Tuesday features a six-game slate starting at 7 p.m. ET.
Let’s dive into some of the top plays using the FantasyLabs Tools and metrics.
Note: Projections and Leverages Scores/Ratings may change throughout the day after this article is posted. The NBA DFS landscape changes quickly. Consult the Player Models directly for any updates as we get closer to lock.
Ja Morant is coming off a disappointing 35.25 DraftKings points in his last contest, but he was limited to just 31.4 minutes. His subpar outing has caused his price to drop to just $8,900 on DraftKings for Tuesday’s matchup vs. the Warriors, and that’s an extremely appealing price tag. It results in a Bargain Rating of 93%, and Morant has averaged 1.46 DraftKings points per minute over the past month. That’s the top mark at the position on today’s slate.
Morant should also benefit from the continued absence of Dillon Brooks. He’s increased his usage rate by a team-high +1.3% with Brooks off the court this season.
Point guard doesn’t stand out as a strong value position on Tuesday. Monte Morris is probably the safest bet if you’re going to go cheap. He returned to the Nuggets’ lineup three games ago, and he’s played at least 29.4 minutes in two of those contests. He’s currently projected for 28 minutes in our NBA Models, and Morris has averaged 0.87 DraftKings points per minute over the past month. Morris has also increased his usage rate by +3.2% with Michael Porter Jr. and Will Barton off the court this season, which is the top mark on the team.
Cade Cunningham stands out as egregiously mispriced at just $6,500 on FanDuel. He finished with 49.2 FanDuel points vs. the Jazz in his last outing, and his price tag actually decreased. His current salary comes with a Bargain Rating of 97%, and his 10 Pro Trends are tied for the most at the position. He’s really tough to avoid on Tuesday’s slate.
Devonte’ Graham has posted a Plus/Minus of -9.98 or worse in back-to-back games, but he continues to play tons of minutes for the Pelicans. He’s currently projected for 32 minutes in a nice matchup vs. the Timberwolves, and Graham has averaged 0.89 DraftKings points per minute over the past month. He’s a nice option across the industry.
The Bulls are an elite source of value tonight on FanDuel. Zach LaVine is priced at a massive discount – his $7,500 salary comes with a Bargain Rating of 98% – but DeMar DeRozan is my preferred target. He’s not quite as good of a value given his Bargain Rating of 89%, but he’s been the more effective player recently. He’s averaged 1.20 FanDuel points per minute over the past month, and he’s scored at least 38.8 FanDuel points in five of his past seven games.
The Bulls also stand out from a matchup perspective. They’re taking on the Pistons, who rank just 22nd in defensive efficiency. The Bulls are currently implied for 116.75 points, which is the top mark on the slate.
Cameron Payne has dual PG/SG eligibility, and he always has the potential for a big fantasy performance. He’s averaged 1.03 DraftKings points per minute this season, so he’s capable of racking up fantasy points quickly. He doesn’t typically play many minutes – he’s currently projected for 25 on Tuesday’s slate – but a lack of playing time hasn’t stopped him from posting a positive Plus/Minus in four of his past seven games.
If you don’t want to go as cheap as Payne, Lu Dort is a viable alternative. He’s slightly more expensive at $5,200 on DraftKings, but his playing time is much more secure. He’s projected for 32 minutes in our NBA Models, and Dort has averaged 0.83 DraftKings points per minute this season.
Terance Mann stands out as a nice value option on FanDuel. His $4,700 salary comes with a Bargain Rating of 85%, and he’s been an excellent source of value recently. He’s posted a positive Plus/Minus in six of his past seven games, and he’s racked up plenty of playing time in place of the injured Paul George.
It’s been a bit of a disappointing year for Brandon Ingram. He’s on pace for his worst scoring season as a member of the Pelicans, and he’s posted an average Plus/Minus of -3.38 on DraftKings. However, he has started to turn things around recently. He’s increased his production to 1.17 DraftKings points per minute over the past month, and he has the potential for a big game vs. the Timberwolves. The total on that game sits at a slate-high 227.0 points, and the Timberwolves have played at the sixth-fastest pace this season.
