MLB DFS DraftKings Picks Breakdown (Saturday, June 28)

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MLB DFS Pitching Picks

MLB DFS Stud Pick

Bryan Woo ($10,200) Seattle Mariners (-142) at Texas Rangers

There is a solid group of 20 starting pitchers in the player pool on the 10-game Saturday afternoon slate, which gets started at 4:05 p.m. ET. Woo leads the way with the highest ceiling, median, and floor projection in the FantasyLabs projections and the second-highest Projected Plus/Minus. In the projections from THE BAT X from Derek Carty of RotoGrinders, Woo also has the highest ceiling, median, and floor projection, but he doesn’t have quite as high a Projected Plus/Minus.

Woo has the third-highest strikeout prediction and an opponent with the third-lowest implied team total on the slate as well.

Woo has pitched at least six innings in each of his 15 starts this year, going 7-4 with a 3.12 ERA, 3.59 FIP, and an impressive 0.95 WHIP. He has given up two earned runs or fewer in nine of the 15 games he has started, including six of his last eight.

In his last start, which was against the Brewers, Woo had a season-high nine strikeouts on his way to 27.3 DraftKings points. He has over 27 DraftKings points in each of his last two outings and at least six strikeouts in three of his last four.

This will be his second start of the season against the Rangers after he held them to only one hit in 6 1/3 scoreless innings in April. He earned 33.65 DraftKings points in that start and will hope to post similar results on Saturday. Over the last two weeks, the Rangers rank in the bottom 10 of the MLB in batting average, runs, and wOBA, making them a good spot to play Woo as your stud on Saturday.

Be sure to check out all the pick’ems Sleeper has to offer with Sleeper promo code FL55.

MLB DFS Value Pick

Quinn Priester ($7,900) Milwaukee Brewers (-237) vs. Colorado Rockies

The Brewers have been hot lately, winning seven of their last eight coming into Saturday’s matchup with the Rockies, where they are the heaviest favorites on the slate. The Brew Crew will give the ball to Quinn Priester, who has the highest Projected Plus/Minus of Saturday’s pitchers in THE BAT X projections and the third-highest Projected Plus/Minus in the FantasyLabs projections.

The Brewers snagged Priester from the Red Sox when their rotation was beset by injuries earlier this year, and he has been very solid for the team, going 5-2 with a 3.68 ERA, 4.27 FIP, and 1.31 WHIP over his 14 games. He has allowed no more than three earned runs in his last nine games, with a 2.64 ERA and 3.75 FIP over that stretch.

His strikeout numbers haven’t been elite with just a 6.3 K/9 on the season, but he still earned at least 18 DraftKings points in three straight starts and four of his last five before struggling a little bit last Sunday in Minnesota.

He should be in a good place to bounce back against the Rockies, who have some of the lowest numbers in the majors when on the road. The team has hit only .207 away from Coors Field with a .272 wOBA and 70 wRC+. They also have the highest road K%, so Priester should be able to pick up a few strikeouts on his way to being a very solid value play Saturday afternoon at American Family Field.


Now available: our MLB DFS SimLabs Lineup Generator that creates advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.


MLB DFS GPP Pick

Kumar Rocker ($6,500) Texas Rangers (+118) vs. Seattle Mariners

Rocker has the highest Projected Plus/Minus on the slate in the FantasyLabs Projections and the third-highest in THE BAT X Projections. He’s highly risky at home against Woo and the Mariners, but he brings a good enough ceiling as a bargain play to be worth considering in this start.

Rocker began the season in the majors but has bounced back and forth to Triple-A a few times over the last couple of months. He has pitched well in his last two starts since his most recent promotion, allowing a total of two runs on nine hits in 10 1/3 innings against the White Sox and Pirates. He picked up 10 strikeouts in those two starts, earning 24.25 and 15.2 DraftKings points.

