Tuesday features a two-game slate starting at 7:30 p.m. ET.
Let’s dive into some of the top plays using the FantasyLabs Tools and metrics.
Note: Projections and Leverages Scores/Ratings may change throughout the day after this article is posted. The NBA DFS landscape changes quickly. Consult the Player Models directly for any updates as we get closer to lock.
Steph Curry is the only true “stud” at the point guard position on Tuesday, and one of the few true studs on the entire slate. Unfortunately, his production has been far from stud-like recently. He’s posted an average Plus/Minus of -14.16 over his past 10 games on DraftKings, and he’s averaged just 1.24 DraftKings points per minute over the past month. Curry also missed the Warriors last game with a hand injury, but he’s not currently listed on the injury report.
Still, it’s impossible to deny Curry’s upside. He has the potential for a monster performance every time he takes the floor, and his matchup vs. the Pistons is a good one. They rank just 23rd in defensive efficiency, and the Warriors’ implied team total of 117.0 is the top mark on the slate by a sizable margin.
Killian Hayes has largely disappointed during his NBA tenure, but he’s still provided some fantasy value of late. He’s scored at least 22.25 DraftKings points in three straight games, and while that’s far from elite production, you’ll take it at his current salary. He’s priced at just $3,800 on DraftKings and $4,100 on FanDuel, making him a viable value option vs. the Warriors.
Sticking with the Pistons, Cade Cunningham remains comically underpriced at just $6,000. It results in a Bargain Rating of 98%, and Cunningham has the potential to destroy this price tag. He racked up 31.2 FanDuel points Sunday vs. the Suns, and he did it in just 24.6 minutes.
D’Angelo Russell wasn’t really needed in the Grizzlies last game. He played just 22.4 minutes in the blowout win, resulting in a disappointing 29.6 FanDuel. Still, that’s actually quality production on a per-minute basis, and he finished with at least 10 assists for the fourth time in five games. He’s another excellent value on FanDuel given his Bargain Rating of 91%.
Is it time to consider Klay Thompson in DFS? It’s possible. His price tag has reached a reasonable level on DraftKings, and his playing time should continue to trend upwards. He racked up 22.7 minutes in his last outing, and he’s currently projected for 24 minutes in our NBA Models. Thompson has been rusty since returning to the lineup, making just 35.7% of his field goal attempts, but that hasn’t stopped him from averaging 1.10 DraftKings points per minute. With some additional playing time and some positive shooting regression, Thompson has the potential to return value vs. the Pistons.
Immanuel Quickley is coming off a strong performance Monday vs. the Hornets, finishing with 29.75 DraftKings points over 29 minutes. He’s not expected to see quite as much playing time on Tuesday, but the per-minute production is legit. He’s capable of racking up fantasy points quickly, and he’s averaged 0.86 DraftKings points per minute this season. Quickley is still expected to see around 22 minutes vs. the Timberwolves, making him a viable option at $4,000.
Anthony Edwards is the other stud member of the Timberwolves’ backcourt. Like Russell, he wasn’t really needed in the Timberwolves last game, but he had posted a positive Plus/Minus in each of his previous six games on FanDuel. He remains priced at a discount at just $8,100, resulting in a Bargain Rating of 89%.
Hamidou Diallo is no longer being asked to play big minutes for the Pistons, but he’s still racked up at least 30.6 FanDuel points in three of his past five games. He’s currently projected for 28 minutes on Tuesday’s slate, and he’s averaged 1.08 FanDuel points per minute over the past month. His price tag has also come back to reality, and he has appeal at $5,600 on FanDuel.
R.J. Barrett has looked like a different player for the Knicks recently. He’s averaging 33.7 minutes per game since Christmas, and he has posted a usage rate of 29.6%. His usage rate for the year is just 25.0%, so that represents a sizable increase. Barrett has increased his production to 1.02 DraftKings points per minute over the past month, and he has scored at least 39.25 DraftKings points in four straight games.
