The PGA TOUR heads to Pebble Beach this week to play the 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
The pro-am will return this week after nixing it last year due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, the tournament will return to a three-course rotation once again.
Pebble Beach Golf Links, Spyglass Hill Golf Course, and Monterey Peninsula Country Club will be the courses featured in the 2022 edition of the event.
The field this week is made up of 156 players, including Patrick Cantlay, Phil Daniel Berger, Jordan Spieth, Jason Day, and Justin Rose.
Pebble Beach Golf Links is a par 72 measuring 6,828 yards and featuring Poa annua greens. Spyglass Hill is a par 72 measuring 7,035 yards, and Monterey Peninsula is a par 71 measuring 6,958 yards.
For GPP contests on DraftKings, I will be breaking down the key stats (past 24 rounds) and selecting golfers from different price tiers to provide flexibility for a DFS lineup.
For large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.
Don’t forget about the other tools that FantasyLabs has to offer, such as the Trends tool and PGA Correlation Dashboard.
This analysis may reference Strokes Gained, a set of proprietary metrics generated by the PGA TOUR using millions of data points to calculate how many shots on average it takes a player to get the ball in the hole from every distance and situation. Strokes Gained is now available in the FantasyLabs PGA Models.
Strokes Gained: Approach
Unsurprisingly, approach grades out as the most important statistic for Pebble Beach.
A very short course approaches to the green are understandably more indicative of success than smashing it off of the tee. With very small greens, Pebble Beach is undoubtedly a second-shot golf course.
- High-end target: Daniel Berger – $10,500 (1st SG:APP)
- Mid-range target: Russell Knox – $7,800 (10th SG: APP)
- Value target: Bo Hoag – $6,900 (11th SG: APP)
SG: Total on Par 72s under 7200 yards
Pebble Beach is uniquely short for a par 72. This statistic will give a glimpse as to what kind of golfers play well on these types of courses.
- High-end target: Patrick Cantlay – $11,200 (1st SG: Total on par 72s under 7200 yards)
- Mid-range target: Lanto Griffin – $8,800 (4th SG: Total on par 72s under 7200 yards)
- Value target: Matthew NeSmith – $7,300 (12th SG: Total on par 72s under 7200 yards)
Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa and Fast)
With the course being so short, one of its main defenses is its fast Poa annua greens. Strokes Gained: Putting has historically been extremely important here, as evidenced by former winners (Spieth, Mickelson, Snedeker).
Great Poa putters typically play very well in California.
- High-end target: Jason Day – $9,900 (4th Strokes Gained: Putting Poa and Fast)
- Mid-range target: Matt Kuchar – $7,600 (6th Strokes Gained: Putting Poa and Fast)
- Value target: Wyndham Clark – $7,000 (2nd Strokes Gained: Putting Poa and Fast)
Course History
Pebble Beach has historically been a specialist’s course. Every winner of this event since 2006 has a top-21 finish in a previous appearance.
- High-end target: Jason Day – $9,900 (4th SG: Total at Pebble Beach)
- Mid-range target: Pat Perez – $7,300 (16th SG: Total at Pebble Beach)
- Value target: Matthew NeSmith – $7,000 (9th SG: Total at Pebble Beach)
Birdies or Better Gained
With the winning score likely to get close to twenty under par, making birdies is a must this week.
- High-end target: Patrick Cantlay – $11,200 (1st Birdies or Better Gained)
- Mid-range target: Lanto Griffin – $8,800 (14th Birdies or Better Gained)
- Value target: Scott Brown– $6,600 (5th Birdies or Better Gained)
