The 2018 NFL season rolls on, and we’re still on pace for a record-breaking campaign with an average of 24.0 points per game per team. We could be in for another week of high scores with a 12-game main slate that kicks off on Sunday, Oct. 14, at 1 p.m. ET.
With two teams on bye and six in prime-time games, we are without several top-tier wide recievers.
- Thursday Night Football: Eagles (Alshon Jeffery, Nelson Agholor) at Giants (Odell Beckham, Sterling Shepard)
- Sunday Night Football: Chiefs (Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins) at Patriots (Julian Edelman, Josh Gordon)
- Monday Night Football: 49ers (Marquise Goodwin, Pierre Garcon) at Packers (Davante Adams, Randall Cobb)
- Byes: Lions (Golden Tate, Marvin Jones, Kenny Golladay), Saints (Michael Thomas, Tre’Quan Smith)
Even so, this slate features some great games. It’s always a good time to play some daily fantasy football.
For analysis on the smaller slates, consult Chris Raybon’s premium strategy guides (released throughout the week).
In writing this piece, I’ve relied primarily on the FantasyLabs Models.
This breakdown is less of a comprehensive analysis of each wide reciever and more of an introduction to this week’s players via our large suite of analytic DFS Tools. We’ll start with four high-priced wide receivers, follow with seven pass-catchers at the top of our individual Pro Models and finish with the rest of the field’s fantasy-relevant receivers.
For updates on Vegas spreads and over/unders, check out The Action Network Live Odds page.
Highest-Priced Wide Receivers
This week, four wide receivers have top-five positional salaries on DraftKings and FanDuel.
- Antonio Brown: $8,700 DraftKings; $9,100 FanDuel
- Adam Thielen: $8,500 DraftKings; $8,600 FanDuel
- A.J. Green: $8,000 DraftKings; $8,800 FanDuel
- Julio Jones: $7,900 DraftKings; $8,500 FanDuel
Antonio Brown: Pittsburgh Steelers (+2) at Cincinnati Bengals, 52.5 O/U
Last week, I wrote this: “If Brown doesn’t smash now, he might never smash again.” He smashed. Against a horrible Falcons defense, he turned 13 targets into six catches, 101 yards and two touchdowns, finishing with 31.1 DraftKings points. After his slow start to the season, he’s back on track. Brown is tied for first in the league with 66 targets and fourth with 670 air yards. He’s tied for second (with three other receivers) with five touchdowns receiving. And he’s top 10 with 35 receptions. Right now he’s outside of the top 25 with 381 yards receiving, but if he continues to see heavy volume, that will progress.
But this week isn’t last week. The Steelers are on the road, and like quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, Brown has severe home/away splits. He’s been an All-Pro every year since 2014, so it’s not as if his road production has been poor — on the road he is still better than most wide receivers anywhere — but his numbers have been subpar relative to his standard.
- At home (33 games): 27.3 DraftKings points, +6.02 Plus/Minus, 66.7% Consistency Rating
- Away (33 games): 20.7 DraftKings points, -0.63 Plus/Minus, 48.6% Consistency Rating
Brown’s home/away Plus/Minus disparity is alarming, especially for the slate’s most expensive receiver.
But Brown could still go off in this game. The Steelers will once again be without running back Le’Veon Bell. In Bell’s absence, Brown has enjoyed elevated point-per-reception (PPR) production since Bell’s 2013 rookie year.
- Brown with Bell (61 games): 20.4 PPR points, 10.6 targets, 7.2 receptions, 93.8 yards, 0.64 touchdowns
- Brown without Bell (21 games): 25.6 PPR points, 13.0 targets, 8.6 receptions, 116.8 yards, 0.86 touchdowns
The Bengals as a team have the sixth-highest Pro Football Focus coverage grade (79.1), and No. 1 cornerback William Jackson last year did extremely well against Brown in two games, holding him to zero receptions on seven targets and breaking up four passes — but the Bengals don’t use Jackson in shadow coverage, so Brown was still able to go off against them for 21.8 DraftKings points per game with a combined 12-166-2 receiving line on 26 targets. Plus, Jackson (knee) is dealing with a knee injury and will likely be less than 100% healthy in Week 6.
Given his home/away splits and the other options on the slate, we’re projecting Brown to have a lower ownership rate than he usually has, which makes him an intriguing option in guaranteed prize pools: Brown leads all wide receivers with his median projections on DraftKings and FanDuel.
But Brown might be harder to roster in cash games. Since 2014, Steelers divisional road games have a 4-9 over/under record, which is good for a 37.2% return on investment for under bettors (per Bet Labs). Not once over that span has the Steelers’ under in divisional road games had a losing season.
Also on the Steelers:
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: $7,300 DraftKings; $7,800 FanDuel
- James Washington: $3,400 DraftKings; $5,000 FanDuel
No player in NFL history has more than Smith-Schuster’s 1,367 yards receiving before turning 22 years old, not even Randy Moss (1,313). JuJu is tied for the team lead with 35 receptions, and he’s first with 450 yards receiving and second with 349 air yards and 184 yards after the catch. A smooth technician with a plus physical profile, Smith-Schuster has run 83.2% of his routes out of the slot this season, where he will face cornerback Darqueze Dennard, who is last in the Bengals secondary with a 61.6 PFF coverage grade, having allowed a 73.3% catch rate in his coverage and a team-high 265 yards receiving. JuJu is tied for first at the position with eight FanDuel Pro Trends.
Washington is a talented second-round rookie with 47 snaps per game over the past month, but he trails Brown, Smith-Schuster, tight end Vance McDonald and running back James Conner in target priority.
Adam Thielen: Minnesota Vikings (-10) vs. Arizona Cardinals, 43 O/U
Thielen is the only modern-era NFL player in history to open a season with five consecutive games with at least100 yards receiving. For an undrafted, small-school, average-sized hometown receiver, he’s not bad. Entering Week 6, Thielen is tied with Brown for a league-high 66 targets, he’s first with 47 receptions and second with 589 yards receiving. He’s second among all wide receivers with 226 yards after the catch. A masterful route-runner, Thielen has taken 52.8% of his snaps in the slot, where he leads the league with 42 targets and 30 receptions.
