Here’s a breakdown of one-game DFS contests for the Week 11 Sunday Night Football matchup featuring the Chicago Bears at Los Angeles Rams at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.
Cash Game Strategy
This is an ugly slate that features two defenses in the top seven in Football Outsiders’ weighted offensive DVOA (which rates recent games more heavily) and two offenses outside of the top 20.
Among non-punt plays, Tarik Cohen has the top Projected Plus/Minus in our DraftKings Showdown Models. Going with Cohen in the Captain spot lets you get in Jared Goff, Mitchell Trubisky, Todd Gurley, David Montgomery (ankle, questionable) and Greg Zuerlein. If Montgomery is inactive, I’d upgrade to the higher projected player available, which is Cooper Kupp.
UPDATE: With Robert Woods (personal) INACTIVE, Kupp’s floor projection in our Models hits double digits, and the gap between his median and Montgomery’s is wide enough that I’d go with him over Montgomery, even though it means fading Chicago’s top source of rushing TDs.
FanDuel’s scoring format tilts value in favor of QBs relative to the other skill positions, which lends itself to putting Goff in the 1.5x slot there, as he has a 2.4-point advantage in median projection over any other player on the slate. You have to fade one of the Bears RBs to get in Goff, Trubisky and Gurley, and since Montgomery is $4,000 more than Cohen despite less than a 1-point edge in median projection, he’s the choice.
Zuerlein is the top-projected option to fill the last slot.