Guardians vs. Rays DFS picks lead our look at Tuesday’s League Championship Series board, and the Underdog promo code LABSNEWS gives eligible new users $100 in bonus cash after $5 in qualifying entries. Cleveland and Tampa Bay meet again at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg at 8 p.m. ET on TBS, truTV and HBO Max.
The Rays entered the ALCS rested after sweeping the Yankees, while the Guardians needed five games to erase an 0-2 deficit against the White Sox. That difference in pitching depth shapes several of our Game 2 picks. Tampa Bay also won five of six regular-season meetings, outscored Cleveland 20-8 and took two of those games by 1-0 scores.
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Best Guardians vs. Rays DFS Picks Today
| Player | Stat | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (TB) | Strikeouts | Higher |
| Parker Messick (CLE) | Pitching outs | Lower |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | Hits + runs + RBIs | Higher |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | Total bases | Higher |
| Jo Adell (CLE) | Hits + runs + RBIs | Lower |
Underdog sets its own lines and starters can change, so confirm the numbers and lineups in the app before submitting. The broader MLB market can also show how sportsbooks are pricing Game 2.
Freddy Peralta Strikeouts: Higher
Peralta, Tampa Bay’s expected starter, turned his season around after a deadline trade from the Mets. He went from a 4.99 ERA in 22 New York starts to a 3.25 ERA in 10 Rays starts, and won AL Pitcher of the Month after going 4-0 with a 0.96 ERA in September. His four-seamer averaged 96.8 mph in ALDS Game 2, up from 94.3 in the regular season, but an early hook held him to three strikeouts in 4 2/3 innings. Workload is the risk. Still, Cleveland averaged 7.83 strikeouts per game, so he can clear his line if he goes deep enough.
Parker Messick Pitching Outs: Lower
Messick has thrown 193 innings this year, well past his previous career high of 138 1/3. He lasted 4 1/3 innings in ALDS Game 1, then just 2 1/3 innings on 65 pitches with four walks in Game 4. Cleveland’s bullpen has a 2.67 ERA over 27 playoff innings, with Cade Smith, Hunter Gaddis and Erik Sabrowski all carrying key innings, so a quick hook is likely. If the Guardians use an opener or a different starter, confirm this pick is still available.
Jonathan Aranda Hits + Runs + RBIs: Higher
Aranda went 4-for-12 with a homer and no strikeouts against New York. Hitting near the top of the order, he can cash this through his own hits, by scoring on a Junior Caminero hit or by driving in runners ahead of him. An early Cleveland bullpen game would also give him looks at multiple arms.
Junior Caminero Total Bases: Higher
Caminero hit 42 homers with 101 RBIs and played all 162 games. He cooled late and was quiet in the ALDS, but his power keeps the Higher live even in a low-scoring game, since one extra-base hit can do most of the work. Cleveland’s thin pitching plan could also mean he sees several pitchers.
Jo Adell Hits + Runs + RBIs: Lower
Adell started the ALDS 1-for-7 with six strikeouts, then went 4-for-12 with five RBIs over the last three games. His swing-and-miss profile is a poor fit against Peralta’s velocity. If Tampa Bay controls the early innings, Adell’s later at-bats will likely come against a rested Rays bullpen.
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Underdog’s pick’em format gives each player a statistical line, and you choose Higher or Lower. You can combine eligible selections into one entry, with payouts determined by the format and number of picks you choose.
For this matchup, most of our selections follow the same general read: Tampa Bay has the stronger pitching setup, Cleveland may need to go to its bullpen early and the Rays should have the better chances to generate offense.
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Conclusion
Our Game 2 Guardians vs. Rays DFS picks lean heavily on Tampa Bay’s pitching advantage. Peralta’s strikeout upside makes his Higher the strongest place to start. Meanwhile Messick’s workload and recent postseason outings make the Lower on his pitching outs appealing if he gets the start.
Aranda and Caminero give us two ways to back the Rays’ offense. Also, Adell’s matchup with Peralta makes his Hits + Runs + RBIs Lower the Cleveland fade.
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