Here’s a breakdown of one-game DFS contests for the Week 7 Sunday Night Football matchup featuring the Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.
Cash Game Strategy
Dak Prescott and Carson Wentz are ranked 1-2 in Projected Plus/Minuses in our DraftKings Showdown Models, but it’s the cheaper Wentz who makes for a better play in the Captain spot. Lineups with Wentz at Captain can fit Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott, Jordan Howard, Miles Sanders and a $200 punt play. The best option there is Boston Scott, who is filling in for Darren Sproles (quad) and returned two punts last week in addition to handling four carries (albeit in garbage time).
On FanDuel, Prescott-Wentz-Zeke can fit with only one of the two Eagles backs. It’s a toss-up — we have them projected for exactly the same amount of FanDuel points (8.7) — but Sanders’ passing game usage give shim a higher floor projection (3.2) than Howard (1.9). The best bet for the final spot is Blake Jarwin, who has drawn at least three targets in four of his six games this season.
Core GPP Plays
Note: These are in addition to the players already mentioned in the cash write-up and generally has a focus on pass-catchers. On FanDuel, QBs generally make for the top plays in the 1.5x slot because the half PPR format creates a wider gap in scoring between QB and RB/WR/TE; on DraftKings, a RB/WR/TE who hits the 100-yard bonus is the ideal play.
WR Michael Gallup, Cowboys: The Eagles’ banged up cornerback group has been getting roasted all season, allowing the most touchdowns (11) and third-most yards to opposing wide receivers. Gallup entered Sunday third in the NFL in receiving yards per game (96.8).
WR Amari Cooper, Cowboys: Cooper is ranked seventh in receiving yards per game (85.9), and the only difference between Cooper and Gallup in this spot is that Cooper (thigh) is banged up. But assuming he’s good to go, he’s in a smash spot and will probably be lower owned than Zeke.
TE Zach Ertz, Eagles: The Cowboys used Byron Jones to shut down Ertz (5-38-0) in Week 14 of 2018, but Jones is banged up and Ertz ic cheaper than Alshon Jeffery, who Jones may be asked to contain more in this matchup after he posted 10 catches last week against the Vikings. The Cowboys gave up an 11-118-1 line to Evan Engram in Week 1 but haven’ been tested much since.
RB Jordan Howard, Eagles: The Cowboys defense is tied for an NFL-high with seven rushing TDs allowed to running backs and is ranked 23rd in Football Outsiders‘ rushing DVOA.
Individual player correlations can be found in the player cards in our NFL Player Models. Team positional correlations can be found in our NFL Correlations Dashboard. All correlation data is from the past 12 months unless otherwise noted.
- Prescott-Cobb +0.63
- Elliott-Maher +0.60
- Prescott-Cooper +0.52
- Prescott-Cooper +0.49
- Prescott-Jarwin +0.45
- Elliott-Witten +0.44
- Elliott-Cowboys DST +0.39
- Prescott-Witten +0.31
- Cooper-Gallup +0.26
- Elliott-Cooper +0.03
- Prescott-Elliott -0.03
- Elliott-Pollard -0.08
- Prescott-Cowboys DST -0.26
- Cooper-Austin -0.48
- Cooper-Witten -0.62
- Elliott-Gallup -0.64
- Elliott-Cobb -0.64
The Dak-Cooper-Gallup stack is live. The Eagles are ranked No. 2 in run-defense DVOA but 19th in pass defense DVOA, so the odds are better than usual that Zeke doesn’t score enough to be optimal. Elliott is better served in Cowboys DST stacks hoping to take advantage of a game script that sees the Cowboys jump ahead and not have to use the pass game as much as anticipated.
- Wentz-Eagles DST +0.45
- Wentz-Elliott +0.43
- Wentz-Jeffery +0.36
- Sanders-Jeffery +0.36
- Ertz-Agholor +0.35
- Wentz-Agholor +0.34
- Wentz-Ertz +0.25
- Wentz-Goedert +0.20
- Howard-Ertz +0.13
- Wentz-Sanders -0.06
- Ertz-Goedert -0.18
- Howard-Sanders -0.24
- Wentz-Howard -0.26
- Jeffery-Agholor -0.33
- Ertz-Jeffery -0.40
- Sanders-Ertz -0.47
- Howard-Agholor -0.54
- Howard-Elliott -0.71
A few of things to note:
- Wentz is correlated to his wide receivers more than his tight ends.
- Eagles’ interior pass catchers are both negatively correlated to Jeffery.
- Howard tends to be the highest-leverage play, hogging points from the passing and kicking game when he goes off.
Players whose production would benefit owners more than expensive or highly-owned players. Kickers and D/STs generally make for strong leverage plays, but those who stand out will be highlighted below.
Eagles DST: The Eagles piled up 10 sacks in Week 5 against the Jets, and though offensive tackles Tyron Smith (ankle) and La’el Collins (knee) are in line to play, there’s no telling how healthy they truly are.
Dart Throw Rankings
Ranking the low-cost, complementary players not already discussed in the leverage section by likelihood of having a worthwhile fantasy stat line.
- WR Nelson Agholor, Eagles: Averaged 71.0 yards in the two meetings last season.
- TE Dallas Goedert, Eagles: Ran a route on more than 50% of Eagles dropbacks for the first two times all season these last two weeks and should continue to do so in the absence of DeSean Jackson (abdomen).
- WR Tavon Austin, Cowboys: Posted a 5-64-0 line while playing 76-of-82 snaps on offense last week and jumps to No. 1 if Randall Cobb (back) sits.
- WR Mack Hollins, Eagles: Averaging over 20 (albeit low-percentage) routes run since Jeffery returned in Week 4, but he has the highest aDOT (12.9) among Eagles regulars, which is all we care about here.
- TE Blake Jarwin, Cowboys: Three-plus targets in four of six games.
- WR Cedrick Wilson, Cowboys: Played 50 snaps and posted a 5-46-0 line last week and would likely benefit more from Cooper sitting than Cobb. As long as he’s active he’s not the worst dart throw, though, given the potential for in-game injury from Dallas’ wideout corps.
- RB Tony Pollard, Cowboys: Has only played 14 snaps over the past three games, though he’s touched the ball on seven of them.
- RB Boston Scott, Eagles: Returning punts and could see a few snaps on offense in the Sproles role.
- WR JJ Arcega-Whiteside: Has been phased out in favor of Hollins with 13 snaps and no targets since Week 4.
- FB Jamize Olawale, Cowboys: Has played 2-16 snaps each week with zero touches; you’re just hoping for him to get schemed wide open for a receiving TD or a goal-line vulture with him.
- WR Ventell Bryant, Cowboys: Played his first two offensive snaps and seems to have jumped Devin Smith on the depth chart.
- TE Dalton Schultz, Cowboys: Has played between 3-14 snaps each week but seen only one target all year.
- WR Devin Smith Cowboys: Hasn’t played an offensive snap since Sept. 29.
Pictured above: Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz (11)
Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports.