Patriots vs. Bears Player Props: Kalshi Promo Code LABS55 Unlocks $55 Bonus for TNF

Thursday Night Football in Week 7 sends the Patriots to Soldier Field at 8:15 p.m. ET on Prime Video, and this rundown of the best Patriots vs. Bears player props comes straight from the live Kalshi board. New users can claim Trade $25, Get $55 Bonus with the Kalshi promo code LABS55 before kickoff.

• Both teams are 4-2. Chicago is coming off a 31-23 win over Atlanta that marked Caleb Williams’ return from a hamstring injury, while New England is on a short week and did not allow a sack against the Jets despite a patchwork offensive line.
• Kalshi has the Bears at 59% to win, with the total sitting at 50.5 points and Chicago to win by more than 2.5 priced at 55%.

Here is our full picks table before we break down every pick, the game lines, and the full touchdown and yardage boards.

🏈 TNF Prediction	🏷️ Position | Price	🤑 Profit on $100	📈 Trade It Now
Colston Loveland 40+ Receiving Yards	Yes | 58¢	$72.41	Trade it on Kalshi!
Efton Chism III 15+ Receiving Yards	Yes | 57¢	$75.44	Trade it on Kalshi!
D’Andre Swift Anytime Touchdown	Yes | 57¢	$75.44	Trade it on Kalshi!
A.J. Brown 70+ Receiving Yards	Yes | 52¢	$92.31	Trade it on Kalshi!
Caleb Williams 250+ Passing Yards	Yes | 49¢	$104.08	Trade it on Kalshi!
Luther Burden III 60+ Receiving Yards	Yes | 48¢	$108.33	Trade it on Kalshi!
A.J. Brown Anytime Touchdown	Yes | 41¢	$143.90	Trade it on Kalshi!
Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown	Yes | 29¢	$244.83	Trade it on Kalshi!
Drake Maye Anytime Touchdown	Yes | 20¢	$400.00	Trade it on Kalshi!

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Best NFL Player Props for Patriots vs. Bears

Every pick below is a real trade we would make after redeeming Kalshi promo code LABS55, part of our best NFL player props for this entire matchup, ranked from the safest price down to the long shots. Profit figures are based on the price shown on the board, before any trading fees.

Use Kalshi promo code LABS55 and Trade $25, Get $55!

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Colston Loveland 40+ Yards

🏈 TNF Prediction	🏷️ Position | Price	🤑 Profit on $100	📈 Trade It Now
Colston Loveland 40+ Receiving Yards	Yes | 58¢	$72.41	Trade it now on Kalshi!

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New England is playing this one without cornerbacks Carlton Davis III, Karon Prunty and Channing Canada, all ruled out on the final injury report, which is the kind of thinned-out secondary a Bears tight end can feast on.

Caleb Williams was sharp in his return from a hamstring injury last week, completing 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, and Loveland sits at 57% on the board for 40-plus yards.

At a $100 buy near 58 cents, this works out to roughly 172 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes.

• If Loveland clears 40 receiving yards: profit of $72.41.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A near coin-flip number that still returns about 72 cents of profit for every dollar risked.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Efton Chism III 15+ Yards

🏈 TNF Prediction	🏷️ Position | Price	🤑 Profit on $100	📈 Trade It Now
Efton Chism III 15+ Receiving Yards	Yes | 57¢	$75.44	Trade it now on Kalshi!

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Romeo Doubs hurt his shoulder last week and A.J. Brown carried an ankle designation into the week, so New England’s receiver rotation is thinner than it was a month ago.

Chism’s 15-yard line is a low bar, and the market has moved seven points in his favor to 59%, a sign traders expect him to see real snaps and targets on a short week.

At a $100 buy near 57 cents, this works out to roughly 175 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes.

• If Chism clears 15 receiving yards: profit of $75.44.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A low-floor number with a price that is still short of the juicier ladders on the board.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – D’Andre Swift 1+ Touchdown

🏈 TNF Prediction	🏷️ Position | Price	🤑 Profit on $100	📈 Trade It Now
D’Andre Swift Anytime Touchdown	Yes | 57¢	$75.44	Trade it now on Kalshi!

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Swift leads the full touchdown board at 57%, well ahead of every other player on either roster, and this market excludes passing touchdowns, so it is a rushing or receiving score only.

Bears running back Kyle Monangai did not practice Tuesday or Wednesday with a thumb and toe issue, which leaves Swift as the clear lead option in Chicago’s backfield.

At a $100 buy near 57 cents, this works out to roughly 175 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes.

