OwnersBox is one of the unique DFS sites that still has traditional daily salary cap contests in addition to their Lightning Lineups contests.
In Lightning Lineups, the OwnersBox app will provide three sets of lineups for a given sport and slate, each lineup with three players. From there, users pick which lineup they think will score the most points. If you don’t like the options, you can spin for new lineups.
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Anyway, this article will focus on the more traditional salary cap DFS lineups that we’re all accustomed to. The best part about OwnersBox is their DFS product is a Superflex format with no defense.
I’ll be highlighting my favorite play at each position using our NFL projections inside our NFL Player Models.
NFL DFS Quarterback Pick
Josh Allen ($7,800) vs. Miami Dolphins
The highest over/under on Sunday’s 12-game main slate this week is the AFC East showdown between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins crushed the Broncos with 70 points last week, and the Bills have scored 38 and 37 points in the last two weeks after their season-opening loss to the Jets. There should be plenty of points in this showdown, so stocking your lineup with multiple point-producers from this matchup using the Superflex format is a strong strategy.
Josh Allen has the highest ceiling and median projections of all the QBs on the main slate this week. He and the Bills bounced back from the sluggish start against an elite Jets defense with 38 points against the Raiders in Week 2. In that game, Allen threw for three touchdowns and 274 yards while completing 83.8% of his passes.
In Week 3, he didn’t have to do quite so much heavy lifting since the Bills were playing from ahead against Washington. He averaged over 10 yards a completion but only had to attempt 32 passes. He also added his first rushing score of the season and always brings the potential for rushing production, especially around the goal line.
If this game gets into a back-and-forth shootout, he will likely be involved in a higher percentage of his team’s production than Tua Tagovailoa, which is why I give the slight edge to Allen if salary isn’t an obstacle.
The Dolphins have given up an average of over 250 passing yards per week and one passing touchdown in each contest so far this season. They got into a high-scoring game against the Chargers in Week 1, and if this follows a similar script, Allen should be able to deliver enough production to be a centerpiece to build around this week.
NFL DFS Running Back Pick
Kyren Williams ($5,700) at Indianapolis Colts
While Christian McCaffrey lines up to be a good play if you have the salary, from the middle of the salary structure, Kyren Williams stands out as a great value in his matchup against the Colts. Williams is tied for the most projected Pts/Sal at the position in Week 4.
On OwnersBox, Williams is outside the top 10 in salary but comes with a ceiling projection and median projection that is the sixth-highest of all the RBs on the slate. He definitely has top-five potential in his matchup, which makes him a great value to consider.
Williams played 55 of the Rams’ 55 offensive snaps on Monday, so even though he only had 38 rushing yards and 27 receiving yards, he should be able to bounce back in a much more fantasy-friendly matchup against the Colts. Another good sign for Williams from Monday’s contest was the fact that he was targeted seven times as a receiver out of the backfield giving him 17 targets over the past two weeks. If the Rams are going run-heavy, he’ll almost certainly get the carries, but even if they’re passing, Williams will stay very involved.
His consistent volume led to two touchdowns in each of his first two games, and the Colts gave up two rushing touchdowns in two of their first three games as well. There’s definitely potential for another multiple-touchdown performance for Williams in his home matchup with Indy.
Other running backs with good chances to outperform their salary based on our projections include Rachaad White, Alexander Mattison, and Joe Mixon.
NFL DFS Wide Receiver Pick
Keenan Allen ($7,000) vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Allen is outside the top five WRs in terms of salary on OwnersBox, but he has the third-highest ceiling and median projections at the position. He has the second-best projected Pts/Sal this week, behind only his teammate Joshua Palmer, who is a very strong value option.
One reason both Chargers’ WRs are in for more usage this week is that Mike Williams (knee) was lost for the season last week. Before he left with his injury, Williams caught a touchdown from Allen, who found Williams after an end around on a gadget play.
Allen doesn’t need that kind of big play to hit to be a good play, as he proved with his work the rest of the day. He hauled in 18 of his 20 targets for 215 yards. That big Week 3 performance came on the heels of two touchdowns and eight catches for 111 yards in Week 2’s loss to the Titans.
Allen has averaged 13.0 targets per game and posted an 82% catch rate. It’s obvious that Justin Herbert trusts his top receiver and will get him the ball in critical situations. He also ranks 13th in the NFL among WRs for red zone targets and has converted 75% for scores.
This week, Allen should be able to put up big numbers against the Raiders, who have allowed at least 10 catches and a touchdown to opposing wide receivers each week. They have given up a total of five WR touchdowns, and an average of 12.0 catches for 142.33 yards per game to WRs. That’s to WR total, but look for Allen to get most of the production this week, even though Palmer will also get more usage.
NFL DFS Tight End Pick
T.J. Hockenson ($5,700) at Carolina Panthers
Without Travis Kelce on the main slate, Hockenson becomes the tight end with the highest ceiling and median projections. He also costs the most but still brings the second-most Pts/Sal of all the options at the position.
Hockenson’s a huge part of the Vikings offense and averaged 7.3 catches on 9.3 targets per game over the first three weeks of the season. He had a two-touchdown week in Week 2 vs. the Eagles and followed that with a season-high 11 targets last Sunday in the Vikings’ desperation loss to the Chargers last week. Four of those targets were in the red zone too, and his seven red zone targets rank him second in the NFL among tight ends.
His sheer volume makes him a strong option to consider, but he also gets a great matchup this week against the Panthers. The Vikings desperately need a win, so they’ll probably rely heavily on Hockenson once again. In their three games this season, the Panthers have given up a total of 14 catches for 155 yards to opposing tight ends, which puts them just on the edge of the top 10 matchups for tight ends.