Because Thielen plays primarily in the slot, he often faces the weakest starting cornerback in opposing secondaries, which makes him something of a macro-perspective matchup-independent player. That said, Thielen has a good matchup against the Cardinals. No. 1 cornerback Patrick Peterson hasn’t been used in shadow coverage under new defensive-minded head coach Steve Wilks, and he’s played only four snaps in the slot this year. For the most part, Thielen should be able to avoid Peterson’s coverage, and in the slot he’ll face box safety-turned-cornerback Budda Baker, who has allowed top-three marks of 20 receptions, 227 yards and 163 yards after the catch in the slot.
Although the Cardinals pass defense is ranked 12th with a 0.3% mark in Football Outsiders’ DVOA, that number is misleading when it comes to Thielen, who operates close to the line of scrimmage with his relatively short 9.3-yard average depth of target (aDOT). The Cardinals pass defense is 26th in DVOA (3.1%) within 15 yards of the line of scrimmage, which is where Thielen has seen 78.8% of his targets. And in the short middle of the field, the Cardinals are 30th (51.7%). Thielen could thrive in this matchup.
As big home favorites, the Vikings might not seem likely to throw much due to a run-heavy, play-with-the-lead game script, but to date they have been the league’s second-most pass-happy team with a 71.4% pass rate. Thielen has position-high ceiling projections in our Models.
Also on the Vikings:
- Stefon Diggs: $7,600 DraftKings; $8,200 FanDuel
Not to be outdone by Thielen, Diggs has at least 10 targets or a touchdown in every game this year. Because Peterson is no longer used in shadow coverage, the Vikings should be able to scheme Diggs away from him on the outside and into the coverage of the mediocre Bene’ Benwikere and slow (61.1 PFF coverage grade, 4.60-second 40 time). Diggs is top-10 at the position with 10 targets of 20 or more yards, and he has the speed (4.46-second 40) to beat Benwikere deep. Of Diggs’ 19 career touchdowns (including playoffs), 10 have been 20 or more yards.
A.J. Green: Cincinnati Bengals (-2) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, 52.5 O/U
UPDATE (10/14): Wide receiver John Ross (groin) is questionable but should be considered a game-time decision unlikely to start.
For the ninth time in his career, Green will face off against his longtime AFC North nemesis in cornerback Joe Haden. While Green had massive success against Haden’s secondaries early in his career, for the past five years, Green has had little per-game success against the shutdown corner.
- 2011-12 (three games): 21.2 DraftKings points, 6.3 targets, 3.7 receptions, 95.3 yards, one touchdown
- 2013-17 (five games): 7.4 DraftKings points, 9.4 targets, four receptions, 34.2 yards, zero touchdowns
Green’s recent inefficiency and lack of productivity against Haden is almost unfathomable, but it’s real. While Haden hasn’t always shadowed Green, he has often been the primary defender in coverage, and the Steelers have used Haden to shadow Julio and DeAndre Hopkins in the past. Last year, the Bengals didn’t even target Green when he was covered by Haden, so it’s very possible he could shadow Green this week.
On top of that, at the age of 30, Green has subtly started to decline. It’s not readily apparent, because Green is the No. 10 DraftKings wide receiver with 19.8 points per game and a +3.57 Plus/Minus. He’s hit his salary-based expectations in 80% of his games this year. But he is slipping. In previous seasons, Green has never run more than 20.2% of his routes from the slot. This year, that number is 30.2%. He’s being manufactured touches: While 31.4% of his targets have been in the slot, 56.4% of his yards and 80% of his touchdowns have come from there.
On the one hand, you could say that it’s smart for the Bengals to put Green in a position to exploit softer matchups. On the other hand, Green isn’t a slot receiver, and his slot-based production isn’t likely to be reliable. Green is ostensibly one of the best receivers in the league — but he’s tied for 24th with 43 targets and tied for 31st with 26 receptions.
But usage and matchup aside, Green always warrants GPP exposure, and the Steelers have allowed top-five marks to wide receivers with 47.8 DraftKings points per game. In fact, since last season (including playoffs), the Steelers defense has been significantly worse without Pro Bowl inside linebacker Ryan Shazier.
- With Shazier (12 games): 17.8 points, 16.1 first downs, 294.7 scrimmage yards, 195.8 receiving yards, +3.45 expected points
- Without Shazier (10 games): 27.3 points, 21.9 first downs, 375.8 scrimmage yards, 256.2 receiving yards, -7.38 expected points
The Bengals have surpassed their implied Vegas totals in every game this year by an average of 7.1 points. Green isn’t in the best of spots, but he always has multi-touchdown upside.
Also on the Bengals
- Tyler Boyd: $6,000 DraftKings; $6,300 FanDuel
- John Ross: $3,400 DraftKings; $5,000 FanDuel
The sample is small, but Boyd — despite lining up in the slot on 67.2% of his snaps — is tied for the team lead with 43 targets, and he’s first with 30 receptions. He’s barely second on the Bengals with 393 yards receiving. He’s first with 153 yards after the catch and second with 395 air yards. If the Bengals find themselves in a shootout but unwilling to target Green in Haden’s coverage, Boyd could have a massive performance against a secondary that doesn’t have one player with a 2018 PFF coverage grade of even 70. Boyd is the highest-rated FanDuel wide receiver in the Raybon Model.
Ross (groin) missed Week 5 but has been able to practice this week on a limited basis. He’s hard to trust as a volatile playmaker, but he has potential in what could be a high-scoring game. If Ross sits, Boyd might see even more targets than he usually does.
Julio Jones: Atlanta Falcons (-3) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 57 Over/Under
If you listened to the Wednesday edition of The Action Network NFL Podcast, you know that we are high on Julio, and it’s not hard to see why. Jones leads the league with 2,008 yards receiving since the start of the 2017 season. As the #NeverJulio Twitter movement likes to point out, he hasn’t scored a touchdown in his past 10 regular-season games.
But since morphing into his top-shelf self in 2014, he’s managed to play as the No. 3 fantasy wide receiver, averaging 20.4 DraftKings points despite scoring only 0.35 touchdowns per game. He’s the all-time NFL leader with 96.2 receiving yards per game: Even when he doesn’t score, Jones is good enough to have a top-five week at the position. And in his 19 games with a touchdown since 2014, he’s rocked out with 30.8 PPR points per game. Julio leads the league slate with a 0.47 market share of air yards.
