Wide receivers are the backbone of your NFL DFS lineups. It’s a spot where you’ll need massive production if you’re going to take down a GPP, but it’s also a spot where you can save money on occasion. Some of the best values in a given week are likely to be found at the receiver position.
In this piece, I highlight wide receivers who stand out in our large suite of analytical fantasy tools, most specifically, our FantasyLabs Player Models. While the models are built for DFS contests, this is an all-purpose fantasy article with actionable information for all formats.
As news breaks throughout the week and we adjust our projections (powered by Sean Koerner), player ratings in our Player Models will change as the projections change. For updates, visit the models directly.
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You can also combine them to create your own aggregate projections:
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Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($8,600 DraftKings, $9,500 FanDuel)
There is seemingly no stopping Smith-Njigba at this point. He’s played in eight games this season, and he’s gone for at least 100 receiving yards in six of them. He just narrowly missed in a seventh – he finished with 96 yards and a touchdown – and he has a chance to become the NFL’s first 2,000-yard receiver.
JSN has dominated with elite volume and efficiency. He owns a massive 38% target share, which is the top mark in the league. He’s also not just thriving on short looks. His 49% air yards share ranks second in the NFL, and he leads the league with an average of 12.0 yards per target.
The only thing Smith-Njigba hasn’t done at an elite level is score touchdowns. He has four receiving TDs for the year, which is merely tied for 20th in the league. If he can add a few more scores to his ledger moving forward, he has the potential for a historic season.
Regardless, JSN has already been a fantasy superstar. He’s racked up at least 20.6 DraftKings points in all but one game, and he’s had at least 25.0 in four straight. It gives him an elite combination of floor and ceiling on a weekly basis.
Smith-Njigba gets a middling matchup this week vs. the Cardinals, who are 16th in pass defense EPA. That said, JSN is essentially matchup-proof at this point. He’s thrived against good and bad defenses alike, so there’s no reason he can’t go off vs. the Cardinals in Week 10. He owns the top ceiling projection in our NFL Models, and he grades out well in terms of projected Plus/Minus.
Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8,400 DraftKings, $9,300 FanDuel)
There’s a lot of firepower to consider at receiver this week. In addition to JSN, St. Brown also stands out as a phenomenal pay-up target. He has taken a clear step forward from a target standpoint this season, racking up a 33% target share through his first eight games. That figure has increased to 38% over his past four outings, so his role in the offense is only growing.
St. Brown is also one of the biggest touchdown threats at the position. He has 50% of the Lions’ end zone targets for the year, which is an elite figure. He’s responded with seven receiving touchdowns, though he has scored just once in his past four games.
St. Brown is in a great spot to do some damage in Week 10. The Lions are taking on the Commanders, who have been dreadful against the pass this season. They’re 29th in pass defense EPA, and they’ve allowed the fourth-most PPR points per game to opposing receivers.
Detroit is also implied for 28.5 points in this contest, which is the second-highest mark on the slate. His ceiling projection is slightly lower than JSN’s, but he stands out as the superior value in terms of projected Plus/Minus.
Zay Flowers ($5,900 DraftKings, $7,100 FanDuel)
With a couple of clear studs to target, we need to find a few salary-savers as well. Flowers stands out as an excellent option.
At his best, Flowers is a potential WR1 for fantasy purposes. He catches passes from one of the best quarterbacks in football, and he has outstanding utilization. He owns a 30% target share for the year, and he’s seen at least eight targets in five different contests. The Ravens don’t have to throw the ball at a massive frequency – they have the fifth-lowest pass rate in football – but the ball is typically headed in Flowers’ direction when they do take to the air.
That gives Flowers an excellent floor for his price tag. He’s finished with double-digit PPR points in all but two contests this season, and he narrowly missed in one of them (9.6 PPR points vs. the Rams).
Flowers stands out as a clear buy-low target with Lamar Jackson back under center. He’s been priced as high as $6,700 this season, so $5,900 represents a nice discount. He leads all receivers in projected Plus/Minus on DraftKings, and he’s fourth at the position on FanDuel.
Tez Johnson ($4,500 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel)
The Buccaneers are still dealing with some key injuries at receiver. Chris Godwin has been ruled out for Week 10, while Mike Evans is still weeks away from returning to the lineup. Jalen McMillan has also yet to suit up this season, leaving the team without their top three pass-catchers from last season.
That has allowed Johnson to assume a prominent role in an excellent passing attack. He’s coming off a slightly disappointing showing in his last outing, finishing with six targets, five catches, and 43 yards vs. the Saints, but he actually posted a season-high 26% target share in that contest. Johnson had posted a positive Plus/Minus in each of his three previous games, so more targets should hopefully lead to better production moving forward.
The Buccaneers may also need to throw the ball more often this week against the Patriots. They’ve been absolutely elite against the run this season, with no RB eclipsing 50 yards against New England this year. The Bucs are still without top RB Bucky Irving, so most of their offense is going to have to come via the pass.
Add it all up, and Johnson is the clear top option among the cheapest tier at the position. He’s a bit more viable at $4,500 on DraftKings than $5,800 on FanDuel, but he’s usable on both sites.
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Emeka Egbuka ($7,000 DraftKings, $7,800 FanDuel)
Everything mentioned in the Johnson blurb applies doubly for Egbuka. While Johnson is has emerged for the team recently, Egbuka has been getting the job done all season. He was a first-round pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, and he’s been one of the best receivers in fantasy right out of the gate. He ranks 12th at the position in PPR points per game, despite some lackluster production in recent weeks.
Egbuka has the potential to be a target monster given the state of the team’s receiving corps. He posted a season-high 35% target share and 58% air yards share in his last outing, but poor play from Baker Mayfield ultimately resulted in just 6.5 DraftKings points. Mayfield had played extremely well prior to that contest, so there’s no reason to expect his struggles to continue.
