Denny Hamlin won the first race of the doubleheader, passing Martin Truex Jr. with nine laps to go. That gives Hamlin six wins on the year, tying Kevin Harvick for the most in the Cup Series. The lineup for the second leg of the doubleheader will be set by an inversion of the top 20 finishers of the first race for starting positions 1-20. The rest of the field will be set by the NASCAR starting lineup formula introduced a couple weeks ago.
Because of the inversion, I will just give my top plays across the board instead of focusing on dominators.
Let’s get into Sunday’s top plays.
NASCAR at Dover DraftKings DFS Picks
Denny Hamlin ($10,600) – Hamlin was the dominant car on Saturday, leading 115 of the 311 laps. He is also priced cheaper than top rivals Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Chase Elliott. Another interesting stat to note — Hamlin has improved his finishing position in the second race of all four doubleheaders in 2020. He can’t improve upon a first place finish, but if his car is even better than the first race, watch out.
Kyle Busch ($10,000) – Busch is the cheapest of Saturday’s top five finishers, and had the third-strongest car overall. He sliced his way from a 22nd place staring position to the front. There’s no reason to think he can’t do that again, but from 18th.
Kurt Busch ($8,300) – Busch is the top play on the slate thanks to a 40th-place finish in the first race. Per the starting lineup formula, that means Busch will roll off 28th. He’s not priced up enough to be too afraid of using him in tournaments. A top-15 finish will put him on the verge of the winning lineup. He has upside for a finish in the middle of the top 10.
Clint Bowyer ($8,200) – I wanted to write up Bowyer for the first race, but he was starting so far forward that it just wasn’t feasible. Now he starts 15th after a solid showing in the top 10 all day, including much of it in the top five. A repeat sixth place finish this time will net him plenty of place differential points. That would put him in the winning lineup.
Matt Kenseth ($6,300) – Kenseth is at his lowest price point of the year, and the three-time Dover winner now has a race at the track under his belt in 2020. A veteran who has performed well at the track should be able to use the first race to advise his team of the changed that are needed to go faster. There is upside here at a cheap price.