What kind of performances can we expect in the Super Bowl from Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes? Follow along as our NFL betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down his three favorite Super Bowl prop bets for the featured quarterbacks. Don’t live in a legal sports betting state? Use our Boom Fantasy promo code for a risk-free entry on DFS props
On Sunday, the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will meet in Super Bowl 57 at State Farm Stadium. During the regular season, both of these teams won 14 games to earn the 1-seed in their respective conference. Ahead of kickoff, the value on the side and total has been stripped of its initial value, but there remain plenty of opportunities for bettors to attack on the player prop market. Below, we have three passing props worth considering for this weekend!
Hurts, Mahomes Super Bowl Props
- Jalen Hurts o1.5 Passing Touchdowns
- Patrick Mahomes o25.5 Pass Completions
- Patrick Mahomes o1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Jalen Hurts o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-106), FanDuel Sportsbook
According to props.cash, Jalen Hurts has eclipsed this number in 9-of-17 games played this season, including 8-of-12 contests since Week 6. Per Warren Sharp, the Kansas City Chiefs allowed multiple passing touchdowns to 11 of 17 opposing quarterbacks during the regular season, with the exceptions being Bryce Perkins, Malik Willis, Jeff Driskell, Geno Smith, Russell Wilson, and Jarrett Stidham. Kansas City played 13 games this fall with a pre-game market total of 47 points or higher. In those contests, the opposing quarterback threw for multiple touchdowns 11 times. Further supporting this play, the Chiefs were one of the league’s best defenses this season when they were able to get pressure, but one of the worst defenses when they were unable to get pressure. Facing an elite Philadelphia Eagles offensive line, Hurts could be in for a big day – take the over here.
Patrick Mahomes o25.5 Completions (-120), BetMGM
Per props.cash, Patrick Mahomes has eclipsed this market number in only nine of 19 games played this year, but he has three additional games with at least 24 pass completions, and one of his misses was in the divisional round against the Jacksonville Jaguars when he was forced to miss nearly an entire half due to injury. The Philadelphia Eagles have allowed 25 completions or more this season to Kirk Cousins, Carson Wentz, Kyler Murray, Kenny Pickett, and Dak Prescott. Mahomes has cleared this market number in six consecutive playoff games (excluding the divisional round against Jacksonville) and seven of his last eight postseason contests overall. Take the over in this spot.
Patrick Mahomes o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-192), FanDuel Sportsbook
It is rarely, if ever worthwhile to pay this kind of juice on a standalone player prop, but it is extremely difficult to see how Patrick Mahomes falls short of this number this Sunday. Mahomes has cleared this market number in 9-of-11 postseason games since 2019, meaning that his hit-rate far outweighs the implied odds in this spot – even at a heavy line. If uncomfortable playing this by itself, bettors can use this as a high-quality parlay piece to attack other spots on the board.
If you are not in a state with legal sports betting, you can target Patrick Mahomes o1.5 touchdown passes using our Vivid Picks promo code in a DFS game.