batters with comparable implied team totals and Bargain Ratings have a historical Plus/Minus of +1.14. Edwin Encarnacion in particular has been on fire recently with an average Plus/Minus of +8.42 over his last 10 games, and his near-neutral Recent Batted Ball Luck of -1 suggests that his production has been no fluke. The Indians-Orioles game currently has a 47 percent chance of precipitation, which in guaranteed prize pools could reduce the Indians’ ownership rate, which Pro subscribers can review using our DFS Ownership Dashboard. Opposing pitcher Dylan Bundy has allowed at least one home run in eight straight games.
Toronto Blue Jays
Per our Vegas Dashboard, the Blue Jays currently lead the slate with an implied team total of 5.6 games, and they also have one of the top four-man Pro Trends stacks on DraftKings:
Each of the stacked batters has at least seven Pro Trends, and hitters comparable in Pro Trends and implied totals have a historical Plus/Minus of +1.10. Rangers spot starter Austin Bibens-Dirkx (making just his third MLB start) has allowed 2.20 home runs per nine innings over the past 12 months, and if the Jays can get past him they’ll have a chance to exploit their Opposing Bullpen Rating of 94 against the overworked Rangers relievers, who are 24th on the season with a 4.68 ERA.
Good luck, and be sure to read today’s MLB Breakdown!
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