Barrett has gotten more expensive recently – he’s up to $7,300 on DraftKings – but he can still pay off that price tag if his increased usage rate continues. He’s also seen even more minutes recently, logging at least 38.8 minutes in three straight games.
If you can’t get all the way up to Barrett at small forward, Alec Burks is a fine pivot. He hasn’t been quite as potent as Barrett recently, but he’s still averaged 0.90 DraftKings points per minute over the past month. He’s currently projected for 34 minutes in our NBA Models, making him a safe investment at his current price tag.
If you need a true punt play on Tuesday, you could do worse than Andre Iguodala. He’s dirt cheap at just $3,300, but the old man has still got some game. He’s averaged 0.85 DraftKings points per minute this season, so he doesn’t need much playing time to potentially return value.
Playing Andrew Wiggins in DFS is very rarely fun. He provides minimal production in the peripheral categories, so virtually all of his fantasy value comes from scoring. That means that he is almost guaranteed to bust on nights where his shot isn’t falling. Still, it’s impossible to completely ignore Wiggins on a two-game slate. He’s averaged 0.94 FanDuel points per minute this season, and his $5,800 salary comes with a Bargain Rating of 95%.
Julius Randle has been mostly unplayable this season. He’s been priced above $10,000 on DraftKings, and Randle simply isn’t capable of consistently providing value at that salary.
However, his price tag has come down to just $9,200 on DraftKings, and that’s a much more palatable number. Randle has historically averaged a Plus/Minus of +2.34 with a comparable salary (per the Trends tool). He’s an even stronger option on FanDuel, where his $8,400 salary comes with a Bargain Rating of 94%.
Trey Lyles’ playing time has been a bit volatile recently, logging 19.2, 33.4, and 15.2 minutes in his past three games. However, that hasn’t stopped Lyles from being a consistent source of production. He’s posted an average Plus/Minus of +8.99 over his past 10 games on DraftKings, and he’s averaged an elite 1.14 DraftKings points per minute over the past month. Ultimately, Lyles has proven that he can pay off his current salary in less than 20 minutes, and he provides tons of upside in games where he plays more.
Jonathan Kuminga has seen a few additional minutes recently for the Warriors, and the No. 7 pick from the 2021 Draft has made the most of them. He’s increased his production to 1.00 DraftKings points per minute over the past month, and he’s racked up at least 26.25 DraftKings points in three straight games. That’s likely earned him a more regular spot in the rotation, and Draymond Green remains out of the lineup. He’s one of my favorite GPP targets on the slate.
Taj Gibson is priced at the absolute minimum on DraftKings, but he remains solidly in the Knicks’ rotation. He’s currently projected for 20 minutes, and he’s averaged 0.73 DraftKings points per minute over the past month. He provides very little ceiling, but he should be able to return value.
Karl-Anthony Towns is the clear top stud at center. He’s priced at $10,200 on DraftKings, and no one else at the position is priced above $5,700. Towns is also the only player that can rival Curry in terms of ceiling projection in our NBA Models.
However, Towns has struggled to provide much value this season. He’s posted an average Plus/Minus of -4.24, and he’s exceeded salary-based expectations in just 26% of his games.
Ordinally, Towns is someone I wouldn’t really consider at $10,200 in a matchup vs. the Knicks, but the equation changes a bit on a two-game slate. Towns will almost certainly be the highest-scoring center, and that has value. The goal of DFS is to score more points than your opponent, so having the highest-scoring player at a position is a good start.
Isaiah Stewart is a strong target at $4,600 on DraftKings given his Bargain Rating of 88%. Like Lyles, his playing time has been a bit volatile this season, but he is coming off 22.7 minutes in his last game. He’s projected for a similar workload on Tuesday, and Mitchell has averaged 0.90 DraftKings points per minute over the past month.
Mitchell Robinson was a disappointment in the Knicks’ last game, but he posted a positive Plus/Minus on FanDuel in each of his previous four. That includes two games with at least 39.0 FanDuel points, so Mitchell has a ceiling at just $5,400. He also owns the best individual matchup at center, leading the position with an Opponent Plus/Minus of +2.33.