• If Swift scores a touchdown: profit of $75.44.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

The highest-probability touchdown on the board, and it still pays plus money.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – A.J. Brown 70+ Yards

🏈 TNF Prediction	🏷️ Position | Price	🤑 Profit on $100	📈 Trade It Now
A.J. Brown 70+ Receiving Yards	Yes | 52¢	$92.31	Trade it now on Kalshi!

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With Doubs dealing with a shoulder injury, Brown is the clear focal point of the Patriots’ passing game, and he returned to full practice on Wednesday after his ankle issue.

Drake Maye has thrown 10 touchdowns against one interception over New England’s last three games, and an offense averaging 33.3 points in that stretch should keep Brown involved against a Bears defense that looked vulnerable in the secondary at Green Bay.

At a $100 buy near 52 cents, this works out to roughly 192 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes.

• If Brown clears 70 receiving yards: profit of $92.31.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A 70-yard ceiling at close to even money is a fair price for New England’s top target.

Best Passing Yards Prop Today – Caleb Williams 250+ Yards

🏈 TNF Prediction	🏷️ Position | Price	🤑 Profit on $100	📈 Trade It Now
Caleb Williams 250+ Passing Yards	Yes | 49¢	$104.08	Trade it now on Kalshi!

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Williams looked fully healthy against Atlanta, finishing with 305 yards and an 83.3% completion rate, and he now draws a New England secondary missing three corners.

With the total at 50.5 and the Bears priced as a 59% favorite at home, Chicago has every reason to keep throwing, and the Patriots’ own offense should force the Bears to answer.

At a $100 buy near 49 cents, this works out to roughly 204 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes.

• If Williams throws for 250 or more yards: profit of $104.08.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A 49-cent price pays back more than double the stake on a number he cleared by 55 yards last week.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today – Luther Burden III 60+ Yards

🏈 TNF Prediction	🏷️ Position | Price	🤑 Profit on $100	📈 Trade It Now
Luther Burden III 60+ Receiving Yards	Yes | 48¢	$108.33	Trade it now on Kalshi!

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Burden’s line is the highest receiving number on the Bears’ side of the board at 60-plus yards, which is why the price sits below Loveland and Rome Odunze at the 40-yard mark.

If Williams keeps hitting at last week’s rate against a depleted New England secondary, Burden has the upside to clear a tougher number than his teammates.

At a $100 buy near 48 cents, this works out to roughly 208 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes.

• If Burden clears 60 receiving yards: profit of $108.33.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A bigger yardage target, and a bigger payout than the 40-yard lines.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – A.J. Brown 1+ Touchdown

🏈 TNF Prediction	🏷️ Position | Price	🤑 Profit on $100	📈 Trade It Now
A.J. Brown Anytime Touchdown	Yes | 41¢	$143.90	Trade it now on Kalshi!

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Brown is the highest-priced Patriot on the touchdown board at 41%, and no New England pass catcher is closer to the top of the list.

Maye’s recent touchdown-to-interception ratio and the Patriots’ scoring surge give Brown a realistic path to the end zone even with Doubs hurt.

At a $100 buy near 41 cents, this works out to roughly 244 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes.

• If Brown scores a touchdown: profit of $143.90.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

Roughly 2.4-to-1 on the New England receiver the offense leans on most.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Hunter Henry 1+ Touchdown

🏈 TNF Prediction	🏷️ Position | Price	🤑 Profit on $100	📈 Trade It Now
Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown	Yes | 29¢	$244.83	Trade it now on Kalshi!

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Henry is priced at 29% on the touchdown board, behind only Brown among New England’s pass catchers.

With both starting guards out, the Patriots may lean on quick throws and tight end targets near the goal line, which is where Henry does his best work.

At a $100 buy near 29 cents, this works out to roughly 345 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes.

• If Henry scores a touchdown: profit of $244.83.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A mid-range longshot at nearly 3.5-to-1, and the second-highest touchdown price among New England’s pass catchers.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today – Drake Maye 1+ Touchdown

🏈 TNF Prediction	🏷️ Position | Price	🤑 Profit on $100	📈 Trade It Now
Drake Maye Anytime Touchdown	Yes | 20¢	$400.00	Trade it now on Kalshi!

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Maye is priced at 20% on the touchdown board, and because the market excludes passing touchdowns, this is a rushing score only.

Between a makeshift offensive line and a Bears front that will be missing linebackers T.J. Edwards (doubtful) and Jack Sanborn (out), a scramble or sneak into the end zone is a real path for a quarterback who can run.