If Rocker continues his form from those two outings, he’ll be an outstanding play at this salary, but earlier in the season, he had a few ugly outings, earning under 8.0 DraftKings points in four of five starts before his two most recent successes. The matchup is another risk factor since the Mariners have been hitting well lately.

The 25-year-old is a classic boom-or-bust play with a high enough ceiling to be worth a flier in GPP lineups, even though he’s too volatile for cash lineups. He brings the best potential of the cheap options on the slate, so if you opt to spend down on a starter, he is the best GPP option.

If you’re craving more MLB DFS or betting tools, be sure to check out one of our most powerful tools on the site—PlateIQ.

MLB DFS Hitters and Stacks

Notable Stack

With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters.

Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups.

The top DraftKings stack in the FantasyLabs MLB Player Model, when generated by projected points using the tournament model, belongs to the New York Mets:

The Mets are in a good spot on the road in Pittsburgh, and they also bring some solid value plays as part of their stack. They’ll be facing Pirates starter Bailey Falter ($7,300), who has gone 6-3 with a 3.59 ERA on the season but has given up 11 runs on 21 hits across 19 1/3 innings in his last four starts while also handing out nine walks. He had five walks in 5 1/3 innings in his last start, and the Mets will look to prolong his struggles.

Even though he’s a lefty, Falter actually has reverse splits and has allowed lefties to hit .288 with a .324 wOBA against him, keeping Juan Soto ($5,500) in play as a strong option. Soto has at least 9.0 DraftKings points in six of his last seven while averaging 17.1 DraftKings points.

Pete Alonso ($5,000) has hit safely in four straight, while Starling Marte ($3,600) and Mark Vientos ($2,700) are both very affordable plays to round out the stack with plenty of upside. Marte will be facing his former team, against whom he is 7-for-25 (.280) with a home run since joining the Mets.

Not interested in messing around with optimizer settings? No worries- you can use our MLB DFS Simulations and let it find the best way to control your stacks, exposure, correlations, and more!

Click here to find out how SimLabs can elevate your MLB DFS game and watch the video below.

Other MLB DFS Hitter Picks

One of the great features of being a FantasyLabs Pro member is the option to purchase additional items in the FantasyLabs Marketplace.

In addition to our in-house MLB projections, THE BAT X from Derek Carty of RotoGrinders is available in our marketplace. With this purchase, you can use his projections alone or create aggregate projections within our Player Models.

For this example, we created a 50/50 blend with THE BAT X and the FantasyLabs projections to pinpoint some hitters that stand out.

Jackson Chourio OF ($4,900) Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies (Antonio Senzatela)

Chourio smashed his 13th homer of the season to help the Brew Crew claim the first game of their series with the Rockies. The 21-year-old has run hot and cold at times this season, but he has been very productive lately and has the third-highest ceiling projection of all outfielders on Saturday’s slate.

Chourio is hitting .254 on the season and .253 over his last 20 games, with four doubles, a triple, and four home runs during that stretch. He has also added four stolen bases in five attempts and can provide big fantasy games in multiple ways with his power/speed combo.

On Saturday, the Brewers have the highest implied run total on the board, according to our Vegas Dashboard. They get a great matchup against Antonio Senzatela, who has a 6.48 ERA and 5.21 FIP on the season and has been hammered by both lefties and righties. Lefties have a .409 wOBA against him this season, while righties have a .394 wOBA and have hit eight of the 12 homers he has allowed.

Here’s how the Brew Crew stacks up against Senzatela in our PlateIQ tool, which I prefer to use in dark mode:


Spencer Steer 1B/OF ($2,800) Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres (Randy Vasquez)

Steer was already heating up before going nuclear on Friday night with three home runs and 44 fantasy points to power the Reds past the Padres. He has the third-highest Projected Plus/Minus at both 1B and in the outfield on Saturday night, as he looks to keep rolling in a favorable spot against Padres’ starter Randy Vasquez.