Scottie Barnes is currently questionable for the Raptors, but he is undoubtedly too cheap if he’s able to suit up. He’s been priced down to just $5,600 on FanDuel, resulting in a Bargain Rating of 95%, and his 10 Pro Trends are tied for the top mark at the position. He’s currently projected for 36 minutes in our NBA Models, and he’s averaged 0.94 FanDuel points per minute this season. That’s an excellent combination.
Josh Hart missed the Pelicans’ last game, but he’s listed as available for Tuesday’s matchup vs. the Timberwolves. Hart has been an elite fantasy value for most of the season, and he’s averaged 1.00 DraftKings points per minute over the past month. He shouldn’t be limited following a one-game absence, and he’s logged at least 37.2 minutes in two of his past three games. He’s an excellent option at just $6,300 on DraftKings.
Kyle Anderson played through a questionable tag on Sunday, and he finished with 42.25 DraftKings points over 28.8 minutes. If he sees a comparable workload on Tuesday, he should be able to provide excellent value at just $5,000. Anderson has averaged 0.98 DraftKings points per minute this season, which is an awesome mark considering his price tag.
It’s getting very tough to ignore Kyle Kuzma. He’s gotten extremely pricy across the industry, but it’s justified based on his recent level of play. He’s posted a positive Plus/Minus in seven straight games on DraftKings, and he’s coming off 27 points and 22 rebounds in his last outing. Overall, Kuzma has increased his production to 1.13 DraftKings points per minute over the past month, and he’s logged at least 38.3 minutes in four of his past five games. He may not need to play that much on Tuesday with Montrezl Harrell back in the lineup, but his upside is undeniable at this point.
The Suns are currently without Cameron Johnson, which opens up a few additional minutes for Jae Crowder. He was mediocre in his return to the lineup in the Suns’ last game, finishing with just 18.75 DraftKings points over 26.5 minutes, but Crowder has averaged a respectable 0.74 DraftKings points per minute this season. He’s also projected for 31 minutes in our NBA Models, so he should be able to pay off his minimal salary across the industry.
Darius Bazley is dirt cheap at $3,800 on DraftKings, and his playing time has been limited since returning to the lineup three games ago. However, he’s posted a positive Plus/Minus in two of those contests, and he’s averaged 0.90 DraftKings points per minute over the past month.
OG Anunoby is another potential option for the Raptors. He’s coming off a dreadful performance in his last game, but he’s averaged 0.94 FanDuel points per minute this season. He routinely plays upwards of 36 minutes, and he could see a few additional minutes if Barnes or Gary Trent Jr. are ruled out vs. the Suns.
There are stars, there are superstars, and then there is Nikola Jokic. He has reached a level of production where he has no real comparable from a fantasy perspective. He’s capable of dominating a game in so many ways, resulting in an average of 1.82 DraftKings points per minute.
The only thing that has been able to stop him recently has been reduced minutes. He’s scored at least 56.0 DraftKings points in seven of his past eight games, and he’s had 63.75 or more in four of them. He is the safest investment in fantasy at the moment, and he possesses the highest ceiling as well. Fade him at your own risk.
Harrell should garner immediate interest in his return to the Wizards’ lineup. He’s been priced down across the industry, and he’s historically been an excellent producer on a per-minute basis. He’s averaged 1.14 DraftKings points per minute this season, so he can pay off his current salary even if he’s limited.
Ivica Zubac has the unenviable task of trying to slow down Jokic on Tuesday. His odds of success are slim, but the matchup is a positive for his fantasy output. Zubac should see plenty of playing time – he’s currently projected for 28.0 minutes – and he’s averaged 1.00 DraftKings points per minute over the past month.
If you don’t want to eat the chalk with Jokic on FanDuel, Jonas Valanciunas is an interesting pivot. He’s underpriced at $7,900, resulting in a Bargain Rating of 91%, and Valanciunas is capable of racking up fantasy points in bunches. He’s posted a Plus/Minus of at least +11.52 in two of his past three games, and he has the chance for another big game vs. the Timberwolves. His Opponent Plus/Minus of +2.42 is one of the top marks at the position.