DraftKings’ main NBA DFS slate for Tuesday starts at 7:00 PM EST and features the first eight games of the night. Let’s dive into some of the top plays on the slate using the FantasyLabs tools and projections.
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Note: Projections and Leverage Scores/Ratings may change throughout the day after this article is posted. The NBA DFS landscape changes quickly.
Consult the NBA Player Models directly for any updates as we get closer to lock.
NBA DFS Point Guard Picks
Stud
Ryan Rollins ($8,700)
While this career-high salary may feel aggressive, Rollins has a great chance to outproduce this price tag tonight vs. the Bulls. Chicago is one of the top matchups in the NBA, ranking fourth in pace and 24th in defensive rating, and Rollins is the Bucks’ centerpiece right now with Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) and Kevin Porter Jr. (oblique) out. In the nine starts Rollins has made without these two, he is amassing 45.1 DraftKings PPG with a 28% usage rate, via the On/Off Tool. In our projections, Rollins has a ceiling north of 50 DraftKings points.
Value
Isaiah Collier ($6,200)
With Keyonte George (ankle) remaining out tonight, Collier is a great option vs. the Pacers, who rank 20th in defensive rating this season and are playing their second game in two nights. Collier starts in place of George when the latter is inactive, and in the three games Collier has played without George this season, Collier is averaging 36 DraftKings points in 32 minutes per game. The guard just posted 39.5 DraftKings points with George out Sunday vs. the Raptors, and Collier is simply underpriced for life without George.
Fast Break
Ayo Dosunmu ($6,100) – Dosunmu is in a plus spot vs. the Antetokounmpo-less Bucks, and Dosunmu has strong upside with both Josh Giddey (hamstring) and Tre Jones (hamstring) still out for the Bulls. With these two guards out for the last three, Dosunmu has performances of 37.75 and 56.5 FPTS.
Tyler Kolek ($3,300) – With Miles McBride (ankle) missing his third straight tonight, Kolek is a viable full punt vs. the Wizards, who rank sixth in pace and 29th in defensive rating this season. With McBride out for the last three, Kolek has operated as the Knicks’ backup point guard, and he has scored at least 17 FPTS in each of these three contests.
Don’t forget to check out our NBA SimLabs Lineup Generator to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation:
NBA DFS Shooting Guard Picks
Stud
Josh Hart ($7,000)
The Knicks carry the second-highest implied team total on the slate facing the Wizards (121 points), and Hart is a great way to gain a share of New York in GPPs that shouldn’t be popular. The Knicks have won six in a row, and during this win streak, Hart is averaging 35.2 DraftKings points in 32.4 minutes per game. The veteran has topped 40 DraftKings points three times in these last six, and surpassing that threshold is possible for him again tonight.
Value
Bennedict Mathurin ($5,500)
After missing plenty of time this season, Mathurin finally looks healthy again. Last night vs. the Rockets, the guard scored 37.5 DraftKings points in 34.2 minutes of work while shooting 8-of-15 from the field. Mathurin is producing 0.9 DraftKings PPM with a 23.9% usage rate this season, and he is in a much easier spot tonight vs. the Jazz, who rank dead last in defensive rating this season. Indiana carries the third-highest implied team total on the slate (120.5 points), and Mathurin is underpriced for the upside he brings in this elite matchup. Earlier this season, Mathurin’s salary peaked at $7,300 on DraftKings.
Fast Break
Desmond Bane ($7,000) – While Bane is in a tough spot vs. the Thunder and their league-best defense, the matchup should result in little ownership, and Bane is too cheap for Franz Wagner (ankle) being sidelined. With the forward sidelined, Bane has scored at least 36 DraftKings points in three consecutive games, and with Wagner off the floor this season, Bane’s usage rises to 25.2%.
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NBA DFS Small Forward Picks
Stud
Michael Porter Jr. ($8,800)
While the Nets continue to struggle, Porter Jr. continues to produce huge numbers. In his last two, Porter Jr. has torched the Suns for 54.25 DraftKings points and the Nuggets for 67.5 DraftKings points. The forward is leading Brooklyn with 1.3 DraftKings PPM this season, thanks to a career-high 30% usage rate. Porter Jr. is at home and facing the Lakers, who rank 25th in defensive rating this season, and he could erupt in this spot.