Steer is up to nine homers on the season after Friday’s monster game and is hitting .325 over his last 21 games, with five of those hits being home runs. He has multiple hits in six of his last nine games and is averaging 14.3 fantasy points per game over that stretch.

Steer will take on Vasquez, who has turned things around after a slow start but is still struggling on the road, with a 4.14 ERA and 5.79 FIP away from Petco Park. At the same time, Steer has done much better at home at Great American Ball Park, where he brings elite value upside this Saturday.


Ronny Mauricio 2B/3B ($2,400) New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (Bailey Falter)

The switch-hitting Mauricio recovered from his torn ACL in time to fill in while Mark Vientos was sidelined by a hamstring injury, and he played well enough that he stuck with the team after Vientos’ return. He has remained a regular in the lineup against lefties like Falter and has the third-highest Projected Plus/Minus at 2B and the sixth-highest Projected Plus/Minus at 3B on Saturday’s slate.

Mauricio has made the most of his opportunities and brings a high ceiling with his combination of power and speed. He has hit safely in six of his last seven games, batting .333 (8-for-24) with a double and a home run. He has three homers and two stolen bases in his 19 games since joining the Mets and has averaged 6.0 fantasy points per game.

Mauricio brings the potential for a big game in multiple ways and can be a nice wraparound addition to the Mets’ stack if he bats ninth, putting him right in front of the top of the order. You can also use Mauricio as a standalone play if you need a cheap fill-in at either 2B or 3B that still brings good upside.

Interested in more MLB action? Check out the pick’ems on Underdog Fantasy with Underdog promo code LABS.

The MLB Breakdown offers data-driven analysis using the FantasyLabs Tools and predictive metrics to highlight notable players within our MLB Player Models.

Become an All-Access Member Today

Lineup builder and optimizer

Real-time DFS models & projections

Data-driven analysis & tutorials
 

MLB DFS Pitching Picks

MLB DFS Stud Pick

Bryan Woo ($10,200) Seattle Mariners (-142) at Texas Rangers

There is a solid group of 20 starting pitchers in the player pool on the 10-game Saturday afternoon slate, which gets started at 4:05 p.m. ET. Woo leads the way with the highest ceiling, median, and floor projection in the FantasyLabs projections and the second-highest Projected Plus/Minus. In the projections from THE BAT X from Derek Carty of RotoGrinders, Woo also has the highest ceiling, median, and floor projection, but he doesn’t have quite as high a Projected Plus/Minus.

Woo has the third-highest strikeout prediction and an opponent with the third-lowest implied team total on the slate as well.

Woo has pitched at least six innings in each of his 15 starts this year, going 7-4 with a 3.12 ERA, 3.59 FIP, and an impressive 0.95 WHIP. He has given up two earned runs or fewer in nine of the 15 games he has started, including six of his last eight.

In his last start, which was against the Brewers, Woo had a season-high nine strikeouts on his way to 27.3 DraftKings points. He has over 27 DraftKings points in each of his last two outings and at least six strikeouts in three of his last four.

This will be his second start of the season against the Rangers after he held them to only one hit in 6 1/3 scoreless innings in April. He earned 33.65 DraftKings points in that start and will hope to post similar results on Saturday. Over the last two weeks, the Rangers rank in the bottom 10 of the MLB in batting average, runs, and wOBA, making them a good spot to play Woo as your stud on Saturday.

Be sure to check out all the pick’ems Sleeper has to offer with Sleeper promo code FL55.

MLB DFS Value Pick

Quinn Priester ($7,900) Milwaukee Brewers (-237) vs. Colorado Rockies

The Brewers have been hot lately, winning seven of their last eight coming into Saturday’s matchup with the Rockies, where they are the heaviest favorites on the slate. The Brew Crew will give the ball to Quinn Priester, who has the highest Projected Plus/Minus of Saturday’s pitchers in THE BAT X projections and the third-highest Projected Plus/Minus in the FantasyLabs projections.

