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NBA Fantasy Breakdown (Wed. 5/8): Which Stud Should You Target?

Tuesday features a two-game slate starting at 8 p.m. ET.

If you’re interested in the single-game formats, be sure to check out the following pieces by Matt LaMarca:

Point Guard

Kyrie Irving and Stephen Curry are both top-three among all players on the slate in Projected Plus/Minus on DraftKings. The optimal lineup by projected points in our NBA Player Models includes Irving and Curry, but not James Harden, who edges them in Projected Plus/Minus by mere tenths of a point.

Chris Paul is another point guard who appears in the optimal DraftKings lineup. He’s a good value at $6,500 on DraftKings but not as attractive at $8,200 on FanDuel.

Eric Bledsoe continues to struggle offensively against Boston, but he’s capable of producing CP3-like numbers at a reduced cost and lower projected ownership.

Shooting Guard

I already mentioned that James Harden is the top value on the slate but not necessarily the optimal play, and if you’re looking paying down, Khris Middleton is the top alternative. Middleton has a top-six Projected Plus/Minus on both sites and is also ranked in the top six in terms of amount of Pro Trends.

Eric Gordon dropped 20 points against the Dubs for the third time in four games in Game 4. He’s averaging a +4.56 Plus/Minus and 80% Consistency over his past 10 and is one of the top options in the mid-tier salary range.

 

Small Forward

Giannis Antetokounmpo lays claim to the top Projected Plus/Minus at the position, though he trails other studs like Harden, Irving and Curry.

Kevin Durant has now dropped 30-plus in seven of his last eight games, but there’s so much value on the board that he’s the lowest-rated stud in the Phan Model and in terms of Projected Plus/Minus.

Power Forward

Marcus Morris posted a +6.43 DraftKings Plus/Minus and 90% Consistency Rating over his past 10 games, and has exceeded salary-based expectations in all four games of the series. He’s instrumental to the Celtics’ game plan against Milwaukee and played 34 minutes in game 4 even as Marcus Smart made his return.

P.J. Tucker’s has put up even better numbers than Morris over his past 10: +8.61 Plus/Minus, 90% Consistency. Tucker has been playing more small-ball 5 to combat the Warriors’ Hampton’s 5 lineup, which has led to an increase in rebounding (10, 12, 10 over his past three games).

Center

Draymond Green has hit value in all four games of the series thus far, posting at least 14 points and nine boards in each. He’s the top center-eligible value on DraftKings and the top power forward on FanDuel.

Al Horford second behind only green among centers on DraftKings, but with Green not eligible at the position on FanDuel, Horford leads all other centers there by more than four points. Even as his team has fallen into a 3-1 hole, Horford has been solid this series, scoring between 15-20 points in all four games.

News Updates

After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our NBA News Feed.

Pictured: Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30, left) and forward Kevin Durant (35, right)
Credit: Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

Tuesday features a two-game slate starting at 8 p.m. ET.

If you’re interested in the single-game formats, be sure to check out the following pieces by Matt LaMarca:

Point Guard

Kyrie Irving and Stephen Curry are both top-three among all players on the slate in Projected Plus/Minus on DraftKings. The optimal lineup by projected points in our NBA Player Models includes Irving and Curry, but not James Harden, who edges them in Projected Plus/Minus by mere tenths of a point.

Chris Paul is another point guard who appears in the optimal DraftKings lineup. He’s a good value at $6,500 on DraftKings but not as attractive at $8,200 on FanDuel.

Eric Bledsoe continues to struggle offensively against Boston, but he’s capable of producing CP3-like numbers at a reduced cost and lower projected ownership.

Shooting Guard

I already mentioned that James Harden is the top value on the slate but not necessarily the optimal play, and if you’re looking paying down, Khris Middleton is the top alternative. Middleton has a top-six Projected Plus/Minus on both sites and is also ranked in the top six in terms of amount of Pro Trends.

Eric Gordon dropped 20 points against the Dubs for the third time in four games in Game 4. He’s averaging a +4.56 Plus/Minus and 80% Consistency over his past 10 and is one of the top options in the mid-tier salary range.

 

Small Forward

Giannis Antetokounmpo lays claim to the top Projected Plus/Minus at the position, though he trails other studs like Harden, Irving and Curry.

Kevin Durant has now dropped 30-plus in seven of his last eight games, but there’s so much value on the board that he’s the lowest-rated stud in the Phan Model and in terms of Projected Plus/Minus.

Power Forward

Marcus Morris posted a +6.43 DraftKings Plus/Minus and 90% Consistency Rating over his past 10 games, and has exceeded salary-based expectations in all four games of the series. He’s instrumental to the Celtics’ game plan against Milwaukee and played 34 minutes in game 4 even as Marcus Smart made his return.

P.J. Tucker’s has put up even better numbers than Morris over his past 10: +8.61 Plus/Minus, 90% Consistency. Tucker has been playing more small-ball 5 to combat the Warriors’ Hampton’s 5 lineup, which has led to an increase in rebounding (10, 12, 10 over his past three games).

Center

Draymond Green has hit value in all four games of the series thus far, posting at least 14 points and nine boards in each. He’s the top center-eligible value on DraftKings and the top power forward on FanDuel.

Al Horford second behind only green among centers on DraftKings, but with Green not eligible at the position on FanDuel, Horford leads all other centers there by more than four points. Even as his team has fallen into a 3-1 hole, Horford has been solid this series, scoring between 15-20 points in all four games.

News Updates

After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our NBA News Feed.

Pictured: Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30, left) and forward Kevin Durant (35, right)
Credit: Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports