This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze MLB stacks in the day’s slate. The series does not provide play or fade recommendations. It provides analysis.
Minnesota Twins
With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters. One of the top five-man DraftKings stacks in the Bales Model belongs to the Twins:
The Twins have the second-highest implied total on the slate with 5.3 runs (per our Vegas Dashboard). They are taking on Orioles righty Dylan Bundy, who has the slate’s worst recent batted ball distance, exit velocity, and hard hit rate.
That’s bad news against Miguel Sano, who has elite recent Statcast data: He leads the stack with an average batted ball distance of 233 feet, an exit velocity of 93 miles per hour, and a hard hit rate of 42 percent. Max Kepler has wOBA and ISO differentials of .139 and .174, top-six marks among all batters today.
Houston Astros
On FanDuel, the top four-man stack in the CSURAM88 Model belongs to the Astros, who have an implied total of 5.1 runs:
The Astros are taking on Blue Jays lefty Francisco Liriano, who has the slate’s worst WHIP at 1.482. Per our Trends tool, over the last three seasons pitchers with similar WHIPs have averaged a poor -1.88 Plus/Minus.
George Springer is the model’s highest-rated player and leads the stack with wOBA and ISO differentials of .079 and .135. Springer has been hitting the ball exceptionally well over the last 10 games: He’s posted a +8.41 Plus/Minus, and his salary has increased only $200 since then. Over the same time frame, Evan Gattis has averaged a +2.51 Plus/Minus and a 50 percent Consistency mark; his salary has decreased by $200. Projected to bat cleanup, he’s a great value at $2,700 on FanDuel, where he comes with a high 98 percent Bargain Rating.
Cleveland Indians
The top three-man DraftKings stack in the CSURAM88 Model belongs to the Indians. A mini-stack is a great way to fill out your roster with correlation.
The Indians have a slate-high implied total of 5.5 runs. Per our MLB Lineups page, Francisco Lindor is projected to bat second and is the highest-rated player in this stack, which is no surprise given his eight Pro Trends. With a recent exit velocity of 93 miles per hour and hard hit rate of 44 percent, Lindor’s recent Statcast data leads the stack. Michael Brantley leads the stack with wOBA and ISO differentials of .058 and .076.
Stacking the top-three batters of the highest implied team could result in a chalky lineup; Pro Subscribers can review ownership via our DFS Ownership Dashboard after lock. That said, teams with a similar implied run total have historically had a +1.48 Plus/Minus and a 48 percent Consistency Rating. Given that amount of consistent value, it may be wise to eat the chalk with the Indians and find a contrarian five-man stack to pair with them.
News Updates
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players herein mentioned. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs:
