Wednesday features a nine-game slate starting at 7 p.m. ET.
Note: Projections and Leverages Scores/Ratings may change throughout the day after this article is posted. The NBA DFS landscape changes quickly. Consult the Player Models directly for any updates as we get closer to lock.
Malcolm Brogdon stands out as one of the strongest options if you’re paying up at point guard. He’s coming off more than 40 minutes in his last outing, and Brogdon has averaged 1.13 DraftKings points per minute this season. He should also benefit from the Pacers’ injury situation. Justin Holiday has been ruled out due to health and safety protocols, while Myles Turner is questionable with an illness.
Things continue to go from bad to worse for the Nuggets from an injury perspective. They’re already playing without Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr., and P.J. Dozier is also out with a long-term injury. Now, Bones Hyland and Austin Rivers have been ruled out due to health and safety protocols. That opens up a bunch of playing time in the backcourt.
Monte Morris should be one of the biggest beneficiaries. He’s already been a nice investment recently, posting a positive Plus/Minus in three straight games, and he should see a slight boost in playing time on Wednesday. He’s currently projected for 31 minutes in our NBA Models, and that feels conservative.
Reggie Jackson has been a strong producer for the Clippers recently. He’s increased his production to 0.94 DraftKings points per minute over the past month, and he’s logged at least 33.5 minutes in four of his past five games. Jackson also owns one of the best matchups of the day vs. the Kings. They rank 10th in pace and 28th in defensive efficiency, and the Clippers’ implied team total of 112.0 ranks second on the slate.
Luka Doncic has quietly started to get rolling. He’s increased his production to 1.43 FanDuel points per minute over the past month, and he’s posted a positive Plus/Minus in five of his past six games on FanDuel. That said, he’s actually gotten cheaper on FanDuel recently, and his current $10,600 price tag comes with a Bargain Rating of 95%.
Paul George has been struggling recently, posting a negative Plus/Minus in six of his past seven games on FanDuel. However, there’s no real cause for concern. He remains one of the highest usage players in the league, posting a usage rate of at least 39.6% in each of his past two games. He should be able to turn things around, and when he does, he’s going to provide a ton of value on FanDuel. His $8,600 salary comes with a Bargain Rating of 98%, and his 10 Pro Trends are tied with Doncic for the most at the position.
Chris Duarte went through a bit of a cold streak after starting the year red hot, but he’s firmly on the DFS radar on Wednesday. He’s posted a positive Plus/Minus in five straight games on DraftKings, and Holiday’s absence should solidify his minutes. He’s currently projected for 30 minutes in our NBA Models, and he’s averaged a respectable 0.81 DraftKings points per minute this season. Duarte is an awesome value at just $4,000 on DraftKings given his Bargain Rating of 86%.
Caris LeVert is also worth considering for the Pacers. He’s coming off just 19.0 DraftKings points in his last outing, but he did play a season-high 34.2 minutes. That’s a big development for his fantasy stock moving forward. LeVert has averaged 0.93 DraftKings points per minute this season, so he should provide excellent fantasy value if he continues to log that much playing time.
The Timberwolves are going to be an interesting team to monitor on Wednesday. They’re already playing without Patrick Beverley, and Anthony Edwards, Jarred Vanderbilt, and Jaden McDaniels are all questionable with illnesses. If Edwards is ruled out, it’s going to open up some additional shot attempts for D’Angelo Russell. He’s increased his usage rate by +3.2% with Edwards off the court this season, and he’s averaged 1.18 DraftKings points per minute in that situation.
The Hornets are one of the few teams in basketball who are routinely playing high-tempo, high-scoring games this season. That makes them a strong team to target, and Gordon Hayward stands out as underpriced on Wednesday. He’s priced at just $6,300 on DraftKings, resulting in a Bargain Rating of 75%, and that’s a very fair price tag for Hayward. He’s historically posted an average Plus/Minus of +1.76 with a comparable salary (per the Trends tool), and he’s averaged 0.95 DraftKings points per minute over the past month. Hayward is coming off 37 minutes in his last outing, so he should be able to pay off his current salary.
