Our Blog


MLB Lineup Analysis 5/14: Carrasco in Prime Spot

Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.

Indians (-257) at Tigers (+234) — 7:10 PM EST

Tigers out: Jeimer Candelario (wrist), Nick Castellanos (finger)

Tigers in: Pete Kozma, Nick Goodrum

Jeimer Candelario has been placed on the 10-day disabled list due to a sore left wrist. He underwent an MRI on Sunday that showed nothing serious, and there is no official word yet on if the injury will require surgery. Nick Castellanos is also out of the lineup as he’ll miss his second consecutive game with a left finger contusion. Pete Kozma will man third base and hit second while Nick Goodrum draws the start in right field hitting seventh. With Miguel Cabrera still on the disabled list, the Tigers are arguably without their three best hitters facing off against Carlos Carrasco. The Tigers have seen their implied run total decrease to a slate-worst 3.3 runs and the Indians currently have a slate-best -257 moneyline. Carrasco will be the deserved chalk on FanDuel, where he carries a 98% Bargain Rating and leads all pitchers with 8.5 projected strikeouts. To help cement his spot atop the pitching options, he has also compiled an 8-1 record with a 1.45 ERA in his last 12 starts against the Tigers.

Mariners (+103) at Twins (-111) — 7:10 PM EST

Mariners out: Robinson Cano (hand)

Mariners in: Gordon Beckham

Robinson Cano was diagnosed with a fractured hand in Sunday’s game after being hit by a pitch in the third inning. Instead of moving Dee Gordon back to second base, the team has called up Gordon Beckham from the minors, and Beckham will immediately draw the start on Monday. Mitch Haniger will replace Cano in the three-hole while Nelson Cruz remains the cleanup hitter. Even without Cano, the Mariners are still implied to score a respectable 4.7 runs against opposing pitcher Jake OdorizziKyle Seager ranks as the top option in the lineup on both DraftKings and FanDuel in the Bales Model with favorable splits against right-handed pitchers. Seager’s team-high 60% fly-ball percentage over the last 15 days profiles remarkably well against Odorizzi, who carries the second-worst HR/9 rate among all starting pitchers in Monday’s main slate.

Twins out: Eddie Rosario

Twins in: Robbie Grossman

Eddie Rosario will receive a day off on Monday against left-handed pitcher Wade LeBlanc despite playing in four of the last five games against a lefty. Robbie Grossman will draw the start in left field and hit seventh, and the Twins are currently implied to score 4.9 runs. Grossman costs the minimum $2,000 on FanDuel and has exceptional batted-ball statistics over the last 15 days. LeBlanc has a disappointing 1.72 HR/9 rate over the last year and is currently projected for just 4.0 strikeouts, and a Twins stack could pay off with an 87 Team Rating on FD. Max Kepler makes for an intriguing option hitting third despite negative splits against lefties, as he ranks first on the team with a 54% Consistency Rating in the last month on FD.

Pictured: Carlos Carrasco
Photo via: Ken Blaze — USA TODAY Sports

Baseball is back! Check back here throughout the day for updated blurbs as teams confirm their lineup. We’ll keep you updated on some of the day’s highest-impact trends by utilizing our Models and Vegas dashboard. Projected and confirmed lineups for every game can be found on our MLB Daily Lineups page.

Indians (-257) at Tigers (+234) — 7:10 PM EST

Tigers out: Jeimer Candelario (wrist), Nick Castellanos (finger)

Tigers in: Pete Kozma, Nick Goodrum

Jeimer Candelario has been placed on the 10-day disabled list due to a sore left wrist. He underwent an MRI on Sunday that showed nothing serious, and there is no official word yet on if the injury will require surgery. Nick Castellanos is also out of the lineup as he’ll miss his second consecutive game with a left finger contusion. Pete Kozma will man third base and hit second while Nick Goodrum draws the start in right field hitting seventh. With Miguel Cabrera still on the disabled list, the Tigers are arguably without their three best hitters facing off against Carlos Carrasco. The Tigers have seen their implied run total decrease to a slate-worst 3.3 runs and the Indians currently have a slate-best -257 moneyline. Carrasco will be the deserved chalk on FanDuel, where he carries a 98% Bargain Rating and leads all pitchers with 8.5 projected strikeouts. To help cement his spot atop the pitching options, he has also compiled an 8-1 record with a 1.45 ERA in his last 12 starts against the Tigers.

Mariners (+103) at Twins (-111) — 7:10 PM EST

Mariners out: Robinson Cano (hand)

Mariners in: Gordon Beckham

Robinson Cano was diagnosed with a fractured hand in Sunday’s game after being hit by a pitch in the third inning. Instead of moving Dee Gordon back to second base, the team has called up Gordon Beckham from the minors, and Beckham will immediately draw the start on Monday. Mitch Haniger will replace Cano in the three-hole while Nelson Cruz remains the cleanup hitter. Even without Cano, the Mariners are still implied to score a respectable 4.7 runs against opposing pitcher Jake OdorizziKyle Seager ranks as the top option in the lineup on both DraftKings and FanDuel in the Bales Model with favorable splits against right-handed pitchers. Seager’s team-high 60% fly-ball percentage over the last 15 days profiles remarkably well against Odorizzi, who carries the second-worst HR/9 rate among all starting pitchers in Monday’s main slate.

Twins out: Eddie Rosario

Twins in: Robbie Grossman

Eddie Rosario will receive a day off on Monday against left-handed pitcher Wade LeBlanc despite playing in four of the last five games against a lefty. Robbie Grossman will draw the start in left field and hit seventh, and the Twins are currently implied to score 4.9 runs. Grossman costs the minimum $2,000 on FanDuel and has exceptional batted-ball statistics over the last 15 days. LeBlanc has a disappointing 1.72 HR/9 rate over the last year and is currently projected for just 4.0 strikeouts, and a Twins stack could pay off with an 87 Team Rating on FD. Max Kepler makes for an intriguing option hitting third despite negative splits against lefties, as he ranks first on the team with a 54% Consistency Rating in the last month on FD.

Pictured: Carlos Carrasco
Photo via: Ken Blaze — USA TODAY Sports