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Week 11 NFL DFS Stacks and Strategies: Build Around Josh Allen

This piece will identify some of my favorite DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking tool found within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky and more. Our Correlations page is also a great resource to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver

  • Josh Allen ($6600 DraftKings, $7800 FanDuel)
  • John Brown ($6400 DraftKings, $5900 FanDuel)

When these two teams played just one month ago, the spread was 17.5 points. This week it is down to six points, with a low over/under of 40.5 points. This will suppress ownership and provide the perfect contrarian QB + WR stack.

Allen provides the Konami code rushing upside, providing a high weekly fantasy floor. Last week, the Bills’ quarterback totaled 28 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns. His immense rushing upside has provided five QB13-or-higher fantasy finishes.

He just needs the big passing week to produce the breakout DFS performance.

In his first matchup against the Dolphins, Allen finished with 202 passing yards, 32 rushing yards, and two passing touchdowns for the overall QB11 performance. The Dolphins still rank 31st overall in defensive efficiency.

If Allen has a big passing game, the undoubted beneficiary would be John Brown, who has crested 51 receiving yards in every game this season.  He is averaging 7.9 targets and 5.2 receptions per game.

The projected low ownership, especially on DraftKings (5-8%) makes this big play QB + WR combo a sneaky contrarian Week 11 DFS stack.

Running Back + DEF/Special Teams

  • Dalvin Cook ($8900 DraftKings, $8600 FanDuel)
  • Vikings D/ST ($3400 DraftKings, $4700 FanDuel)

This is the best pivot option off Carolina running back Christian McCaffrey.

Cook is a dominant fantasy back, ranking first at the position in carries (203) and rushing yards (991), while also ranking second in receiving yards (424). He will face a Denver defense that has allowed 5.67 reception to opposing running backs.

In the absence of wide receiver Adam Thielen, Cook has totaled 16 receptions and 204 receiving yards over just three games.

In the last three seasons under Mike Zimmer, the Vikings have outscored their opponents at home by an average of 9.05 points. The Vikings average 24.7 points scored over that time, further indicating the likelihood of a run-heavy game script.

Minnesota’s run defense ranks fifth-best among all teams, putting more pressure on Denver quarterback Brandon Allen in his second-career start at the age of 27. The Vikings rank seventh in the league in sacks (29) and fourth in interceptions (nine).

I believe in the Vikings at home, which should translate to a positive game script that favors a Cook + Vikings D/ST stack.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Opposing Wide Reciever

  • Jameis Winston ($6500 DraftKings, $7600 FanDuel)
  • Chris Godwin ($7300 DraftKings, $8000 FanDuel)
  • Tre’Quan Smith ($3800 DraftKings, $4900 FanDuel)

As the projected second highest-scoring game on the main Sunday slate, it is important to find exposure to both the Saints and Buccaneers. Tampa’s defense struggles against the pass and New Orleans is dealing with a significant injury in its secondary, so a QB + WR + Opposing WR stack seems completely appropriate.

With Saints’ cornerback Marshon Lattimore probably out this week, Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston receives an additional advantage against a New Orleans defense he has historically performed well against. Earlier this season, Winston produced the overall QB13 week, tallying 204 passing yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions.

In that game, Buccaneers wide receiver Chris Godwin torched Saints’ cornerback P.J. Williams for seven receptions, 125 yards, and two touchdowns. With teammate Mike Evans (second in WR FPPG) dominating the recent production, this is a prime spot for another big Godwin performance. He is also the cheaper Tampa Bay wide receiver option on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

New Orleans wide receiver Tre’Quan Smith is the forgotten player in the Saints’ passing game, after finally recovering from a Week 2 ankle injury. The second-year wideout with 4.49 40-yard dash speed, produced overall WR3 and WR5 last season. His price point on both DraftKings and FanDuel provides a much cheaper pivot off uber-productive, but expensive teammate, Michael Thomas.

The Buccaneers also allow the most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers, providing Smith with an even better opportunity for a big week at an incredibly low price.

