Sunday features a three-game main slate starting at 7:30 p.m. ET.
Let’s dive into some of the top plays on the slate using the FantasyLabs tools and projections.
Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.
You can also use our SimLabs Lineup Generator, a tool that creates the most user-friendly lineup generation process.
Note: Projections and Leverage Scores/Ratings may change throughout the day after this article is posted. The NBA DFS landscape changes quickly.
Consult the NBA Player Models directly for any updates as we get closer to lock.
NBA DFS Point Guard Picks
Stud
College basketball takes center stage at the end of March, but the NBA is still going strong. The Play-In Tournament kicks off in roughly three weeks, so we’re in the home stretch of the regular season. Most teams have just over 10 games left, and there’s still plenty to be decided over the final few weeks.
The Knicks have officially clinched a spot in the playoffs, but their seed is still up for grabs. However, they’re in a great spot to pick up a win Sunday. They’re taking on the lowly Wizards, and they’re listed as massive home favorites. Their 124.25 implied team total ranks first on the main slate by nearly 10 full points, and while there’s a good chance the game turns into a blowout, the team still has plenty of offensive upside.
Jalen Brunson remains the team’s clear No. 1 option. He’s coming off a down game in his last outing, but he had scored at least 49.75 DraftKings points in each of his three previous games. He has the top ceiling projection on the entire slate, and his $9,500 price tag is reasonable for his upside.
Value
The Wizards are tanking towards the finish line, and they’ll be on the second leg of a back-to-back on Sunday. It’s still unclear who will be available, so make sure to monitor the injury report for updates, but it’s a safe bet that they’ll be without at least a few key contributors. They were without both Trae Young and Tre Johnson on Saturday, and both players could be out again Sunday.
That would leave Bub Carrington as their primary facilitator. Carrington has gotten the opportunity to play expanded minutes of late, and he’s responded with some big performances. He had 41.0 DraftKings points three games ago vs. the Pistons, and he’s posted a positive Plus/Minus in four of his past seven.
Carrington has ultimately averaged 0.89 DraftKings points per minute over the past month, and he’s projected for another 33 minutes Sunday. He leads the PG position in projected Plus/Minus.
Fast Break
The Suns will also be on the second leg of a back-to-back, and they’re in the midst of a five-game losing streak. However, Jordan Goodwin has provided some value for fantasy purposes. The team was without both Grayson Allen and Royce O’Neale on Saturday, which allowed Goodwin to start for the second straight game. He didn’t see quite as much playing time as he did in his first start, but he’s posted a positive Plus/Minus in both outings. Goodwin stands out as one of the best pure values at the position on DraftKings, with his $4,500 salary resulting in an 86% Bargain Rating.
Immanuel Quickley is always an interesting midrange option. He hasn’t been at his best recently, but he’s still averaged 0.99 DraftKings points per minute over the past month. He bounced back from a string of subpar performances with 39.0 DraftKings points in his last outing, and he has the top projected Plus/Minus among point guards priced above $6,200 on Sunday.
Don’t forget to check out our NBA SimLabs Lineup Generator to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation:
NBA DFS Shooting Guard Picks
Stud
Jaylen Brown is also in consideration for the top overall stud on Sunday’s slate. His projections aren’t quite as strong as Brunson’s, but his matchup is expected to be more competitive. The Celtics are listed as 9.5-point favorites vs. the Timberwolves, so there’s less of a chance the game turns into a blowout.
Brown has also simply been the better player this season. He’s seen a slight reduction in value with the return of Jayson Tatum, but he’s still averaged 1.38 DraftKings points per minute over the past month. That’s the second-best mark on the main slate.
Even with Tatum back in the fold, Brown has posted a positive Plus/Minus in four of his past five games. He’s gone for at least 55.0 DraftKings points in two of them, so he has a bit of upside as well.
Value
The Knicks have dusted off Jordan Clarkson of late, giving him at least 20 minutes in four of his past five games. That makes him a pretty appealing value option for fantasy purposes. Clarkson is still capable of putting the ball in the basket, and he’s averaged 0.91 DraftKings points per minute over the past month.
Clarkson could play a bit more than usual Sunday. There’s a chance the game turns into a blowout, and the Knicks are also dealing with some injuries. Josh Hart is listed as questionable, Landry Shamet is out, and Tyler Kolek is on assignment in the G League. Clarkson is projected for 22 minutes in our NBA Models, and he’s historically averaged a Plus/Minus of +1.44 with a comparable salary and minute projection (per the Trends tool).
Fast Break
Baylor Scheierman is another potential value option at shooting guard. He’s not quite as good as Clarkson on a per-minute basis, but he’s projected for slightly more playing time (24.5 minutes). He’s posted a positive Plus/Minus in three of his past five outings, making him a low-risk, low-reward type of option.
Ja’Kobe Walter is coming off back-to-back strong games for the Raptors, scoring at least 25.5 DraftKings points in both. He’s done that in limited minutes, and he’s projected for a comparable workload Sunday vs. the Suns. He’s priced essentially at the minimum at just $3,100, resulting in a 97% Bargain Rating.
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NBA DFS Small Forward Picks
Stud
Jalen Green has cooled off after a brief hot streak for the Suns. He posted a positive Plus/Minus in five straight games, including two with more than 50 DraftKings points, but he’s posted a negative Plus/Minus in each of his past four. Such is life in the Jalen Green experience.
However, Green is still posting a healthy usage rate for the Suns. He’s at 33.0% through 22 games with his new team, which would easily represent a new career-high. It gives him plenty of upside on nights where his shot is falling, even if those don’t happen as much as we’d like.