The Brewers snagged Priester from the Red Sox when their rotation was beset by injuries earlier this year, and he has been very solid for the team, going 5-2 with a 3.68 ERA, 4.27 FIP, and 1.31 WHIP over his 14 games. He has allowed no more than three earned runs in his last nine games, with a 2.64 ERA and 3.75 FIP over that stretch.

His strikeout numbers haven’t been elite with just a 6.3 K/9 on the season, but he still earned at least 18 DraftKings points in three straight starts and four of his last five before struggling a little bit last Sunday in Minnesota.

He should be in a good place to bounce back against the Rockies, who have some of the lowest numbers in the majors when on the road. The team has hit only .207 away from Coors Field with a .272 wOBA and 70 wRC+. They also have the highest road K%, so Priester should be able to pick up a few strikeouts on his way to being a very solid value play Saturday afternoon at American Family Field.


Now available: our MLB DFS SimLabs Lineup Generator that creates advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.


MLB DFS GPP Pick

Kumar Rocker ($6,500) Texas Rangers (+118) vs. Seattle Mariners

Rocker has the highest Projected Plus/Minus on the slate in the FantasyLabs Projections and the third-highest in THE BAT X Projections. He’s highly risky at home against Woo and the Mariners, but he brings a good enough ceiling as a bargain play to be worth considering in this start.

Rocker began the season in the majors but has bounced back and forth to Triple-A a few times over the last couple of months. He has pitched well in his last two starts since his most recent promotion, allowing a total of two runs on nine hits in 10 1/3 innings against the White Sox and Pirates. He picked up 10 strikeouts in those two starts, earning 24.25 and 15.2 DraftKings points.

If Rocker continues his form from those two outings, he’ll be an outstanding play at this salary, but earlier in the season, he had a few ugly outings, earning under 8.0 DraftKings points in four of five starts before his two most recent successes. The matchup is another risk factor since the Mariners have been hitting well lately.

The 25-year-old is a classic boom-or-bust play with a high enough ceiling to be worth a flier in GPP lineups, even though he’s too volatile for cash lineups. He brings the best potential of the cheap options on the slate, so if you opt to spend down on a starter, he is the best GPP option.

If you’re craving more MLB DFS or betting tools, be sure to check out one of our most powerful tools on the site—PlateIQ.

MLB DFS Hitters and Stacks

Notable Stack

With the Lineup Builder, it’s easy to incorporate stacks into DFS rosters.

Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups.

The top DraftKings stack in the FantasyLabs MLB Player Model, when generated by projected points using the tournament model, belongs to the New York Mets:

The Mets are in a good spot on the road in Pittsburgh, and they also bring some solid value plays as part of their stack. They’ll be facing Pirates starter Bailey Falter ($7,300), who has gone 6-3 with a 3.59 ERA on the season but has given up 11 runs on 21 hits across 19 1/3 innings in his last four starts while also handing out nine walks. He had five walks in 5 1/3 innings in his last start, and the Mets will look to prolong his struggles.

Even though he’s a lefty, Falter actually has reverse splits and has allowed lefties to hit .288 with a .324 wOBA against him, keeping Juan Soto ($5,500) in play as a strong option. Soto has at least 9.0 DraftKings points in six of his last seven while averaging 17.1 DraftKings points.

Pete Alonso ($5,000) has hit safely in four straight, while Starling Marte ($3,600) and Mark Vientos ($2,700) are both very affordable plays to round out the stack with plenty of upside. Marte will be facing his former team, against whom he is 7-for-25 (.280) with a home run since joining the Mets.

Not interested in messing around with optimizer settings? No worries- you can use our MLB DFS Simulations and let it find the best way to control your stacks, exposure, correlations, and more!

Click here to find out how SimLabs can elevate your MLB DFS game and watch the video below.

Other MLB DFS Hitter Picks

One of the great features of being a FantasyLabs Pro member is the option to purchase additional items in the FantasyLabs Marketplace.