I expect a big bounce-back from the Saints offense, after failing to score a touchdown for the first time in Drew Brees’ New Orleans career. That means the Buccaneers will need to keep pace, and Godwin’s athleticism and slot ability give him the likelihood of a big performance at home.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Opposing Pass Catcher

  • Tom Brady ($6400 DraftKings, $7800 FanDuel)
  • Julian Edelman ($7600 DraftKings, $7400 FanDuel)
  • Dallas Goedert ($3200 DraftKings, $5000 FanDuel)

With huge over/under numbers in Tampa Bay-New Orleans and Houston-Baltimore, most DFS players are ignoring the pass production potential in New England-Philadelphia.

New England coming off a bye week is historically bad news for their opponents. Under Bill Belichick with eight or more days off as a road underdog, the Patriots are 28-15-3 (65.1%) against the spread per Bet Labs. The Eagles feature one of the league’s best run defenses, which will likely force the Patriots to attack the Eagles through the air. The Eagles allow the sixth-most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers.

Pairing Brady with Edelman is one of the safest plays on the slate, as the veteran New England wideout ranks fifth among all wide receivers in targets (90) and third in receptions (63). Edelman has an incredible 49 targets over the past four weeks.

The Eagles will be extremely short-handed in the passing game with wide receiver Alshon Jeffery ruled out with an ankle injury. Look for Belichick to take away All-Pro tight end Zach Ertz, leaving Goedert with an opportunity for increased target volume and an incredibly low price.

With wideout DeSean Jackson out for the season, Goedert saw a season-high 83.8% snap share last week at Chicago (PlayerProfiler). He has seen 22 targets over the past four weeks and has three receiving touchdowns on the season.

Look for Brady to attack a weak Philadelphia pass defense with a ton of targets to Edelman, securing a high-floor for both players.

Also, the low ownership of Goedert (2-4%) provides a high-upside option at fantasy’s most challenging DFS position.

This piece will identify some of my favorite DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking tool found within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky and more. Our Correlations page is also a great resource to find hidden edges in stacking positions and games.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver

  • Josh Allen ($6600 DraftKings, $7800 FanDuel)
  • John Brown ($6400 DraftKings, $5900 FanDuel)

When these two teams played just one month ago, the spread was 17.5 points. This week it is down to six points, with a low over/under of 40.5 points. This will suppress ownership and provide the perfect contrarian QB + WR stack.

Allen provides the Konami code rushing upside, providing a high weekly fantasy floor. Last week, the Bills’ quarterback totaled 28 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns. His immense rushing upside has provided five QB13-or-higher fantasy finishes.

He just needs the big passing week to produce the breakout DFS performance.

In his first matchup against the Dolphins, Allen finished with 202 passing yards, 32 rushing yards, and two passing touchdowns for the overall QB11 performance. The Dolphins still rank 31st overall in defensive efficiency.

If Allen has a big passing game, the undoubted beneficiary would be John Brown, who has crested 51 receiving yards in every game this season.  He is averaging 7.9 targets and 5.2 receptions per game.

The projected low ownership, especially on DraftKings (5-8%) makes this big play QB + WR combo a sneaky contrarian Week 11 DFS stack.

Running Back + DEF/Special Teams

  • Dalvin Cook ($8900 DraftKings, $8600 FanDuel)
  • Vikings D/ST ($3400 DraftKings, $4700 FanDuel)

This is the best pivot option off Carolina running back Christian McCaffrey.

Cook is a dominant fantasy back, ranking first at the position in carries (203) and rushing yards (991), while also ranking second in receiving yards (424). He will face a Denver defense that has allowed 5.67 reception to opposing running backs.

In the absence of wide receiver Adam Thielen, Cook has totaled 16 receptions and 204 receiving yards over just three games.

In the last three seasons under Mike Zimmer, the Vikings have outscored their opponents at home by an average of 9.05 points. The Vikings average 24.7 points scored over that time, further indicating the likelihood of a run-heavy game script.

