NFL DFS Picks: Week 2 Main Slate DraftKings Breakdown

Football is back! Week 2 features a 12-game main slate that kicks off at 1:00 p.m. ET.

In this article, I’ll be using various FantasyLabs tools and other industry metrics to break down the DFS slate.

Don’t forget to check out our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups or our Lineup Optimizer for those of you who like to enter multiple lineups into tournaments.

Oh yeah! And our SimLabs Lineup Generator gives you the ability to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.

You can check out our in-depth SimLabs guide here.

Finally, make sure to check out all the projections available for purchase (Chris Raybon’s come included with a FantasyLabs subscription) within the FantasyLabs Models. Projections from One Week Season and Establish the Run are available if you’re a subscriber to those specific sites (our optimizer is a separate add-on feature).

You can also combine them to create your own aggregate projections:

NFL DFS Quarterback Picks

Stud: Josh Allen ($7,100) Buffalo Bills (-6.5) at New York Jets (46.5 Total)

Last week, the last two NFL MVPs met on the field in a barn-burner Sunday Night Football game. This week, both Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson ($7,000) are on the Week 2 main slate, where they’re meeting at the top of our projections.

Allen topped 40 DraftKings points in Week 1, but his takeover of the game late was necessitated by the Ravens having a big lead. This week his Bills are favored by about a touchdown against the Jets, so the odds of the game script working out that way are less likely.

They aren’t zero, though, as the Jets offense surprisingly put up 32 points on a solid Steelers defense in Week 1. The Bills are a better defense on paper but will be without stud defensive tackle Ed Oliver this week.

All of which is relevant because the biggest impediment to Allen scoring points this week is the Jets offense not pushing him. The Jets defense gave up 34 points to Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers last week, so Allen should be able to take whatever he wants.

I consider him the higher range of outcome option of the two stud quarterbacks, as this game has a tighter spread than Jackson’s but the Bills have a lower team total. That makes him more of a GPP play in my book, but he’s not a bad cash game option if you want to spend up at QB.

Value: Mac Jones ($4,000) San Francisco 49ers (-3) at New Orleans Saints (40.5 Total)

You probably don’t want to spend up at QB, though. That’s because we have an old-school injury-driven misprice, as Brock Purdy is set to miss a few weeks for the 49ers. His backup, Mac Jones, was left at the minimum salary on DraftKings since this news broke late.

Jones isn’t a starting NFL QB for a reason, but he has plenty of NFL experience as a serviceable replacement. He topped 13 DraftKings points in five of his eight extended appearances last season with Jacksonville, which would be good for more than 3x his Week 2 salary.

Plus, the talent around him in San Francisco — even with all the injuries — makes it a bit easier to post a respectable score. He can throw checkdowns to Christian McCaffrey and let CMC do the rest and still post a respectable number.

Especially against a Saints defense that we had ranked 30th coming into the season. This game is also in the dome in New Orleans, making it an ideal spot for Jones. He’s a cash game must that I’m probably avoiding in GPPs due to his likely ownership and lack of ceiling

Quick Hits

Lamar Jackson ($7,000): Jackson and the Ravens are implied for a slate-high 28.5 points this week, as they host the division rival Browns. The question is how much of that production comes from Jackson, and how much of it comes via the ground game (or even the defense). Jackson probably gets his early and cruises to a ~20-point performance, but it’s hard to see him going much past that here.

Jared Goff ($6,000): Goff and the Lions looked lost in Week 1, with an uninspired offensive performance against the Packers. Goff also led the league in fantasy points per attempt against man coverage last season and is taking on a Bears team that played man coverage 50% of the time last week. The Lions offense could be truly broken, or they could get back on track at home in a much better situation in Week 2. While I’m not convinced the latter happens, stacking Detroit when sentiment is at a minimum could pay off in a big way.

Dak Prescott ($5,900): Dak Prescott was much better than his stat line indicated last week, with top wide receiver CeeDee Lamb dropping three catchable passes that could’ve extended drives and led to more production for Dallas. Now they get an easier overall matchup against the Giants, at home, with Prescott priced below $6,000. This is another buy-low spot I want to be on in Week 2.

NFL DFS Running Back Picks