Adam Levitan projects ownership for every NFL DFS player each week in the FantasyLabs Player Models. Gauging ownership is important when it comes to tournaments so you can try and gain leverage on the field. You don’t need a team of 1%-owned plays to win a tournament, but it’s also unlikely you’ll win a tournament with an abundance of highly owned plays.
The goal of this article is to give a brief rundown of some of the highest-owned players heading into the week, along with how they can affect roster construction.
Be sure to check the ownership projections throughout the week as breaking news can cause these to fluctuate.
Note: Ownership percentages as of Friday afternoon.
Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen all figure to be some of the highest owned quarterbacks on the main slate for DraftKings. Drew Brees and Jared Goff could also be in the mix, especially on FanDuel, where they have comparable ownership projections to the three previously mentions quarterbacks.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see Mahomes come in as the highest owned quarterback on the slate, which would force DFS players to pay down at some of the other positions considering how expensive he is across the industry.
Similar to Dalvin Cook in Week 1, Josh Jacobs could push for the highest owned running back in Week 2. Since the Raiders played on Monday night, Jacobs’ price hasn’t been adjusted for the massive workload he saw (23 carries, one target), and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him more involved in the passing game, especially as seven-point dogs to the Chiefs. He owns a top-three Projected Plus/Minus on both DraftKings and FanDuel.
Alvin Kamara also figures to be incredibly popular in a projected high-scoring game against the Rams. I’d have to think most rosters would start with Kamara-Jacobs-Austin Ekeler (21-25% projected ownership on both sites) when it comes to the running back position.
Saquon Barkley could be a potential tournament pivot over Kamara. Barkley has the highest ceiling projection in our models and could have around half of the ownership that Kamara garners.
I normally eat the chalk at running back in tournaments and differentiate at QB, WR or TE, but I’m fond of the Barkley play this week.
What a world when three Raiders players (more on the third later) are projected to be some of the highest owned players on the slate. Tyrell Williams is a far better value on DraftKings with his 87% Bargain Rating and +4.87 Projected Plus/Minus. He’s projected for 26-30% ownership there, but I wouldn’t expect him to be nearly that high on FanDuel where Levitan has him at 13-16%.
There are also two premiere wide receivers who will push for highest owned on the slate: JuJu Smith-Schuster and Michael Thomas. JuJu looks ready to go after hurting his toe since he’s logged in full practices after being limited on Wednesday. Both receivers are exceptional cash plays, but you could make a case for looking elsewhere in tournaments since the possess Leverage Rating under 30% on both sites.
Sammy Watkins and Tyler Boyd will also carry considerable ownership with both the Chiefs and Bengals missing their No. 1 receivers due to injury. Boyd’s a much better value on FanDuel with his 98% Bargain Rating and +3.21 Projected Plus/Minus. If you’re playing on both sites, it makes sense to get your Boyd exposure on FanDuel.
Again, no price adjustment for Darren Waller since he played on Monday night. He’s currently projected for the highest ownership on DraftKings at 21-25%. It’s warranted after he played 55-of-55 snaps and went 7-80 on eight targets against the Broncos last week.
An intriguing lesser owned option on DraftKings over Waller could be Evan Engram, who could be in for a massive target share with Sterling Shepard (concussion) ruled out. Engram could be a chalkier option on FanDuel, however.
The tight end spot could dictate the way players shape their roster the most in Week 2 because Waller is a rock-solid cheap option, while Travis Kelce is in a smash spot as the most expensive tight end. If players opt for the Kelce side, they won’t be able to afford some of the more expensive options at the other positions that the Waller/Engram people can key in on.
I’m usually paying down at defense, so it’s nice to see the Texans dominate our median and ceiling projections on DraftKings, along with checking in as the highest owned defense on that site with their 94% Bargain Rating.
On FanDuel, the Ravens check in as the highest owned (13-16%) for the matchup against the Cardinals. I wouldn’t expect defenses to dictate much where rosters are headed on FanDuel, but it’s a different story on DraftKings since Baltimore is $1,000 more than the Texans.
Photo Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports
Pictured Above: Alvin Kamara