The FantasyLabs MLB Player Models have numerous data points to help you construct your MLB DFS rosters.
They house our floor, median, and ceiling projections for each player, but that’s just the beginning of what you’ll find inside. You’ll also find our Trends tool, stacking tool, and more.
Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your teams for cash games or small-field tournaments.
Now, let’s dive into some MLB plays that stand out in our Player Models for today’s main slate.
Bargain Rating Picks
You might be asking: what is Bargain Rating, and why should I care?
Bargain Rating shows how much of a bargain a player is on one DFS site versus others. If a player is significantly cheaper on one site than the other, they will have a favorable Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more affordable and a poor Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more expensive. It’s a straightforward metric, but targeting players at reduced price tags is almost always a strong strategy in DFS.
Bargain Rating strongly correlates with player value, which you can quickly see with our predictive projected Plus/Minus metric.
Seeing how Plus/Minus helps you project how many points a player is expected to score compared to what their salary implies them to score, this is a good company for Bargain Rating.
MLB DFS DraftKings Bargain
Luke Voit ($2,800): First Baseman, San Diego Padres
Voit has multi-hit games in five of his last seven outings for the Padres.
He is the ultimate hit-or-miss batter. With a 33.6 K% and 13.0 BB%, he only puts the ball in play in about half of his plate appearances. Still, he has consistently produced for daily fantasy owners as an end-of-the-lineup option.
Voit takes on the Mets’ Carlos Carrasco today, who owns a 6-1 record and 3.63 ERA. He is a low-ownership dart throw on the short slate tonight.
MLB DFS FanDuel Bargain
Amed Rosario ($2,600): Second Baseman/Shortstop, Cleveland Guardians
Despite Jose Ramirez behind him in the order, Rosario has struggled a bit this season with a .240 average and little power. He has started to find a rhythm with a positive Plus/Minus rating over the last month.
Rosario will continue to see opportunities in the Guardians lineup tonight with a plus matchup against Jon Gray. He is worth a shot in tournaments as a low-ownership play for the price.
MLB DFS Ceiling Projection Picks
Blake Snell ($8,100 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel) vs. New York Mets
Snell is making his fourth start of the season after an early-season injury. He is 0-2 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 15 innings thus far in 2022.
His last two starts have produced higher than +10.0 Plus/Minus ratings, and he has only given up eight hits on the season. Unfortunately, two of those were home runs.
Snell has a chance at another strong performance if he can limit the long ball tonight against the Mets. He has the fifth-highest salary on the slate but the top ceiling potential.
Jose Ramirez ($6,000 DraftKings, $4,600 FanDuel) vs. Texas Rangers
We have seen the ceiling potential of Ramirez in recent games. He has seven 18+ DraftKings point performances since May 20, including a massive 41-point game in Detroit on May 28.
He leads the American League with 53 RBI and is among leaders in wOBA and walk percentage. Combined with one of the lowest strikeout rates in the majors, Ramirez is primed for consistent outsized production off his bat.
A solid matchup against Gray and the Rangers could mean another big score on a short slate. Expect him to be a lineup favorite for all formats.
Top Stacking Pick from THE BAT X
The top five-man DraftKings stack from THE BAT using projected points in our stacking tool belongs to the Blue Jays. When you load them into our Lineup Builder, you’ll have the option to hand-build the rest of your team or optimize the rest of it.
Note: There is snow projected in the forecast for this game. Be sure to monitor the status of this game leading up to lock.
Leading the top stack for the Blue Jays is Bo Bichette. He’s averaged a +1.25 Plus/Minus over his last 10 games, but his salary has risen to match that production. He strikes out at a high clip, but when he makes contact, anything can happen. He is near the top of the league in both exit velocity and hard-hit rate.
George Springer has been on a tear recently, with two homers in his last three games and seven double-digit DraftKings point totals in his previous 10 outings. The former Astros star has been particularly good against left-handers this season, posting a .435 wOBA.
After a rough start to the year, this may be the time to start buying Vladimir Guerrero Jr. His salary has dipped from over $6,000 to under $5,000 and he is gaining momentum with a +1.55 Plus/Minus over his last 10 games.
Matt Chapman and Teoscar Hernandez round out the stack as low-budget lineup fillers. Chapman is coming off a 22-point DraftKings performance yesterday, and Hernandez has a .422 wOBA against left-handed pitching.
The Blue Jays will take on Royals’ left-hander Daniel Lynch. In his second big-league season, Lynch is 2-4 with a 4.81 ERA in nine starts. He gives up a lot of base runners and sports a high walk percentage. His last win came on April 26 and his six starts in May produced a 5.67 ERA with a 1.78 WHIP.
On a short slate, Blue Jays’ stack looks appetizing for a boom performance. They have the highest implied run total on the slate at 5.5 runs.