Minnesota’s run defense ranks fifth-best among all teams, putting more pressure on Denver quarterback Brandon Allen in his second-career start at the age of 27. The Vikings rank seventh in the league in sacks (29) and fourth in interceptions (nine).

I believe in the Vikings at home, which should translate to a positive game script that favors a Cook + Vikings D/ST stack.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Opposing Wide Reciever

  • Jameis Winston ($6500 DraftKings, $7600 FanDuel)
  • Chris Godwin ($7300 DraftKings, $8000 FanDuel)
  • Tre’Quan Smith ($3800 DraftKings, $4900 FanDuel)

As the projected second highest-scoring game on the main Sunday slate, it is important to find exposure to both the Saints and Buccaneers. Tampa’s defense struggles against the pass and New Orleans is dealing with a significant injury in its secondary, so a QB + WR + Opposing WR stack seems completely appropriate.

With Saints’ cornerback Marshon Lattimore probably out this week, Buccaneers quarterback Jameis Winston receives an additional advantage against a New Orleans defense he has historically performed well against. Earlier this season, Winston produced the overall QB13 week, tallying 204 passing yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions.

In that game, Buccaneers wide receiver Chris Godwin torched Saints’ cornerback P.J. Williams for seven receptions, 125 yards, and two touchdowns. With teammate Mike Evans (second in WR FPPG) dominating the recent production, this is a prime spot for another big Godwin performance. He is also the cheaper Tampa Bay wide receiver option on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

New Orleans wide receiver Tre’Quan Smith is the forgotten player in the Saints’ passing game, after finally recovering from a Week 2 ankle injury. The second-year wideout with 4.49 40-yard dash speed, produced overall WR3 and WR5 last season. His price point on both DraftKings and FanDuel provides a much cheaper pivot off uber-productive, but expensive teammate, Michael Thomas.

The Buccaneers also allow the most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers, providing Smith with an even better opportunity for a big week at an incredibly low price.

I expect a big bounce-back from the Saints offense, after failing to score a touchdown for the first time in Drew Brees’ New Orleans career. That means the Buccaneers will need to keep pace, and Godwin’s athleticism and slot ability give him the likelihood of a big performance at home.

Quarterback + Wide Receiver + Opposing Pass Catcher

  • Tom Brady ($6400 DraftKings, $7800 FanDuel)
  • Julian Edelman ($7600 DraftKings, $7400 FanDuel)
  • Dallas Goedert ($3200 DraftKings, $5000 FanDuel)

With huge over/under numbers in Tampa Bay-New Orleans and Houston-Baltimore, most DFS players are ignoring the pass production potential in New England-Philadelphia.

New England coming off a bye week is historically bad news for their opponents. Under Bill Belichick with eight or more days off as a road underdog, the Patriots are 28-15-3 (65.1%) against the spread per Bet Labs. The Eagles feature one of the league’s best run defenses, which will likely force the Patriots to attack the Eagles through the air. The Eagles allow the sixth-most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers.

Pairing Brady with Edelman is one of the safest plays on the slate, as the veteran New England wideout ranks fifth among all wide receivers in targets (90) and third in receptions (63). Edelman has an incredible 49 targets over the past four weeks.

The Eagles will be extremely short-handed in the passing game with wide receiver Alshon Jeffery ruled out with an ankle injury. Look for Belichick to take away All-Pro tight end Zach Ertz, leaving Goedert with an opportunity for increased target volume and an incredibly low price.

With wideout DeSean Jackson out for the season, Goedert saw a season-high 83.8% snap share last week at Chicago (PlayerProfiler). He has seen 22 targets over the past four weeks and has three receiving touchdowns on the season.

Look for Brady to attack a weak Philadelphia pass defense with a ton of targets to Edelman, securing a high-floor for both players.

Also, the low ownership of Goedert (2-4%) provides a high-upside option at fantasy’s most challenging DFS position.