Jones is in a great spot against a Bucs pass defense that has allowed wide receivers to score the second-most DraftKings points per game (51.5). On top of that, the Bucs secondary is without two starters in cornerback Vernon Hargreaves (shoulder, IR) and strong safety Chris Conte (knee/stiff arm, IR). But even if those guys were healthy, it probably wouldn’t matter. This defense is just bad, ranking dead last with a 28.9% mark in Football Outsiders’ DVOA.
It’s possible that the Bucs have literally the league’s worst trio of starting cornerbacks. Brent Grimes was a Pro Bowler with the Dolphins in the 2013-15 seasons, and in 2016-17 he had above-average PFF coverage grades of 87.4 and 75.2. This year, though, in the two games he’s played, Miko’s husband has been a liability, allowing a 7-116-1 passing line on eight targets. As for M.J. Stewart and Carlton Davis, both are second-round rookies with potential and poor PFF coverage grades of 54.5 and 56.3. They might be good one day, but so far, they’ve combined to allow 433 yards and five touchdowns.
On top of that, Julio has done especially well against the Bucs since 2016, when they hired his former and longtime head coach, Mike Smith, to serve as the defensive coordinator (#RevengeGame).
- Against Bucs (four games): 26.7 DraftKings points, +6.71 Plus/Minus, 10.5 targets, 6.8 receptions, 121 yards, one touchdown
- All other teams (31 games): 19.6 DraftKings points, -2.84 Plus/Minus, 9.4 targets, 5.7 receptions, 94.6 yards, 0.16 touchdowns
After suffering through offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian’s growing pains in 2017, when the Falcons ranked just 23rd with a 50.0% red-zone conversion rate, the Falcons have come alive this season, placing seventh with a 65.0% mark. At some point, the team’s improved scoring ability will translate into Julio touchdowns.
On Sunday morning, I will probably look for action on Julio’s receiving yardage prop. To find the best bets in the props market, use our Player Props Tool, which is powered by our industry-leading projections. Since Week 1, the props with a bet quality of 10 have gone 107-58-4, which is good for a 63% win rate.
Without question, you should supplement your DFS action with player props.
The Falcons-Bucs game easily has the slate’s highest over/under, and the Falcons lead all teams with their 30.25-point implied Vegas total. Julio leads the position with 10 Pro Trends on DraftKings, where he’s the highest-rated wide receiver in the Bales, Levitan and SportsGeek Models.
Also on the Falcons:
- Calvin Ridley: $6,300 DraftKings; $6,700 FanDuel
- Mohamed Sanu: $4,800 DraftKings; $5,800 FanDuel
I was so, so wrong about Ridley. (Probably.) Ridley is yet to play even 70% of the offensive snaps in any game, but he has a league-high six touchdowns receiving through his first five games. A versatile receiver, Ridley is lining up all over the formation: 95 snaps out wide on the right, 57 on the left, 53 in the slot and even two in the backfield.
Although the Falcons are bringing him along slowly, they’re deploying Ridley in strategic, high-leverage ways to maximize his usage. That he leads the team with five red-zone targets is telling.
If you roster Ridley in tournaments, you might want to use our Lineup Builder to stack him with quarterback Matt Ryan. In Week 5, Ridley and Ryan were together in a ridiculous 6.92% of Millionaire Maker lineups, but with their elevated salaries and poor performances last week, they will likely have reduced ownership on Sunday. Since 2014, No. 2 wide receivers on average have had 0.46 correlation with their quarterbacks. The sample is small, but with Ryan, Ridley has a personal-high mark of 0.94.
As for Sanu, even though he has more targets (31-26) and receptions (20-19) than Ridley, the veteran is the tertiary option in the passing game. But in a high-scoring game, he could still put up points. Over the past three weeks, he has a 14-220-2 receiving line on 23 targets (plus a 2-point conversion), and since last season he has somehow hit salary-based expectations in 65% of his games with a +2.34 DraftKings Plus/Minus. Of the three Falcons wide receivers, Sanu will unquestionably have the lowest ownership rate.
Model Wide Receivers
Besides Julio and Boyd, there are seven wide receivers at the top of the individual Pro Models that Jonathan Bales, Peter Jennings (CSURAM88), Adam Levitan, Sean Koerner, Chris Raybon, Kevin McClelland (SportsGeek) and I have constructed.
- Mike Evans: $8,100 DraftKings; $8,000 FanDuel
- DeAndre Hopkins: $7,700 DraftKings; $9,000 FanDuel
- Jarvis Landry: $6,600 DraftKings; $6,900 FanDuel
- Cooper Kupp: $6,500 DraftKings; $6,800 FanDuel
- Demaryius Thomas: $5,800 DraftKings; $6,500 FanDuel
- Michael Crabtree: $4,700 DraftKings; $6,200 FanDuel
- Chris Godwin: $4,400 DraftKings; $5,900 FanDuel
Mike Evans & Chris Godwin: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3) at Atlanta Falcons, 57 O/U
UPDATE (10/14): Tight end O.J. Howard (knee) is questionable but expected to play on Sunday.
Evans is on pace to become only the third player in NFL history (along with Randy Moss and Green) to open his career with five straight 1,000-yard receiving campaigns. He’s second in the league with 0.44 PPR points per snap and third in the league with 2.96 yards per route (PFF). He’s playing as well as any receiver right now and has seemingly regained his form from 2016, when he was a no-doubt top-five fantasy play on a weekly basis.
On a per target basis, Godwin has been the most efficient receiver on the Bucs, posting a WR Rating of 139.5. A second-year breakout-in-process, Godwin is top-10 at the position with 0.36 PPR points per snap. He’s yet to play 70% of the snaps in any game, but there’s little fluky about his 15-193-3 receiving line through four games. An integrated part of the passing attack,Godwin leads the team with six targets inside the 10-yard line: All other Bucs have five such targets combined.
The Bucs will need to score points in the game with the slate’s highest over/under, and they have a great matchup against the Falcons, who are 28th in pass defense with a 28.4% DVOA and have allowed wide receivers to score the league’s sixth-most DraftKings points per game (45.2). The Falcons defense has suffered a rash of injuries to open the year: Starting middle linebacker Deion Jones (foot, IR), free safety Keanu Neal (knee, IR) and strong safety Ricardo Allen (Achilles, IR) are out. Defensive tackle Grady Jarrett (ankle) is expected to be out as well.
Since the Falcons lost Jones and Neal in the season opener, wide receivers have routinely exposed Atlanta.