At a $100 buy near 20 cents, this works out to roughly 500 contracts, each worth $1 if the market resolves Yes.

• If Maye scores a touchdown: profit of $400.00.
• If not: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A true longshot at 4-to-1, built for traders who want leverage on one swing.

Patriots vs. Bears Moneyline

Before the board dives into NFL player props, here are the game lines on Kalshi tonight.

Chicago Bears Moneyline

Chicago is the home favorite at 59% to win outright, with Yes priced at 60¢ and No at 41¢.

New England Patriots Moneyline

New England is the road underdog at 41% to win outright, with Yes at 41¢ and No at 60¢.

Spread and Total for TNF Best Bets

Patriots vs. Bears Spread

Chicago to win by more than 2.5 points is priced at 55% Yes (55¢) against 46¢ No, a number that has dipped one point.

Patriots vs. Bears Total

The total sits at 50.5 points, priced at 51% Yes (52¢) on the over against 49¢ No on the under.

Team Totals

• Chicago Bears (Over 26.5 points: Yes 54¢ | No 47¢): the Bears’ implied total rests on Williams keeping up last week’s efficiency.
• New England Patriots (Over 23.5 points: Yes 53¢ | No 48¢): a modest number for an offense that has averaged 33.3 points over its last three games.

Anytime TD Scorer Predictions

Our anytime TD scorer predictions below cover the touchdown board on Kalshi (touchdowns excluding passing), sorted from the safest price down to the deepest longshot.

What’s Moving the Market

Prediction markets and prices can move for several reasons. On this board, the biggest shifts have come on New England’s receiving options, with Chism (+7) and Douglas (+4) both climbing, while Raymond (-3) and Stevenson (-3) have slipped.

The injury report is a big part of that picture. The Patriots are missing three cornerbacks and both starting guards, Doubs is dealing with a shoulder injury, and Chicago will be thin at linebacker with T.J. Edwards doubtful and Jack Sanborn out.

That combination is why our picks lean on Chicago’s passing game and on New England’s primary targets rather than on the run, and it supports the over at 50.5.

How to Trade These Patriots vs. Bears Player Props on Kalshi

Ready to get in on these NFL prediction market promos yourself? Here is exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading tonight’s board:

• Read our Kalshi promo code guide to see how the offer works.
• Compare it with the best prediction market promos and the best prediction market apps available right now.
• Open the Patriots vs. Bears market on Kalshi and review the Player Props, Game Lines, Team Props, and Game Props tabs to stay ahead of live price movement.
• When you are ready, sign up with Kalshi promo code LABS55, trade $25 and get a $55 bonus.

📝 KALSHI TERMS & CONDITIONS Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NV, OH, and WA.

Final Thoughts: Best NFL Player Props Today

Both teams are 4-2, but the injury lists tilt this matchup toward the passing games. Chicago can attack a New England secondary missing three starters, while the Patriots’ top targets should still see volume behind a patched-together line.

That wraps our full Patriots vs. Bears player props card and every pick we would make on the Kalshi board for TNF. For more NFL coverage, check out our NFL page and NFL DFS resources, and see our Kalshi NFL promo code page for the latest offer details.

Patriots vs. Bears Prediction FAQs

What is the Kalshi promo code for Patriots vs. Bears player props?

The current Kalshi promo code is LABS55. New users who sign up with it and trade $25 get a $55 bonus to use on tonight’s Patriots vs. Bears markets.

What are the best Patriots vs. Bears player props on Kalshi?

Our top plays include Colston Loveland 40+ receiving yards, D’Andre Swift to score a touchdown, A.J. Brown 70+ receiving yards and Caleb Williams 250+ passing yards.

Who is favored in Patriots vs. Bears on Thursday Night Football?

Kalshi has Chicago at 59% to win outright, with the Bears to win by more than 2.5 points priced at 55% and the total at 50.5 points.

Who is most likely to score a touchdown in Patriots vs. Bears?

D’Andre Swift is priced at 57% to score a touchdown (excluding passing touchdowns), followed by A.J. Brown at 41% and Colston Loveland and Rome Odunze at 34% each.

How do Kalshi player prop markets work?

Each market resolves Yes if the player reaches the stated stat line or event in the game, and No if he does not. Contracts bought at a given price pay out $1 each if they resolve in your favor and nothing if they do not.

How do I use Kalshi promo code LABS55?

Create an account, enter code LABS55, and trade $25 to unlock a $55 bonus, subject to the offer terms.

What time does Patriots vs. Bears kick off?

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, Oct. 22, at Soldier Field in Chicago, with the game streaming on Prime Video.