Value
Clarkson has the top projected Plus/Minus at small forward, but Mikal Bridges isn’t too far behind. Bridges isn’t nearly as cheap as his teammate, and he has been an absolute disaster recently. He’s posted a negative Plus/Minus in 10 straight games, and he’s averaged a Plus/Minus of -8.29 during that stretch.
Still, Bridges has a long track record of being a productive player. He’s definitely not worth the five first-round picks the Knicks paid to acquire him, but he’s much better than his recent game log suggests. He’s going to bounce back eventually, and when he does, he should provide excellent value at just $5,700.
The Wizards are definitely a spot where Bridges could get right. They rank sixth in pace and dead last in defensive efficiency, and Bridges has logged at least 32.6 minutes in back-to-back games. If he can get back to that threshold vs. Washington, he has plenty of potential.
Fast Break
Bilal Coulibaly has yet to make the leap that many were anticipating, but he’s still just 21 years old. He’s also getting more opportunities down the stretch, and he’s taking advantage for fantasy purposes. He’s averaged 1.02 DraftKings points per minute over the past month, and he’s averaged a Plus/Minus of +5.85 over his past 10 games. Coulibaly is projected for 28 minutes vs. the Knicks, and his $5,100 salary comes with an 86% Bargain Rating.
Ayo Dosunmu has gotten expensive, but it’s hard to knock his production. He’s scored at least 43.5 DraftKings points in back-to-back games, falling two assists shy of a triple-double in his last outing. He’s seen a +4.29% bump to his assist rate with Anthony Edwards off the floor since joining the Timberwolves, and he should continue to serve as one of the team’s primary facilitators in his absence.
NBA DFS Power Forward Picks
Stud
Julius Randle has been quiet in his past few games, but we know what he’s capable of with Edwards out of the equation. He’s seen a team-high +3.55% usage bump with Edwards off the floor this season, resulting in an average of 1.31 DraftKings points per minute. That represents a pretty massive increase from his average of 1.02 DraftKings points per minute over the past month.
Randle will have his work cut out for him vs. the Celtics, but he’s capable of going off in tough matchups. He had 32 points, seven rebounds, and six assists vs. the Thunder last Sunday, and if he can do that vs. OKC, he definitely has the potential to do it vs. Boston.
Value
Mohamed Diawara is priced at the absolute minimum on DraftKings, resulting in a 95% Bargain Rating. He hasn’t been a huge part of the Knicks’ rotation this season, but he is coming off 24.75 DraftKings points in his last outing. He played just under 20 minutes in that contest, and he should be looking at a similar workload vs. the Wizards. If anything, Diawara could play a bit more if the game turns into a blowout, which increases his appeal. He ranks first at the PF position in projected Plus/Minus.
Fast Break
OG Anunoby is consistently inconsistent. He’s had more than 40 DraftKings points in two of his past four games, and he’s had 25.75 and 21.0 DraftKings points in the others. That gives him a wide range of outcomes in a potential blowout, but the upside is definitely there.
Naz Reid is questionable for the Timberwolves after missing the past two games. If he’s able to return Sunday, he would have some appeal at $5,500. Reid has seen a +2.09% bump to his usage rate with Edwards off the floor this season, and he’s averaged 1.24 DraftKings points per minute in that split. He wouldn’t need a ton of playing time to potentially return value.
NBA DFS Center Picks
Stud
It’s been a bit of a weird year for Karl-Anthony Towns. His numbers are down compared to last season, and he’s looked passive on offense at times.
However, he’s ratcheted up the intensity in his past two games. He’s posted a usage rate of greater than 30% in both contests, resulting in greater than 48 DraftKings points in both games. He’s posted a positive Plus/Minus in four of his past six contests, so his production is trending in the right direction.
On a per-minute basis, Towns is the clear top option on this slate. He’s averaged 1.45 DraftKings points per minute over the past month, and no other center can come close to matching that. Towns isn’t playing a ton of minutes at the moment, as he’s projected for just 29 in our NBA Models, but he still has one of the top ceilings on the slate.
Value
Oso Ighodaro is way too cheap for the Suns at the moment. He’s handled the majority of the center minutes of late, and he’s projected for another 31 minutes Sunday. That’s a ton of playing time for someone priced at just $4,800. It results in a 97% Bargain Rating, and players with comparable salaries and minute projections have historically averaged a Plus/Minus of +2.08.
Ighodaro has posted a positive Plus/Minus in four straight games, including two with at least 36.25 DraftKings points. He’s averaged a respectable 0.89 DraftKings points per minute over the past month, so as long as he continues to play big minutes, he should continue to pay off this meager price tag. He ranks first on the entire slate in projected Plus/Minus, and he should be one of the highest-owned players of the day.
Fast Break
Jakob Poeltl has been doing work for the Raptors recently, averaging a Plus/Minus of +7.78 over his past 10 games. He’s picked up a few additional minutes with Collin Murray-Boyles out of the lineup, and he’s taken full advantage. Murray-Boyles is questionable to suit up Sunday, and if he’s out once again, Poeltl is undoubtedly in play at just $6,000. He’s scored at least 45.25 DraftKings points in two of his past three, giving him an elite ceiling for his price tag.
Mitchell Robinson has posted a positive Plus/Minus in five straight for the Knicks, and he’s going to be a key contributor for the team during the playoffs. He gives them a much-needed interior presence on defense, and the team is typically at its best with him on the floor. For fantasy purposes, he’s averaged a stout 1.26 DraftKings points per minute over the past month, and he should see around 20 minutes vs. the Wizards. That’s enough to warrant consideration at $4,700.
Pictured: Oso Ighodaro
Photo Credit: Daniel Dunn, Imagn