- Jarius Wright (Panthers, Week 2): 17.2 DraftKings points, 5-62-1 receiving on seven targets
- Devin Funchess (Panthers): 14.7 DraftKings points, 7-77-0 receiving on nine targets
- D.J. Moore (Panthers): 12.8 DraftKings points, 1-51-1 receiving on two targets
- Torrey Smith (Panthers): 12.3 DraftKings points, 3-33-1 receiving on seven targets
- Michael Thomas (Saints, Week 3): 25.9 DraftKings points, 10-129-0 receiving on 10 targets
- Ted Ginn Jr. (Saints): 12.2 DraftKings points, 3-12-1 receiving on six targets
- Tyler Boyd (Bengals, Week 4): 24.0 DraftKings points, 11-100-0 receiving on 15 targets
- A.J. Green (Bengals): 17.8 DraftKings points, 4-78-1 receiving on eight targets
- John Ross (Bengals): 13.2 DraftKings points, 2-52-1 receiving on two targets
- Antonio Brown (Steelers, Week 5): 31.1 DraftKings points, 6-101-2 receiving on 13 targets
- JuJu Smith-Schuster (Steelers): 13.4 DraftKings points, 4-34-1 receiving on four targets
That’s 11 receivers with at least 12 DraftKings points in just four weeks.
Godwin is the highest-rated DraftKings wide receiver in the CSURAM88 Model. Evans has a position-high 98% Bargain Rating on FanDuel, where he’s the No. 1 wide receiver in the Levitan Model.
Also on the Bucs:
- DeSean Jackson: $5,900 DraftKings; $6,500 FanDuel
- Adam Humphries: $4,200 DraftKings; $4,600 FanDuel
Jackson is first in the league with 4.2 yards per route (PFF) and 0.55 PPR points per snap, although his past production with returning quarterback Jameis Winston has been subpar (9.7 PPR points per game). Humphries is a low-upside slot operator yet to be targeted more than 15 yards down the field this season.
DeAndre Hopkins: Houston Texans (-10) vs. Buffalo Bills, 41 O/U
UPDATE (10/14): Quarterback Deshaun Watson (chest) is expected to play. He’s questionable, but his status has never been in doubt. Wide receivers Will Fuller (hamstring) and Keke Coutee (hamstring) will play on Sunday.
Hopkins has 10 or more targets in each game and an NFL-high 594 yards receiving. He’s first on the slate with a 0.30 market share of targets and second with 870 air yards. He’s yet to find his groove as a scorer, but that will come: He’s second in the league with eight targets inside the 10-yard line. His 23.5 DraftKings points per game this year make him the No. 3 fantasy wide receiver.
The Texans are big favorites, so it’s possible that they could have a run-heavy game script, which would theoretically limit Hopkins’ upside, and the Bills have held wide receivers to a bottom-six mark of 34.5 DraftKings points per game. Even so, Hopkins could still have a big performance.
In the eight games with both quarterback Deshaun Watson and No. 2 wide receiver Will Fuller, the Texans have been a pass-focused team regardless of the spread.
- Favorites (four games): 36.3 pass attempts, 323.8 yards passing
- Underdogs (four games): 34.3 pass attempts, 330.3 yards passing
And they’ve averaged 32.1 points per game with both Watson and Fuller. If the Texans approach that total in Week 6, it will be hard for Hopkins not to score a touchdown. Second-year cornerback Tre’Davious White (ankle) is expected to shadow Hopkins, and over the past two weeks he’s held Davante Adams and Corey Davis to a combined 4-46-0 line on the eight targets in his coverage, but he’s been limited in practice this week with an injury and could struggle against Hopkins if he’s active.
Hopkins is the No. 1 DraftKings wide receiver in the Koerner and Raybon Models.
Also on the Texans:
- Will Fuller: $6,800 DraftKings; $7,300 FanDuel
- Keke Coutee: $4,600 DraftKings; $5,700 FanDuel
In Fuller’s eight games with Watson, the receiver has averaged 19.7 DraftKings points with a high-flying +11.15 Plus/Minus on the strength of four receptions, 69.6 yards receiving (plus 1.5 yards rushing) and 1.25 touchdowns per game. And that’s even with Fuller (hamstring) missing most of Week 4 with an injury and playing Week 5 as a glorified field-stretching decoy. He is likely to play on Sunday but has been limited in practice and is hard to trust given his history of soft-tissue problems.
The emergence of the rookie Coutee as the starting slot receiver is by no means a fluke: He was productive as the slot-bound playmaker in the Texas Tech offense for two seasons and is an athletic 21-year-old selected with a draft pick just outside the first three rounds (No. 103). He leads the league with an average of five yards of separation from defenders when targeted. Coutee (hamstring) is dealing with an injury of his own but is likely to play. With 22 targets and even three carries over the past two weeks, Coutee will be a popular DFS option this week.
Jarvis Landry: Cleveland Browns (PK) vs. Los Angeles Chargers, 45 O/U
Entering Week 6, only Brown and Thielen have more targets than Landry has with 57, and he’s top-12 in the league with five targets inside the 10-yard line. Landry is actually running more of his routes out of the slot this year (70.0%) than he did last year (64.8%), but with No. 1 overall pick Baker Mayfield at quarterback, Landry is being used much more aggressively. For instance, this year 21.0% of Landry’s targets have come more than 15 yards down the field; in 2014-17, with Miami he saw such targets at only an 11.0% rate.
The Chargers have allowed the seventh-most DraftKings points per game (43.6) to wide receivers and struggled in pass defense without Pro Bowl edge rusher Joey Bosa (foot) to pressure quarterbacks. In the slot, Landry should be able to find success against cornerback Desmond King, who last year had a good rookie campaign (86.6 PFF coverage grade) but this year has allowed an 89.5% catch rate. With No. 3 wide receiver Rashard Higgins (knee) declared out, Landry might see more usage than he usually does.
Landry leads the position with his floor projection on DraftKings as well as FanDuel, where he’s the highest-rated wide receiver in the Freedman Model.
Also on the Browns:
- Antonio Callaway: $4,000 DraftKings; $4,900 FanDuel
Since being elevated to the No. 2 role in Week 2, Callaway has been eighth in the league with 446 air yards. Last week Callaway played a slightly reduced number of snaps because of his rookie struggles, but this week with Higgins out, Callaway will likely play his full complement of snaps — although he will probably struggle against outside corners Casey Hayward and Trevor Williams.
