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NFL Week 9 Monkey Knife Fight Prop Picks and Analysis

Monkey Knife Fight takes a new spin on daily fantasy, combining player props and parlays. With exciting contest structures, put your football knowledge to the test and pit player performances against one another.

Check out a few picks to consider in this exciting format for Week 9 with the help of our NFL Player Props Tool.

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Dak Prescott Passing Yards (270.5) vs. Teddy Bridgewater Passing Yards (245.5)

According to PFF, the Dallas Cowboys grade out as the top offense in the league. Going into Week 9, quarterback Dak Prescott, who is likely to return from a lingering calf injury, looks to have a prime matchup against a Denver Broncos defense ranked 25th in DVOA. Opening at 49.5-points, this matchup has shootout potential, especially on the Cowboys’ side. Prescott is one of the more effective quarterbacks in the league, ranking third in completion rate (73.1%), eighth in touchdowns (16) and fifth in yards per game (302.2) and benefits from a receiving corps highlighted by Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb. Speed should be on the side of Dallas, who call a play every 25.8 seconds, the 12th fastest in the league.

Dating back to last season, Prescott has reached the 271-passing yard mark six times, missing most of last season with an ankle injury. We’re projecting Prescott to throw for 292.5 passing yards this week, which trends him toward the over.

Broncos’ quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has found a new home in Denver, leading a Broncos offense that prefers to pass the ball, using a 62%/38% pass-to-run play calling ratio. Posting a 70% completion rate this year, Bridgewater has shown his efficiency in moving the Broncos’ offense down the field. Dating back to last season, Bridgewater has reached the 246-passing yard mark 13 times.

Even in a tough matchup, facing a Cowboys defense ranked sixth in DVOA, Bridgewater should increase the passing cadence as 8.5-point underdogs, relying on a receiving corps highlighted by Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy. Our models project Bridgewater to throw for 249.5 yards against the Cowboys, trending him toward the over.

The Pick: Dak Prescott More 270.5 passing yards, Teddy Bridgewater More 245.5 passing yards

More or Less 2/2

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards (296.5) vs. Jordan Love Passing Yards (240.5)

In what initially looked to be a marquee game on the slate, the Week 9 matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Green Bay Packers was rocked by news of Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers testing positive for COVID-19. Since Monday, the matchup, which opened at a 55-point total, has fallen to 48.5 points.

Kansas City, coming off a short week after a Monday night win over the New York Giants, look to be in a prime matchup, facing a Packers defense ranked 22nd in DVOA, creating a “get right” scenario for the rest of the season. Led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the high-powered Chiefs offense is among the fastest, calling a play ever 25.3 seconds and one of the more pass-friendly offenses, using a 63%/37% pass-to-run ratio (per RotoViz).

Dating to last season, Mahomes has reached the 297-passing yard mark 12 times, benefitting from a receiving corps highlighted by Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. At a 29-point implied team total, the Chiefs should easily score points against the Packers but do so on the ground, relying on Darrel Williams and Derrick Gore, especially if ahead in the fourth quarter, in a clock-killing situation.

We’re projecting Mahomes to throw for 276.5 passing yards this week, well below the 296-yard mark.

Quarterback Jordan Love makes his first start for the Packers, benefitting from a matchup against a weak Chiefs defense, ranked 31st in DVOA. The Packers, who are the slowest in the league in pace, calling a play every 29 seconds, may slow down the game even more with the second-year quarterback taking over under center duties. With Rodgers at the helm, the Packers use a slightly-skewed 58%/42% pass-to-run play calling ratio and may even opt for a more balanced approach, involving a split backfield of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillion.

It may be difficult for Love to have a breakout game despite the prime matchup in his debut. Our models project Love to throw for 233.5 passing yards against the Chiefs, falling below the 241-passing yard mark.

The Pick: Patrick Mahomes Less 296.5 passing yards, Jordan Love Less 240.5 passing yards

Monkey Knife Fight takes a new spin on daily fantasy, combining player props and parlays. With exciting contest structures, put your football knowledge to the test and pit player performances against one another.

