DraftKings NASCAR DFS Picks for Sonoma: Fantasy NASCAR Strategy and Picks for the Toyota/Save Mart 350

The NASCAR Cup Series moves from the streets of Naval Base Coronado to the road course at Sonoma for 110 laps of racing.

Sonoma is one of the classic road courses in the Cup Series and should be far less chaotic than last weekend’s race.

Thanks to track conditions, road-course ace Shane van Gisbergen did not win the pole, and will start sixth.

Yet, he did lead my practice FLAGS for Sonoma, so he certainly is the favorite to win.

But with only 110 laps, and potential stage flipping, SVG isn’t projecting as a runaway dominator, which will make things interesting. In addition, his place differential by starting sixth is limited. That makes this a very interesting DFS slate.

Along with FLAGS, be sure to check out my NASCAR projections in the NASCAR Models on FantasyLabs, complete with floor, ceiling, median, and ownership projections.

My projections, along with Stephen Young’s from RotoGrinders, are available in our NASCAR DFS package. You can read more about what the package entails here.

Let’s not skip the best part, my Perfect% metric, a metric that tells you how often certain racers appear in the optimal lineup when running 250,000 race simulations.

And don’t forget about the tools that FantasyLabs has to offer, like our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups or our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.

So, without further ado, here’s my strategy guide and NASCAR DFS picks for the Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway.

Toyota/Save Mart 350 Cash Game Picks

Connor Zilisch ($10,000): Zilisch, unsurprisingly, was top five in practice FLAGS, but he blew the esses on his qualifying lap, relegating him to a 17th place starting spot.

That just gives him a ton of place-differential upside along with the upside to win this race.

William Byron ($8400): Byron had a fast car in practice, but like SVG, he was caught out by the qualifying group he was in, so he’ll start 13th.

Both team and driver said the car was fantastic, so I expect him to move forward closer to where he ran in practice, which was second in FLAGS behind only SVG.

Bubba Wallace ($6900): Like Zilisch, Wallace had an issue in qualifying by spinning out and hitting the wall. That means he’ll start 26th and is going to drop to the rear of the field on the start for repairs to his car.

But I’m not worried about that, because it’s a long race and he was 13th in FLAGS. He’ll likely be a top-half car, which is enough at his salary and starting spot.

Toyota/Save Mart 350 Tournament Picks

Dominators: Here are my top dominators by likelihood of dominating:

1. Ty Gibbs
2. Shane van Gisbergen
3. Kyle Larson

Ty Gibbs or Kyle Larson ($9100 or $9500): It’s likely that one of these two is leading when SVG isn’t. They start first (Gibbs) and third (Larson) respectively and ranked fourth and second in rank-based FLAGS and third and fourth in speed-based FLAGS.

The only issue is they have some negative correlation with each other, so if you’re using the multi-lineup optimizer, you’ll want to build that in so you’re not overexposing yourself too many times where they are in the same lineup.

Can they both finish optimal? Absolutely. But again, that negative correlation is there.

Ryan Blaney ($8500): Blaney had great fire-off speed, but he was pretty poor on the long run, as evidenced by his dead-last degradation ranking. He’s a tournament dart.

Ryan Preece and Zane Smith ($7000 and $6600): Two drivers who stood out on degradation were Preece and Smith, with both ranking behind only Denny Hamlin and Ty Gibbs among drivers that had a top-half practice FLAGS rankings in tire degradation.

Preece fires off 19th and is more expensive, so he’s a bit more aggressive of a play than Smith, who has a touch more safety built in.

Pictured: Connor Zilisch
Photo credit: Randy Sartin