Value
Pelle Larson ($5,400)
With Tyler Herro (out, ribs) sidelined, Larson has been thriving for the Heat, scoring 31, 46.75, and 35.5 DraftKings points in his last three starts. All of these matchups came against the Bulls, and Larson finds himself in another great spot tonight vs. the Hawks, who rank second in pace this season. Miami is the only team that ranks ahead of Atlanta in pace, and this up-tempo matchup presents the highest total on the slate (240.5 points). Larson is amassing 0.9 DraftKings PPM with a 17.4% usage rate with Herro off the floor and Larson should have zero trouble surpassing five-times value in this likely shootout. Norman Powell (back) is also questionable, and if he sits, Larson will become an even better value. With both Powell and Hero off the floor this season, Larson scores 1.0 DraftKings PPM.
Fast Break
Nickeil Alexander-Walker ($7,100) – With Trae Young officially out of the picture, Alexander-Walker has been excellent for the Hawks, posting at least 34 DraftKings points in three of his past four. Competing in this fast-paced matchup vs. the Heat, Alexander-Walker is a strong GPP play.
NBA DFS Power Forward Picks
Stud
Jalen Johnson ($10,200)
Deservedly so, Johnson was just named to his first All-Star team, and for his first start following the selection, Johnson goes head-to-head with the up-tempo Heat in the highest total on the slate (240.5 points). The forward is fresh off a 73 DraftKings point triple-double vs. the Pacers, and this season, Johnson is generating 1.5 DraftKings PPM behind a 27.3% usage rate, a 33% assist rate, and a 15.9% rebound rate. The budding star ranks second only to Nikola Jokic in triple-doubles this season, and Johnson has the third-highest ceiling on the slate in our projections. He posted 52.25 DraftKings points vs. the Heat in December, and when competing in totals of 240 points or more this season, Johnson is amassing 54.4 DraftKings PPG (four games), via the Trends Tool.
Value
Kyle Filipowski ($5,900)
The Jazz will be without Jusuf Nurkic (rest) and Kevin Love (illness) tonight, leaving Filipowski at the team’s starting center for a prime matchup vs. the Pacers. With both Nurkic and Love inactive last Friday vs. the Nets, Filipowski started at center for Utah and posted a double-double of 37.5 DraftKings points in 28.3 minutes. The 22-year-old is producing 1.0 DraftKings PPM with an 18.1% usage rate this season, and with nearly 30 minutes tonight, Filipowski should beat his salary with ease. In our projections, the big man is the No. 1 value on the slate.
Fast Break
Mouhamed Gueye ($4,400) – Onyeka Okongwu (dental) is out, and if Kristaps Porzingis (questionable, Achilles) joins him on the sidelines, Gueye will become one of the top values on the slate. With both Okongwu and Porzingis inactive Saturday vs. the Pacers, Gueye started for the Hawks and finished with 28 DraftKings points across 31 minutes.
Patrick Williams ($3,700) – If Jalen Smith (questionable, calf) misses his third straight, Williams will be a compelling punt play at only $3,700. With Smith inactive for the last two, Williams is averaging 25.5 DraftKings points in 30.7 minutes per game.
NBA DFS Center Picks
Stud
Bam Adebayo ($8,400)
With the Heat boasting the highest implied team total on the slate vs. the Hawks (122.5 points), this is a perfect spot for Adebayo to go off. The center has topped 40 DraftKings points in five of his last eight, and he has erupted for over 50 DraftKings points in three of these games. Adebayo is generating 1.2 DraftKings PPM with a 24.8% usage rate with Herro off the court this season, and Miami being at home tonight is great news for Adebayo, as he is scoring 2.1 more DraftKings PPG at home than on the road this season.
Value
Myles Turner ($6,200)
Before Sunday’s blowout loss to the Celtics, Turner was on fire, scoring at least 42 DraftKings points in three straight games. The center benefits greatly with Antetokounmpo and Porter Jr. out, as Turner’s usage rises 2.9 percentage points to 21.8% with those two starters off the floor this season, resulting in 1.1 DraftKings PPM for the big man. In a perfect bounce-back spot vs. the Bulls tonight, who rank fourth in pace and 24th in defensive rating, Turner should get back on track and is an excellent option at only $6,200.
Fast Break
Jay Huff ($4,300) – Huff is a GPP play only, but he warrants consideration for that format with the defensively inept Jazz in town. Huff was held to just 16.25 DraftKings points last night vs. the Rockets, but the center had posted at least 28 DraftKings points in back-to-back games prior to this.
Pictured: Jalen Johnson
Photo Credit: Imagn