Cooper Kupp: Los Angeles Rams (-7) at Denver Broncos, 52 O/U
UPDATE (10/14): Kupp (concussion) and wide receiver Brandin Cooks (concussion) have progressed though the league’s protocol and will play on Sunday.
Kupp (concussion) suffered a head injury in Week 5 but is expected to play at Denver, where there is currently a 31% chance of snow at game time. Be sure to monitor the weather as lineup lock approaches.
The No. 1 team in The Action Network NFL Power Rankings, the Rams had a league-high 29.9 points per game last year, and this year the Rams have an average of 34.6. That will almost certainly regress, but this offense is as good as any unit in the league. Since HC Sean McVay was hired last year, no team has exceeded its Vegas expectations more than the Rams have (16-5). Similarly, since Broncos HC Vance Joseph was hired last year, no team has allowed opponents to hit their implied totals more than the Broncos have (7-14).
Of any receiver to run more than half his routes from the slot — and Kupp’s slot rate is 73.8% — he leads the position with 3.13 yards per route (PFF) and five touchdowns. In fact, among all wide receivers, regardless of where they line up, Kupp is top-five with 2.74 yards per route and five touchdowns receiving (10 target minimum). Despite missing part of last week, Kupp is tied for the team lead with 41 targets and is first with 30 receptions and second with 438 yards receiving. Kupp is tied for fifth in the league with 11 red-zone targets after finishing top-five last year with 23 such targets. He leads all wide receivers with 237 yards after the catch.
Kupp is the No. 4 fantasy wide receiver with 21.6 DraftKings points per game with a +10.5 Plus/Minus and 100% Consistency Rating. In the slot he will have a tough matchup against All-Pro slot corner Chris Harris Jr., but his prior usage suggests that he will remain involved in the game plan. Kupp leads the team with 142 yards and three touchdowns on passes of 20 or more yards, and the Rams passing offense has the week’s best explosive play matchup.
Kupp is tied for first with eight Pro Trends on FanDuel, where he’s the top-rated wide receiver in the Koerner and SportsGeek Models.
Also on the Rams:
- Brandin Cooks: $7,000 DraftKings; $7,800 FanDuel
- Robert Woods: $6,900 DraftKings; $7,300 FanDuel
Cooks (concussion), like Kupp, suffered a head injury last week but is also expected to play on Sunday. He leads the team with 452 yards receiving and 2.92 yards per route. Woods is tied for the team lead with 41 targets and is first with 472 air yards and his 12.1 aDOT.
Cooks and Woods have exploitable matchups against outside cornerbacks Adam Jones and Bradley Roby and safeties Darian Stewart, Will Parks and Justin Simmons, not one of whom has a PFF coverage grade of even 70.
Demaryius Thomas: Denver Broncos (+7) vs. Los Angeles Rams, 52 O/U
I’m what one might call a modern-day Demaryius anti-truther. He’s the only player with at least 120 targets in each of the past six seasons, and he’s on pace to hit that number again this year. It helps that he’s played in all 16 games each season since 2012 — yet I can’t help but notice the long-term trends in his per-reception efficiency and touchdown totals.
- 2012: 15.3 yards per reception, 10 touchdowns
- 2013: 15.5 yards per reception, 14 touchdowns
- 2014: 14.6 yards per reception, 11 touchdowns
- 2015: 12.4 yards per reception, 6 touchdowns
- 2016: 12.0 yards per reception, 5 touchdowns
- 2017: 11.4 yards per reception, 5 touchdowns
- 2018: 10.9 yards per reception, 2 touchdowns (5 games)
Thomas peaked as a producer a half decade ago, and his declining deficiency is undeniable.
But Thomas has a decent matchup. Since cornerbacks Aqib Talib (ankle, IR) and Marcus Peters (calf) exited Week 3 early with injuries, the Rams defense has allowed 28.3 points and 263.3 yards passing per game. Peters has managed to play through his injury, but he’s clearly been a diminished version of himself.
- Weeks 1-2: 77.3 PFF coverage grade, eight targets, 4-25-0 receiving allowed, one interception
- Weeks 3-5: 31.1 PFF coverage grade, 17 targets, 14-255-5 receiving allowed, zero interceptions
It’s not a stretch to say that over the past three games, Peters — an All-Pro corner in 2016 — has been the worst starting cover man in the league. On the year, no player has allowed touchdowns than he has.
Peters isn’t a shadow corner, so in their previous AFC West matchups when Peters was with the Chiefs, Thomas never ran routes exclusively in his coverage. It’s probably worth noting that although he’s had 12.9 DraftKings points per game in his five contests against Peters, Demaryius has averaged just 2.4 targets for one reception and 11.4 yards when directly matched up with Peters. That’s not good.
Of course, the current Peters isn’t the one who shut down Thomas in the past. In a game with a high total, Thomas has multi-touchdown upside against a suddenly suspect Rams pass defense.
Thomas is the No. 1 FanDuel wide receiver in the Bales and CSURAM88 Models.
Also on the Broncos:
- Emmanuel Sanders: $5,600 DraftKings; $6,500 FanDuel
- Courtland Sutton: $3,400 DraftKings; $4,700 FanDuel
Sanders is also intriguing in this matchup: In his four games against Peters, he’s averaged 23.3 DraftKings points per game — although most of that has come against other defenders. Sanders leads the Broncos with 44 targets, 33 receptions, 439 scrimmage yards and 124 yards after the catch. Pretty clearly, Sanders is the best receiver on the Broncos at this point. He has a position-high 95% leverage score on DraftKings.
Sutton is the future No. 1 receiver and actually has more routes run (166) than Thomas (159). Third on the team with 26 targets and tied with Thomas and Sanders with four red-zone targets and two targets inside the 10-yard line, Sutton has some touchdown potential at less than 1% ownership.
Michael Crabtree: Baltimore Ravens (-2.5) at Tennessee Titans, 41.5 O/U
Crabtree is the typical past-his-prime imported-from-another-team wide receiver the Ravens seem to love. He’s the modern-day Dread Pirate Roberts, wearing the mask formerly worn by Derrick Mason, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, Mike Wallace and Jeremy Macklin. Eventually he’ll be replaced by Demaryius. Someone once told me time is a flat circle. I don’t know what that means, but I think it makes sense here.
Crabtree leads the team with 46 targets, 24 receptions and 223 routes. In every game except for the non-representative run-heavy 47-3 Week 1 win over the Bills, Crabtree has at least 8 targets. He’s averaging one red-zone target per game. For the year, he has 11.0 DraftKings points per game and at least10 in 4-of-5 starts. Crabtree isn’t likely to have a big game, but it will be hard to find a receiver as cheap as he is slated for as many targets.
The Titans are fifth with a 79.2 PFF coverage grade, but Crabtree seems likely to run at least half his routes at the corner combo of Logan Ryan and Malcolm Butler, who collectively have allowed a 34-521-4 receiving line on 47 targets.
Crabtree is the No. 1 DraftKings wide receiver in the Freedman Model.
Also on the Ravens:
- John Brown: $5,500 DraftKings; $6,300 FanDuel
- Willie Snead: $4,100 DraftKings; $5,400 FanDuel
JoBro is in full-blown Renaissance mode: He’s first in the league with 20 targets, six receptions of 20 or more yards and 871 air yards. He’s second with 243 deep-passing yards. His speed complements quarterback Joe Flacco’s arm strength perfectly. Brown has 16.0 DraftKings points per game with a strong +6.32 Plus/Minus and 80% Consistency Rating on just 5.5% ownership. He also is tied for the team lead with three targets inside the 10-yard line.
Running 80.0% of his routes from the slot, Snead is second on the team with 23 receptions and 253 yards, but he has a low 7.3 aDOT and no targets inside the 10.
Wide Receiver Rundown
Here’s a quick look at the remaining fantasy-relevant receivers on the slate.
Keenan Allen, Mike Williams & Tyrell Williams: Los Angeles Chargers (PK) at Cleveland Browns, 46 O/U
UPDATE (10/14): Wide receiver Travis Benjamin (foot) is unsurprisingly out.
- Keenan Allen: $7,500 DraftKings; $8,100 FanDuel
- M. Williams: $4,300 DraftKings; $6,100 FanDuel
- T. Williams: $3,700 DraftKings; $5,400 FanDuel
Allen leads the team with 45 targets, 32 receptions and 372 yards receiving, but he has just one touchdown. Last year, Allen averaged 1.5 red-zone targets per game; this year, that number has dropped to one. Running 54.2% of his snaps from the slot, Allen for much of the game should at least be able to avoid impressive rookie cornerback Denzel Ward, who has played only 28 of his 390 defensive snaps in the slot.
Big Mike is coming off two underwhelming games (combined 4-60-0 receiving on seven targets), but he leads the team with a 150.6 WR Rating (PFF), and he’s fourth among all wide receivers with 2.65 fantasy points per target and fifth with his +42.8 Production Premium (PlayerProfiler). In his sophomore season, he’s looked every bit like the Clemson star drafted No. 7 overall in 2017. He leads the team with 378 air yards.
The Gazelle has played more snaps (246-209) and run more routes (154-132) than the other Williams, but Tyrell trails Mike in targets (22-19), receptions (15-13), yards receiving (249-192) and touchdowns (3-1).
Corey Davis, Taywan Taylor & Tajae Sharpe: Tennessee Titans (+2.5) vs. Baltimore Ravens, 41.5 O/U
- Davis: $5,800 DraftKings; $6,300 FanDuel
- Taylor: $3,900 DraftKings; $5,000 FanDuel
- Sharpe: $3,200 DraftKings; $4,500 FanDuel
Davis is on the verge of a breakout: He’s averaging 14.2 DraftKings points per game at just 1.9% ownership, and he’s fourth and ninth in the league with his 0.30 and 0.39 market shares of targets and air yards. He has more targets (45) and air yards (456) than Taylor and Sharpe have combined (37, 417). But Taylor has potential: The second-year third-rounder has 10-107-0 receiving on 14 targets in the two weeks since Rishard Matthews’ release.
Sharpe is what Boyd would be if Boyd were less athletic and stuck on a run-first team.
Allen Robinson, Taylor Gabriel & Anthony Miller: Chicago Bears (-3.5) at Miami Dolphins, 41.5 O/U
- Robinson: $5,700 DraftKings; $6,500 FanDuel
- Gabriel: $4,300 DraftKings; $5,600 FanDuel
- Miller: $3,500 DraftKings; $5,400 FanDuel
A-Rob doesn’t have much production to show for it (19-217-1), but he’s played 93.0% of the offensive snaps and is 10th in the league with a 0.38 market share of air yards. Gabriel this year has averaged just 29.7 receiving yards per game … when not facing the league’s worst pass defense. Miller (shoulder) is expected to play after missing Week 4 and recovering during the Week 5 bye. His presence in the slot will force Robinson to play more snaps outside, where he’ll likely face shadow coverage from emerging shutdown cornerback Xavien Howard.
Quincy Enunwa, Robby Anderson, Jermaine Kearse & Terrelle Pryor: New York Jets (-2) vs. Indianapolis Colts, 45.5 O/U
- Enunwa: $5,600 DraftKings; $5,800 FanDuel
- Anderson: $4,600 DraftKings; $5,500 FanDuel
- Kearse: $3,500 DraftKings; $4,600 FanDuel
- Pryor: $3,400 DraftKings; $4,700 FanDuel
Enunwa has a position-high 98% leverage score on FanDuel and at least eight targets, four receptions and 50 yards in each game this year … except for last game, when he had a tragic 0-0-0 receiving line on five targets. Anderson has 18.8 PPR points per game this year when scoring a touchdown and 4.6 when not. Kearse and Pryor are nonentities chained to a rookie quarterback.
Doug Baldwin, Tyler Lockett, Brandon Marshall & David Moore: Seattle Seahawks (-2.5) at Oakland Raiders, 48.5 O/U
- Baldwin: $5,300 DraftKings; $6,200 FanDuel
- Lockett: $5,100 DraftKings; $6,600 FanDuel
- Marshall: $3,700 DraftKings; $5,000 FanDuel
- Moore: $3,600 DraftKings; $4,700 FanDuel
Baldwin has just eight targets for 6-42-0 receiving in his two games since returning from a knee injury, but he could rebound this week. Running 63.6% of his routes from the slot, Baldwin could have a big game against 33-year-old cornerback Leon Hall, who has a below-average 59.6 PFF coverage.
