This series uses the FantasyLabs Tools to analyze three key MLB players in the day’s slate.
Khris Davis: Outfielder, A’s
With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS lineups. The top five-man DraftKings stack in the CSURAM88 Model belongs to the A’s, who are implied for 5.1 runs:
The A’s will square off against Mike Fiers, who sports a woeful 1.46 WHIP and a slate-high 1.81 HR/9 over the past year. Additionally, Fiers is allowing a massive .376 weighted on-base average (wOBA) and .256 isolated power (ISO) over the past 15 days. Meanwhile, Davis owns a .366 wOBA and .303 ISO against right-handed pitchers over the past 12 months. He is also in great recent form with a 250-foot average batted-ball distance, 95 mph exit velocity, and 41% hard-hit rate.
Alex Wood: Pitcher, Dodgers
Wood has comparable odds (-143 moneyline) and opponent implied run total (3.5) to the other top-priced pitchers on the slate. Pitchers with comparable K Predictions (6.5), Vegas data, and salaries to Wood’s have historically been solid investments (per our Trends tool):
It’s a decent spot for Wood, as his 6.5 K Prediction is the third-best mark on the slate against a projected Cubs lineup that owns a 26.9% strikeout rate and mediocre .316 wOBA against left-handed pitchers over the past year. Wood has done a tremendous job limiting hard contact over his past two starts with a 22% hard-hit rate and 189-foot recent average distance. Overall, Wood is an attractive option on a slate with no sure-fire pitchers on the mound. He’s projected to be slightly lower-owned (9-12%) than some of the top-priced pitching options.
Mark Trumbo: Outfielder, Orioles
The Orioles are tied for a slate-best Team Value Rating of 87 on FanDuel tonight, and they’re implied for a respectable 4.8 runs:
Trumbo has shown exceptional power against left-handed pitchers over the past year with a .211 ISO. He’s also obliterating the baseball of late with a 252-foot average distance, 95 mph exit velocity, and 53% hard-hit rate. Further, Trumbo’s +44-foot distance differential is a top-four mark among all hitters tonight. Historically, hitters with comparable batted-ball data have averaged a +1.58 FanDuel Plus/Minus. It wouldn’t be surprising to see Trumbo build upon his consistency over his past 10 games, during which he’s averaged a +4.74 FanDuel Plus/Minus with 50% Consistency.
Good luck, and be sure to check out The Action Network if you’re looking for more in-depth MLB analysis.
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs.
Pictured above: Khris Davis and Jed Lowrie
Photo credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