Cam Reddish is currently questionable with a wrist injury, but he could be a nice source of value if he suits up. He was limited to just 7.1 minutes in his last outing due to the injury, but he had posted a positive Plus/Minus in each of his previous six games on DraftKings. His price is down to just $3,400, resulting in a Bargain Rating of 96%.
The 76ers are essentially back at full strength, and Tobias Harris stands out as a nice value on FanDuel. His $7,600 price tag comes with a Bargain Rating of 87%, and he’s scored at least 33.8 FanDuel points in each of his first two games back.
Kevin Porter Jr. has SF eligibility on FanDuel, which is where he really stands out on Wednesday. He owns a Bargain Rating of 91%, and he’s taken over as the team’s primary playmaker with Jalen Green sidelined. He’s thrived in that role, racking up at least nine assists in three straight games, and he’s scored at least 44.5 FanDuel points in back-to-back games.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has gotten extremely pricy on DraftKings, but there’s no denying his upside on Wednesday. Not only is Giannis one of the best producers in fantasy – he’s averaged 1.74 DraftKings points per minute – but he’s in arguably the best spot of the day vs. the Hornets. The Bucks are currently implied for 120.0 points, and no other team is implied for more than 112. That’s a massive discrepancy. The Hornets rank third in pace and 26th in defensive efficiency, so Giannis can do some serious damage in this matchup.
Chimezie Metu has played a significant role for the Kings recently, and he’s coming off 35.25 DraftKings points over 35.8 minutes on Tuesday. We’re still waiting on the Kings’ injury report for Wednesday’s matchup vs. the Clippers, but there’s a chance he’ll be leaned on heavily once again. Harrison Barnes, Moe Harkless, and Marvin Bagley all missed that contest, leaving the team without a ton of forward options behind Metu.
Mason Plumlee remains out of the lineup for the Hornets, so P.J. Washington should continue to see a boost in value. He’s played at least 31.8 minutes in each of his past two games, and Washington has averaged 1.01 DraftKings points per minute this season. That’s a nice combination of volume and efficiency for someone with a modest price tag across the industry.
There’s no reason to stop going to the well with Bobby Portis. He’s been fantastic for the Bucks recently, posting an average Plus/Minus of +5.86 over his past 10 games on FanDuel, and he’s averaged 1.12 FanDuel points per minute over the past month. He’ll take the floor in the same elite spot as Antetokounmpo, but he might own an even better individual matchup. Portis owns an Opponent Plus/Minus of +4.63 on FanDuel, which is the third-highest mark at the position.
If Edwards is ruled out for the Timberwolves, it’s going to be very hard to get away from Karl-Anthony Towns. It’s been a quiet start to the year for the star big man, which has caused his price tag to plummet across the industry. However, Towns has increased his usage rate by +6.6% with Edwards off the court this season. He’s averaged 1.42 DraftKings points per minute in that situation, which represents a sizable boost in production.
Towns really stands out on FanDuel at just $8,800. It results in a Bargain Rating of 92%, and Towns has historically averaged a Plus/Minus of +4.48 with a comparable salary.
Richaun Holmes returned to the Kings’ lineup on Tuesday after missing the previous three games, and he wasted little time making an impact. He racked up 44.25 DraftKings points over 33.4 minutes, making him an awesome value at just $6,200. He’s even cheaper at $5,800 on Wednesday’s slate, so he’s worth heavy consideration.
The top individual matchup on the slate belongs to Christian Wood, who owns an Opponent Plus/Minus of +6.59 on FanDuel Sportsbook. Wood has gotten significantly more expensive recently, but he’s been worth every penny. He’s dominated since the injury to Green, racking up at least 59.2 FanDuel points in back-to-back games.
Wendell Carter Jr. was slightly disappointing in his last outing, but he still played 33.7 minutes. He didn’t reach that threshold in each of his previous three contests, but he scored at least 36.75 DraftKings points in each of them. That makes him a clear bounce-back target vs. the Nuggets.