Check out a few picks to consider in this exciting format for Week 9 with the help of our NFL Player Props Tool.

Start Your PRO Trial Today

Lineup builder and optimizer

Real-time DFS models

Data-driven analysis & tutorials

More or Less 2/2

Dak Prescott Passing Yards (270.5) vs. Teddy Bridgewater Passing Yards (245.5)

According to PFF, the Dallas Cowboys grade out as the top offense in the league. Going into Week 9, quarterback Dak Prescott, who is likely to return from a lingering calf injury, looks to have a prime matchup against a Denver Broncos defense ranked 25th in DVOA. Opening at 49.5-points, this matchup has shootout potential, especially on the Cowboys’ side. Prescott is one of the more effective quarterbacks in the league, ranking third in completion rate (73.1%), eighth in touchdowns (16) and fifth in yards per game (302.2) and benefits from a receiving corps highlighted by Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb. Speed should be on the side of Dallas, who call a play every 25.8 seconds, the 12th fastest in the league.

Dating back to last season, Prescott has reached the 271-passing yard mark six times, missing most of last season with an ankle injury. We’re projecting Prescott to throw for 292.5 passing yards this week, which trends him toward the over.

Broncos’ quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has found a new home in Denver, leading a Broncos offense that prefers to pass the ball, using a 62%/38% pass-to-run play calling ratio. Posting a 70% completion rate this year, Bridgewater has shown his efficiency in moving the Broncos’ offense down the field. Dating back to last season, Bridgewater has reached the 246-passing yard mark 13 times.

Even in a tough matchup, facing a Cowboys defense ranked sixth in DVOA, Bridgewater should increase the passing cadence as 8.5-point underdogs, relying on a receiving corps highlighted by Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy. Our models project Bridgewater to throw for 249.5 yards against the Cowboys, trending him toward the over.

The Pick: Dak Prescott More 270.5 passing yards, Teddy Bridgewater More 245.5 passing yards

More or Less 2/2

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards (296.5) vs. Jordan Love Passing Yards (240.5)

In what initially looked to be a marquee game on the slate, the Week 9 matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Green Bay Packers was rocked by news of Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers testing positive for COVID-19. Since Monday, the matchup, which opened at a 55-point total, has fallen to 48.5 points.

Kansas City, coming off a short week after a Monday night win over the New York Giants, look to be in a prime matchup, facing a Packers defense ranked 22nd in DVOA, creating a “get right” scenario for the rest of the season. Led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes, the high-powered Chiefs offense is among the fastest, calling a play ever 25.3 seconds and one of the more pass-friendly offenses, using a 63%/37% pass-to-run ratio (per RotoViz).

Dating to last season, Mahomes has reached the 297-passing yard mark 12 times, benefitting from a receiving corps highlighted by Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. At a 29-point implied team total, the Chiefs should easily score points against the Packers but do so on the ground, relying on Darrel Williams and Derrick Gore, especially if ahead in the fourth quarter, in a clock-killing situation.

We’re projecting Mahomes to throw for 276.5 passing yards this week, well below the 296-yard mark.

Quarterback Jordan Love makes his first start for the Packers, benefitting from a matchup against a weak Chiefs defense, ranked 31st in DVOA. The Packers, who are the slowest in the league in pace, calling a play every 29 seconds, may slow down the game even more with the second-year quarterback taking over under center duties. With Rodgers at the helm, the Packers use a slightly-skewed 58%/42% pass-to-run play calling ratio and may even opt for a more balanced approach, involving a split backfield of Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillion.

It may be difficult for Love to have a breakout game despite the prime matchup in his debut. Our models project Love to throw for 233.5 passing yards against the Chiefs, falling below the 241-passing yard mark.

The Pick: Patrick Mahomes Less 296.5 passing yards, Jordan Love Less 240.5 passing yards