Lockett has 50 or more yards in each game this year and has scored a touchdown in all but one. He is the team’s primary deep threat with his 13.7 aDOT. Marshall has played just 31 snaps over the past two weeks and is now an afterthought in the offense.
Marshall’s former snaps now belong to Moore, a small-school second-year seventh-rounder. Moore has a high-upside physical profile (6-foot-1, 219 pounds, 4.42-second 40 time), and at East Oklahoma he averaged 1,024.5 yards and 12 touchdowns from scrimmage in his two final seasons. Over the past two weeks, he has turned six targets into an intriguing 5-77-2 receiving.
New OC Brian Schottenheimer has scaled back the passing game, but the Raiders pass defense is 30th with a 33.8% DVOA. This game is at Wembley Stadium, and since 2012, the London game has an 11-5 over/under record, and the favored team has hit its implied Vegas total in an outstanding 12-of-16 events.
Amari Cooper, Jordy Nelson & Martavis Bryant: Oakland Raiders (+2.5) vs. Seattle Seahawks, 48.5 O/U
UPDATE (10/14): Bryant (flu) is questionable but tentatively expected to play.
- Cooper: $5,200 DraftKings; $6,400 FanDuel
- Nelson: $4,900 DraftKings; $5,600 FanDuel
- Bryant: $3,500 DraftKings; $5,600 FanDuel
Cooper is a human yo-yo with games of 2.8, 24.6, 3.7, 29.8 and 2.0 DraftKings points over the past five weeks.
Since coming alive in Week 3, Jordy has 21.5 DraftKings points per game. This sample is obviously skewed, but it’s worth keeping mind that since his 2011 breakout, Jordy has averaged 17.0 PPR points per game with every starting quarterback he’s played with not named “Brett Hundley.” In Week 3, Nelson had two separate plays of 60 or more yards, and he hit more than 20 mph on both of them (Next Gen Stats). He can still move.
Martavis leads the team in aDOT (13.0) and dropped wide-open 53-yard touchdowns (1.0).
Dede Westbrook, Keelan Cole & Donte Moncrief: Jacksonville Jaguars (-3.5) at Dallas Cowboys, 40.5 O/U
- Westbrook: $5,000 DraftKings; $5,700 FanDuel
- Cole: $4,800 DraftKings; $5,700 FanDuel
- Moncrief: $4,400 DraftKings; $5,700 FanDuel
Westbrook has run 91.1% of his routes from the slot and leads the team with 24 receptions, 349 yards receiving and 196 yards after the catch. If outside cornerback Chidobe Awuzie (ankle) is unable to play, that will shift slot corner Anthony Brown to the outside, and No. 4 corner Jourdan Lewis will be forced into action.
Going back to Week 12 of last season, Coles has played more than 60% of the snaps in each game: Over that time, he’s averaged 14.4 DraftKings points per game. Moncrief leads the team with 37 targets and 482 air yards and has averaged 17.7 PPR points in his two games this year with a touchdown.
Devin Funchess, D.J. Moore, Jarius Wright & Torrey Smith: Carolina Panthers (-1) at Washington Redskins, 44.5 O/U
UPDATE (10/14): Tight end Greg Olsen (foot) will play on Sunday.
- Funchess: $4,900 DraftKings; $6,300 FanDuel
- Moore: $4,000 DraftKings; $4,900 FanDuel
- Samuel: $3,800 DraftKings; $4,700 FanDuel
- Wright: $3,500 DraftKings; $4,700 FanDuel
- Smith: $3,300 DraftKings; $4,600 FanDuel
Tight end Greg Olsen (foot) is expected to return this week: Since last year, Funchess has had drastic Olsen-based splits, averaging 14.0 PPR points without him and just 9.3 with him.
Moore is an upside 21-year-old first-rounder who last week coming out of the bye set new career highs with four targets and 15 routes. A Percy Harvin clone, Samuel missed the second half of last year’s rookie campaign with an ankle injury. Making his 2018 debut last week, Samuel got four targets on 12 snaps, turning one of them into a tackle-breaking 25-yard touchdown. Moore and Samuel should both be regular contributors within a year.
Wright has run 82.6% of his routes from the slot and has a low 6.9 aDOT indicative of high-percentage targets. Smith is second on the team with 124 routes, but he’s fifth with just seven receptions.
Kenny Stills, Danny Amendola, Jakeem Grant, Albert Wilson & DeVante Parker: Miami Dolphins (+3.5) vs. Chicago Bears, 41.5 O/U
UPDATE (10/14): Quarterback Ryan Tannehill (shoulder) is questionable but tentatively expected to play. He practiced fully on Wednesday and Thursday but was limited on Friday. Grant (shoulder) and Parker (quad) are questionable. Both practiced fully on Friday.
- Stills: $4,700 DraftKings; $5,800 FanDuel
- Wilson: $3,800 DraftKings; $4,900 FanDuel
- Amendola: $3,700 DraftKings; $4,600 FanDuel
- Grant: $3,600 DraftKings; $4,600 FanDuel
- Parker: $3,300 DraftKings; $5,000 FanDuel
The Dolphins have a pitiful 27 pass attempts per game, but someone has to be the No. 1 wide receiver. That’s Stills, who is second on the team behind running back Kenyan Drake with 24 targets but first with 241 yards receiving, 443 air yards, 144 routes, three receiving touchdowns and 90.7% of snaps played.
Amendola is locked in as the middle-of-the-field receiver, leading the team with 103 routes and 16 targets in the slot. Wilson has averaged 11.4 DraftKings points per game with an 80% Consistency Rating and is being used as an all-around offensive weapon, lining up in the backfield, in the slot and out wide and generating points as a receiver, runner and even passer.
A 2016 Freedman favorite, Grant (shoulder) suffered an injury in Week 5, but practiced fully on Friday and is expected to play. He’s a Tyreek Hill-esque talent without an Andy Reid. Grant has run only 63 routes this season, but he leads the team with 2.41 yards and is second in the league with 0.72 fantasy points per route. He leads the team with four all-purpose touchdowns (on just 11 receptions, 11 kick returns, eight punt returns and one carry). Before Grant, the last person to score as a receiver, kick returner and punt returner in the same season was … TyFreak.
Parker (quad) missed Weeks 4-5 and is questionable for Sunday (and forever).
In case you forgot: The Bears have the top pass defense in the league with their -33.5% DVOA.
