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Raybon’s Week 14 NFL DFS Breakdown: Build Around Free Square Ian Thomas

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This article is a data-driven deep dive on strategic decision-making and roster construction for DFS cash games and tournaments. It relies heavily upon FantasyLabs’ extensive suite of analytical DFS tools, as well as advanced metrics and film study. First, I walk through narrowing down the player pool at each position. Then, I lay out how to choose the highest-floor lineup combinations for cash games. Finally, I go game-by-game to present the biggest edges (stacks, pivots, leverage opportunities, etc.) in each.

Week 14 shmoney time.

Quarterback (Cash)

  • Lamar Jackson, Ravens ($7,400 DK, $9,000 FD) at BUF
  • Ryan Tannehill, Titans ($5,800 DK, $7,300 FD) at OAK

Lamar Jackson‘s $7,400 DraftKings price tag is too cheap. Jackson failed to post at least 21.28 DK points only once all season, averaging an 8.81 Plus/Minus and surpassing salary-based expectations in 12-of-13 games (92%). Traveling up to Western New York to play Sean McDermott’s defense is no easy task, but Buffalo’s Opponent Plus/Minus of +1.4 rates as a slightly favorable 12th among the 26 matchups on the slate.

Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8).

FanDuel has taken more aggressive pricing measures with Jackson ($9,000), so it makes more sense to pay down. Ryan Tannehill stands out at $7,300. Since taking over as the starter, Tannehill ranks in the top five among QBs with 23.12 FanDuel points per game. This week he faces Raiders, who are allowing a +5.69 Plus/Minus and 75% Consistency Rating against QBs this season, according to our NFL Trends tool. Those figures which jump to 82% and +6.89, respectively, if you remove the game in which they faced sub-replacement-level Bengals tank driver Ryan Finley.

Running Back (Cash)

This article is a data-driven deep dive on strategic decision-making and roster construction for DFS cash games and tournaments. It relies heavily upon FantasyLabs’ extensive suite of analytical DFS tools, as well as advanced metrics and film study. First, I walk through narrowing down the player pool at each position. Then, I lay out how to choose the highest-floor lineup combinations for cash games. Finally, I go game-by-game to present the biggest edges (stacks, pivots, leverage opportunities, etc.) in each.

Week 14 shmoney time.

Quarterback (Cash)

  • Lamar Jackson, Ravens ($7,400 DK, $9,000 FD) at BUF
  • Ryan Tannehill, Titans ($5,800 DK, $7,300 FD) at OAK

Lamar Jackson‘s $7,400 DraftKings price tag is too cheap. Jackson failed to post at least 21.28 DK points only once all season, averaging an 8.81 Plus/Minus and surpassing salary-based expectations in 12-of-13 games (92%). Traveling up to Western New York to play Sean McDermott’s defense is no easy task, but Buffalo’s Opponent Plus/Minus of +1.4 rates as a slightly favorable 12th among the 26 matchups on the slate.

Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (8).

FanDuel has taken more aggressive pricing measures with Jackson ($9,000), so it makes more sense to pay down. Ryan Tannehill stands out at $7,300. Since taking over as the starter, Tannehill ranks in the top five among QBs with 23.12 FanDuel points per game. This week he faces Raiders, who are allowing a +5.69 Plus/Minus and 75% Consistency Rating against QBs this season, according to our NFL Trends tool. Those figures which jump to 82% and +6.89, respectively, if you remove the game in which they faced sub-replacement-level Bengals tank driver Ryan Finley.

Running Back (Cash)