Using our Stacking tool found within our revamped Models 3.0, this piece will identify some of the top stacks of the weekend. Check out our new Correlations page as well to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
Quarterback + Wide Receiver
- Ben Roethlisberger ($6,400 DraftKings, $7,900 FanDuel)
- Antonio Brown ($8,400 DraftKings, $8,800 FanDuel)
Both Roethlisberger and Brown will be criminally underowned this week because of a difficult matchup with the Jacksonville Jaguars. If you’re looking for a potentially low-owned stack with Millionaire Maker-winning upside, look no further than this Steelers duo. Matthew Freedman already dropped some verbal knowledge about Big Ben in this week’s QB Breakdown, so I won’t even try to expound upon it:
Roethlisberger is the pivot quarterback for this slate. He has a tough matchup against the Jaguars, who this year have held quarterbacks to position-low marks of 8.4 DraftKings and 7.4 FanDuel PPG, but the Steelers are implied for 26.0 points as -8.5 home favorites, and Roethliberger has been the league’s best home quarterback since 2014 with 26.93 DraftKings and 24.53 FanDuel PPG. He’s been bad this year with -4.11 DraftKings and -3.86 FanDuel Plus/Minus values, but he’s projected for less than 5.0 percent ownership. In the words of George Costanza, “This is the signal, Jerry.”
Brown ranks second in the league with 45 targets and 388 receiving yards in four games. Per Bryan Mears’ Market Share Report, his 32.14 percent target share is nearly double the marks of his closest teammates in Le’Veon Bell and Martavis Bryant (both at 16.43 percent). According to our Trends tool, Brown has profited from Roethlisberger’s severe home/away splits, averaging a delicious 29.48 DraftKings points per game with a +10.21 Plus/Minus and 81.0 percent Consistency Rating as a home favorite since 2014.
Running Back + D/ST
- Ezekiel Elliott ($8,800 DraftKings, $8,900 FanDuel)
- Dallas Defense ($2,100 DraftKings, $4,400 FanDuel)
This Cowboys stack is currently projected for the second-most points on FanDuel. Elliott has rushed for at least 80 yards and one touchdown in two straight games and is facing the Packers as a -2.5 favorite in the game with the highest total (53) on the slate. Elliott currently has our second-highest points and ceiling projections for FanDuel. He is the unquestioned bell-cow in Dallas with 88.37 percent of the rushes and a team-high six opportunities inside the 10-yard line. He’s been very good as a home favorite, hitting his salary-based expectations in 70 percent of games at AT&T Stadium while averaging 19.04 FanDuel PPG. As discussed on the Week 5 NFL Daily Fantasy Flex, we’re expecting Zeke to be chalky: He is currently projected for a slate-high 31-40 percent ownership, which is exactly why you need to pair him with the Dallas D/ST. Because Green Bay is implied to score 25.3 points in this Game of the Week, most players will shy away from using the Cowboys defense. That said, defensive points come from sacks and takeaways, and Dallas currently has our 10th-highest projected sack total (2.7); they’re tied for third in the league with 12 sacks so far this season. Pairing Dallas’ defense with genetic-freak Zeke is one way to get unique exposure to Elliott this week.
Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Wide Receiver
- Jay Cutler ($5,200 DraftKings, $6,700 FanDuel)
- Jarvis Landry ($5,800 DraftKings, $6,600 FanDuel)
- DeVante Parker ($6,600 DraftKings, $6,100 FanDuel)
One of the top-rated stacks for both DraftKings and FanDuel in the Bales Model, the Dolphins trio has the pleasure of facing a highly flammable Titans pass defense allowing the second-most DraftKings (46.0) and FanDuel (37.1) points per game to wide receivers. Tennessee’s pass defense has allowed the most touchdowns (eight), fourth-most receptions (59), and seventh-most yards (688) to receivers this season.
Jay Cutler is not a good real life quarterback, but he has attempted 35 passes per game this year; volume for fantasy scoring isn’t a problem. Landry has been a target monster this season, collecting an average of 11 per game, which puts him behind only DeAndre Hopkins (12.25) and Brown (11.25). Parker has gotten at least eight targets in all three career games with Cutler, and he leads the team in targets inside the 10-yard line. The two receivers have hogged a total of 57.14 percent of Cutler’s targets this season. Moreover, per Ian Hartitz’s Week 5 WR/CB Matchups piece, DeVante’s matchup is quite tasty:
Parker should see a mix of 5’9″ and 185-pound Brice McCain, as well as rookie Adoree’ Jackson, who is one of just five corners to allow three-plus touchdowns this season.
Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Tight End
Before I begin, allow me to share this from Freedman’s WR Breakdown:
If you construct 49ers stacks with the Lineup Builder, you’re an unquestioned degenerate.
His words, not mine. Thank you, Matthew.
- Brian Hoyer ($4,700 DraftKings, $6,500 FanDuel)
- Pierre Garcon ($6,100 DraftKings, $6,700 FanDuel)
- George Kittle ($2,500 DraftKings, $4,500 FanDuel)
You may be an unquestioned degenerate if you play this stack, but you’ll be one with a whopping $6,117 per player left on DraftKings.
Currently the top-rated DraftKings triple stack in both the Adam Levitan and CSURAM88 Models, the 49ers trio is likely to be extremely low-owned this week, making them worthy of a dart throw in gigantic guaranteed prize pools (GPPs) like the Millionaire Maker. Hoyer has had three brutal games this season and one masterpiece against the Rams, in which he threw for 332 yards and two touchdowns and rushed for a third. So it’s
impossible for him to have a good game, and this week’s matchup is a great one.
The 49ers are +1.5 road dogs against the Colts, who have given up 23.5 DraftKings (third-most) and 22.0 FanDuel (fourth-most) PPG to quarterbacks this season. Garcon leads the 49ers with a 22.6 percent target share and has been targeted 10 times in games twice this season. The Colts have allowed the eighth-most DraftKings (37.2) and FanDuel (30.2) points to wide receivers this season. Kittle has played the second-most offensive snaps on the team and was on the field for 75 snaps last week alone. He has been targeted the sixth-most (14) this season on the 49ers and is minimum-priced on both sites.