Jamison Crowder, Paul Richardson, Josh Doctson & Maurice Harris: Washington Redskins (+1) vs. Carolina Panthers, 44.5 O/U
UPDATE (10/14): Crowder (ankle) is questionable but expected to sit. Richardson (knee) and Doctson (heel) are questionable but seem likelier to play.
- Crowder: $4,600 DraftKings; $5,700 FanDuel
- Richardson: $4,100 DraftKings; $5,700 FanDuel
- Doctson: $3,700 DraftKings; $4,600 FanDuel
- Harris: $3,000 DraftKings; $4,500 FanDuel
Crowder (ankle) and Richardson (knee) are officially questionable but seem unlikely to play given that neither was able to practice this week. Even if they are active, they’re untouchable. Doctson (heel) missed Week 5, but he practiced on a limited basis this week and seems likely to play through his questionable tag. If Crowder or Richardson sits, Doctson will likely see more targets, as will Harris, who saw eight targets last week as an injury fill-in.
Ryan Grant, Chester Rogers & Zach Pascal: Indianapolis Colts (+2) at New York Jets, 45.5 O/U
UPDATE (10/14): Wide receiver T.Y. Hilton (chest, hamstring) and tight end Jack Doyle (hip) are out. Tight end Eric Ebron (shin, quad, ankle, knee) is questionable. He practiced fully on Friday and is tentatively expected to play but is a game-time decision.
- Grant: $4,600 DraftKings; $5,700 FanDuel
- Rogers: $4,500 DraftKings; $5,500 FanDuel
- Pascal: $3,400 DraftKings; $5,100 FanDuel
No. 1 wide receiver T.Y. Hilton (chest, hamstring) will miss his second game in a row after exiting Week 4 early. Tight end Jack Doyle (hip) will miss his third straight game. Tight end Eric Ebron (shin, quad, ankle, knee) practiced fully on Friday and is expected to play, so he should once again be quarterback Andrew Luck’s primary pass-catching option, but there should still be plenty of targets left over for the wide receivers. Thanks to pass-heavy game script, Grant, Rogers and Pascal have seen 16, 22 and 17 targets over the past two weeks.
Grant is a low-upside player, but he’s managed to hit his salary-based expectations in 4-of-5 games. Rogers has run 94.3% of his routes from the slot and might have the best matchup of the three against No. 5 cornerback Parry Nickerson, who will fill in for starting slot man Buster Skrine (concussion). For context: Skrine is one of the worst corners in the league. He has been for years. And Nickerson still isn’t good enough to take his job. He has a horrid 42.0 PFF coverage grade. Pascal is the largest of the trio (6-foot-2, 219 pounds) and has three red-zone targets over the past three weeks.
In addition to Skrine, starting cornerback Trumaine Johnson (quad) is unlikely to play after sitting Week 5 and missing all of practice this week. The Jets are sixth against the pass with a -6.9% DVOA, but they could be vulnerable this week.
Larry Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk & Chad Williams: Arizona Cardinals (+10) at Minnesota Vikings, 43 O/U
- Fitzgerald: $4,500 DraftKings; $6,200 FanDuel
- Kirk: $4,200 DraftKings; $5,400 FanDuel
- Williams: $3,000 DraftKings; $4,500 FanDuel
Fitzgerald (hamstring, back) is dealing with a lingering soft-tissue problem, but he’s fully expected to play. He’s been extremely limited since exiting Week 2 early with his leg injury, failing to catch more than three passes in any game.
Since Fitz’s injury, Kirk has led the team’s pass-catchers with 24 targets, 18 receptions, 230 yards receiving, 94 yards after the catch and 12.1 DraftKings points per game with a +5.73 Plus/Minus and 100% Consistency Rating. Last week he showed off his explosiveness with a 75-yard touchdown on the team’s first play from scrimmage, but after that he was contained for just 10 yards and two receptions.
Williams somehow has just four receptions on 19 targets. His 21.1% catch rate is literally the worst in the league among qualified receivers.
Zay Jones & Kelvin Benjamin: Buffalo Bills (+10) at Houston Texans, 41 O/U
- Jones: $3,500 DraftKings; $4,500 FanDuel
- Benjamin: $3,400 DraftKings; $4,800 FanDuel
Jones leads the Bills with 13 receptions and 164 scoreless yards. Benjamin leads the team with 26 targets and 464 air yards, but he’s yet to have even 35 yards receiving in a game. These guys are hazmat suit-level horrendous.
Cole Beasley, Allen Hurns, Tavon Austin, Deonte Thompson & Michael Gallup: Dallas Cowboys (+3.5) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars, 40.5 O/U
- Beasley: $3,200 DraftKings; $5,400 FanDuel
- Austin: $3,000 DraftKings; $5,000 FanDuel
- Hurns: $3,000 DraftKings; $4,900 FanDuel
- Thompson: $3,000 DraftKings; $4,700 FanDuel
- Gallup: $3,000 DraftKings; $4,600 FanDuel
Beasley leads the team with 119 routes, most of which (88.2%) he runs in the slot. While the Jags have two of the best cornerbacks in the league in Jalen Ramsey and A.J. Bouye, they play almost exclusively on the outside. Slot corner D.J. Hayden (toe) has missed the past three games and will once again sit this week. In his place, backup Tyler Patmon has been exposed (53.1 PFF coverage grade). It’s a horrible idea to roster any of these receivers, but if you must, Beasley is probably the guy. He has a position-high 99% DraftKings Bargain Rating.
Austin leads the team with two receiving touchdowns, which says just about everything there is to say about this receiving unit. With Ramsey and Bouye on the outside, Hurns, Thompson and Gallup will struggle to get the ball.
As I mention in the Cowboys-Jags betting preview …
Cowboys receivers have averaged only 120.8 yards per game, while the Jags have held opposing wideouts to a league-low 130.4 yards per game. Think about that: Cowboys receivers have been worse than the receivers facing the Jags — and now they themselves are facing the Jags.
The Jags have held opposing wide receivers to an NFL-worst 28.6 DraftKings points per game.
As Hamlet says with his dying breath, “The rest is silence.”
Positional Breakdowns & News
Be sure to read the other Week 6 positional breakdowns.
For more in-depth NFL analysis information, check out The Action Network.
After this piece is published, FantasyLabs is likely to provide news updates on a number of players. Be sure to stay ahead of your competition with our industry-leading DFS-focused news blurbs.
Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
Pictured: Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Julio Jones (11)