This article is a data-driven deep dive on strategic decision-making and roster construction for DFS cash games and tournaments. It relies heavily upon FantasyLabs’ extensive suite of analytical DFS tools, as well as advanced metrics and film study. For cash games, I walk through narrowing down the player pool at each position and choosing the highest-floor lineup combinations. Then comes a game-by-game tournament breakdown through which I highlight the biggest edges (stacks, pivots, leverage opportunities, etc.) in each game.
The 2019 Divisional Round kicks off Saturday with 49ers-Vikings at 4:35 p.m. ET. DraftKings is featuring its biggest contests in a main slate with all four games and also offers Saturday- and Sunday-only contests, while FanDuel’s featured slates are Saturday- and Sunday-only, though they are also offering a four-game slate.
This breakdown will primarily focus on the main slate, though lineup builds for the one-day slates are also discussed in the Lineup Construction section. Both sites also feature single-game showdown contests, and I will also be publishing Showdown breakdowns for each game.
Divisional Round shmoney time.
- Lamar Jackson, Ravens ($8,400 DK, $9,400 FD) vs. TEN
Lamar Jackson has topped 30 DraftKings points in an absurd 8-of-15 games. And even without the benefit of yardage bonuses, the MVP frontrunner scored fewer than 20 FanDuel points only once all season. For comparison, Patrick Mahomes topped 30 DraftKings points in 4-of-13 healthy games and failed to crack 20 FanDuel points in 7-of-13.
Jackson should be able to keep it going against a Titans defense that allowed opposing quarterbacks to surpass their salary-based expectations at a rate of 71% on DraftKings an 65% on FanDuel, according to our NFL Trends tool. As has been the case for months now with every slate he’s been a part of, Jackson registers the highest median and ceiling projection on the slate in our NFL Player Models.