It all comes down to this. Super Bowl LVII pits the Eagles against the Chiefs Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET. The Eagles are listed as 1.5-point favorites, while the total sits at 50.5 points.
In this article, I’ll be using various FantasyLabs tools and other industry metrics to break down the slate.
Don’t forget to check out our Lineup Builder if you like to hand build your lineups or our Lineup Optimizer for those of you that like to enter multiple lineups into tournaments.
Finally, make sure to check out all the projections available for purchase within the FantasyLabs Models. Subscribers now have the option to purchase Derek Carty’s THE BLITZ from our Marketplace. Projections from One Week Season and Establish the Run are available if you’re a subscriber to those specific sites (our optimizer is a separate add-on feature).
You can also combine them to create your own aggregate projections:
NFL DFS Stud Picks
The final game of the year features arguably the two best quarterbacks in fantasy football. Jalen Hurts led all quarterbacks with an average of 25.6 fantasy points per game, while Patrick Mahomes was second at 25.2. Both players get the job done in different ways, but both players are capable of going off every time they take the field.
Hurts is slightly more expensive than Mahomes, which makes sense when you consider the matchups. The Chiefs were a much friendlier matchup for quarterbacks this season. They ranked 20th in Football Outsiders pass defense DVOA, and they allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing passers.
Hurts also checks in with a higher ceiling projection in THE BLITZ, largely due to his rushing upside. He was an absolute menace with his legs during the regular season, averaging 50.7 rushing yards per game. He was also one of the top goal line threats in the league, punching in 13 touchdowns in 15 games. That was the top mark on the Eagles, and only Jamaal Williams had more rushing touchdowns in the entire NFL.
Hurts has found the paint in both of his playoff contests, but he hasn’t looked the same as a runner since returning from injury. He’s still been quite active on the ground, averaging just under 10 carries in his last three contests, but he’s averaged just 2.97 yards per attempt. His passing production has also taken a hit, and Hurts has finished with 14.74 DraftKings points or less in two of his past three games.
Hopefully, an additional week of rest will allow Hurts to return to his usual self vs. the Chiefs.