In addition to our in-house MLB projections, THE BAT X from Derek Carty of RotoGrinders is available in our marketplace. With this purchase, you can use his projections alone or create aggregate projections within our Player Models.

For this example, we created a 50/50 blend with THE BAT X and the FantasyLabs projections to pinpoint some hitters that stand out.

Jackson Chourio OF ($4,900) Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies (Antonio Senzatela)

Chourio smashed his 13th homer of the season to help the Brew Crew claim the first game of their series with the Rockies. The 21-year-old has run hot and cold at times this season, but he has been very productive lately and has the third-highest ceiling projection of all outfielders on Saturday’s slate.

Chourio is hitting .254 on the season and .253 over his last 20 games, with four doubles, a triple, and four home runs during that stretch. He has also added four stolen bases in five attempts and can provide big fantasy games in multiple ways with his power/speed combo.

On Saturday, the Brewers have the highest implied run total on the board, according to our Vegas Dashboard. They get a great matchup against Antonio Senzatela, who has a 6.48 ERA and 5.21 FIP on the season and has been hammered by both lefties and righties. Lefties have a .409 wOBA against him this season, while righties have a .394 wOBA and have hit eight of the 12 homers he has allowed.

Here’s how the Brew Crew stacks up against Senzatela in our PlateIQ tool, which I prefer to use in dark mode:


Spencer Steer 1B/OF ($2,800) Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres (Randy Vasquez)

Steer was already heating up before going nuclear on Friday night with three home runs and 44 fantasy points to power the Reds past the Padres. He has the third-highest Projected Plus/Minus at both 1B and in the outfield on Saturday night, as he looks to keep rolling in a favorable spot against Padres’ starter Randy Vasquez.

Steer is up to nine homers on the season after Friday’s monster game and is hitting .325 over his last 21 games, with five of those hits being home runs. He has multiple hits in six of his last nine games and is averaging 14.3 fantasy points per game over that stretch.

Steer will take on Vasquez, who has turned things around after a slow start but is still struggling on the road, with a 4.14 ERA and 5.79 FIP away from Petco Park. At the same time, Steer has done much better at home at Great American Ball Park, where he brings elite value upside this Saturday.


Ronny Mauricio 2B/3B ($2,400) New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (Bailey Falter)

The switch-hitting Mauricio recovered from his torn ACL in time to fill in while Mark Vientos was sidelined by a hamstring injury, and he played well enough that he stuck with the team after Vientos’ return. He has remained a regular in the lineup against lefties like Falter and has the third-highest Projected Plus/Minus at 2B and the sixth-highest Projected Plus/Minus at 3B on Saturday’s slate.

Mauricio has made the most of his opportunities and brings a high ceiling with his combination of power and speed. He has hit safely in six of his last seven games, batting .333 (8-for-24) with a double and a home run. He has three homers and two stolen bases in his 19 games since joining the Mets and has averaged 6.0 fantasy points per game.

Mauricio brings the potential for a big game in multiple ways and can be a nice wraparound addition to the Mets’ stack if he bats ninth, putting him right in front of the top of the order. You can also use Mauricio as a standalone play if you need a cheap fill-in at either 2B or 3B that still brings good upside.

Interested in more MLB action? Check out the pick’ems on Underdog Fantasy with Underdog promo code LABS.

About the Author

Zach Thompson writes NBA, MLB, NFL, golf and soccer content for Fantasy Labs. Zach's fantasy experience dates all the way back to high school when he would manually tabulate fantasy football scores using Tuesday morning's newspaper. Even though he was raised on the island of Guam on the opposite side of the world, Zach is a hardcore Boston sports fan who loves playing fantasy sports in almost any format. He's always in search of a great bargain play and keeps a close eye out for rising talent that can provide leverage. Zach joined the FantasyLabs team in 2022 and is also a contributor for DraftKings Network.