Egbuka stands out as one of the top options on the slate. He’s third at the position in optimal lineup rate on DraftKings, and he’s No. 1 on FanDuel.
Puka Nacua ($8,700 DraftKings, $9,900 FanDuel)
Nacua could fly a bit under the radar this week. He’s projected for less ownership than Smith-Njigba, St. Brown, and Egbuka, but he’s been the top producer in fantasy when he’s been in the lineup this season. He leads the position in PPR points per game, despite posting just 4.8 fantasy points in a game he exited early. If we remove that contest from the equation, Nacua has averaged a ridiculous 27.6 DraftKings points in his six full outings.
The Rams will square off with the 49ers on Sunday, and Nacua has already victimized them once this season. He had 24.5 DraftKings points in that contest, despite falling just short of the 100-yard bonus. The 49ers have done a better job against him than most, yet Nacua has still averaged a Plus/Minus of +4.33 in four career meetings (per the Trends tool).
The Rams are currently implied for 27.75 points in this matchup, which is the third-highest mark on the main slate. If they’re going to do that much scoring, you can bet Nacua will have a hand in it.
Marvin Harrison Jr. ($5,300 DraftKings, $6,600 FanDuel)
The Cardinals are mired in a bit of a quarterback controversy at the moment. Kyler Murray was recently placed on IR, which has opened the door for Jacoby Brissett to take over as the team’s starting QB. The offense has fared much better in Brissett’s three starts, so the IR move feels like a way to bench Murray without embarrassing him too much. Regardless, it’s almost certain that Murray will be playing elsewhere next season.
Harrison is someone who will be happy to see Brissett under center. He entered the league as a can’t-miss prospect and was ultimately selected fourth overall by the Cards in 2024. However, he has been unable to get anything going consistently with Murray under center.
Harrison turned in his best game of the season with Brissett at QB last week. He posted a 36% target share, and he responded with seven catches, 96 yards, and a touchdown.
Harrison’s previous production in games with Brissett wasn’t nearly as impressive, so it’s possible it’s just a one-week aberration. That said, he has solid upside at this price tag as a minimum. Seattle has been nearly impossible to run the ball against this season, so Brissett is going to have to sling it a lot in Week 10.
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Deebo Samuel ($5,600 DraftKings, $7,300 FanDuel)
The Commanders are another team dealing with a QB injury. Jayden Daniels suffered a dislocated elbow last week, and while it appears he avoided a serious injury, he’s going to be out of the lineup in Week 10. Terry McLaurin is also out for the Commanders, leaving the team without two of their top producers from last season.
One positive is that Marcus Mariota is at least a top-tier backup. He’s held his own in games where he’s had to play extensively since the start of last season, with his Week 8 start vs. the Chiefs standing out as the lone exception.
If Mariota can hold up his end of the equation, Samuel could be poised for a solid showing. He’s been the Commanders’ No. 1 option all season in the passing attack, and with McLaurin out of the lineup, he should be even more involved in Week 10. His numbers have dwindled recently due to a minuscule Average Depth of Target (aDOT), but Samuel does have three top-11 finishes at the position for the year.
Samuel stands out as one of the most undervalued receivers this week in Sim Labs. His optimal lineup rate is north of 20% on DraftKings, yet his projected ownership is closer to 15%.
Stefon Diggs ($5,800 DraftKings, $6,200 FanDuel)
Diggs has been priced at a massive discount on FanDuel all season, and Week 10 vs. the Bucs is no exception. His $6,200 price tag comes with a 98% Bargain Rating, the highest mark at the position.
Diggs has not been a full-time player for the Patriots this season. He’s posted just a 73% route participation, so the team has been careful about limiting his snaps following last year’s ACL injury. However, he’s been the team’s clear go-to option when he’s been on the field, earning a target on 24% of his routes run.
Diggs could have to do a bit more than usual this week. Kayshon Boutte has been the Pats’ top receiver from a snaps standpoint, and he’s going to miss this week’s game vs. the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay is also a pass funnel defense, so Diggs could see a significant bump in volume overall.
Khalil Shakir ($5,100 DraftKings, $6,100 FanDuel)
The Bills have the top offensive expectation in Week 10. They’re taking on the lowly Dolphins, who have been an absolute sieve defensively this season. They’ve struggled against the run and the pass, and the Bills are implied for 30.0 points in this matchup.
The Bills have spread the ball around on offense this season, but Shakir has seen his role increase in recent weeks. He owns a 27% target share over his past five outings, and he’s been above 30% in back-to-back games. Part of that stems from the absence of Josh Palmer, who has missed the past two games with ankle and knee injuries.
Palmer is listed as questionable vs. Miami, so his status could be an interesting X-factor on this slate. If he’s out of the lineup once again, Shakir would make a ton of sense as a contrarian tournament option in a game where Buffalo should do plenty of scoring.
Cedric Tillman ($3,500 DraftKings, $4,000 FanDuel)
It’s hard to get excited about anyone on the Browns not named “Quinshon Judkins” at the moment. Their passing game has been dreadful, and they’ve thrown for 183 yards or fewer in six straight games.
That said, perhaps Tillman can give them a bit of a spark. He’s been out of the lineup since Week 4, and he’s the team’s clear big-play threat at the position. He had double-digit PPR points in two of his first three games, though those came alongside Joe Flacco. It remains to be seen if he can do it with Dylan Gabriel, but Tillman at least brings some upside to the table at a very cheap price tag. The matchup vs. the Jets is also a good one, especially after New York traded away Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams before the deadline.
Pictured: Amon-Ra St. Brown
Photo Credit: Imagn
