This is a breakdown of one-game DFS contests for the AFC Divisional Round matchup featuring the Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens on Saturday, Jan. 11 at 8:15 p.m. E.T. on CBS. Be sure to check our Models up until kickoff for up-to-date projections that reflect the latest breaking news.
Cash Game Strategy
Lamar Jackson has hung at least 30 DraftKings points on eight of the 15 opponents he’s faced this season while failing to score fewer than 21 only once. Going up against a Titans defense that allowed opposing QBs to surpass their salary-based expectations at 71% clip this season, Jackson lands a full nine points ahead of every other player in terms of median projected points in our DraftKings Showdown Models and is worth the 1.5x hike for the Captain spot.
With Jackson locked in 1.5x slot, you can also fit Derrick Henry plus either Ryan Tannehill or Mark Ingram (calf, questionable), who are projected similarly. I usually trust the QB more in a situation like this, but in addition to not trusting Tannehill very much after he posted only 72 yards on a minuscule 15 attempts last week, I also think that spending so much on Jackson makes Ingram more valuable as in insurance policy in this instance. Sticking with that theme, I’d finish it off with Gus Edwards, Justice Hill and Nick Boyle, essentially locking in all of the passing and rushing production for a Ravens team that is implied by the odds to outscore the Titans by 10 (view live odds here).
FanDuel’s scoring format gives Tannehill the edge over Ingram in terms of median projected points, but our Models also peg Ingram with a floor twice as high, so I would still lean toward rolling with Ingram or splitting exposure here.
With $13,000 left over after locking in Jackson, Henry, and one of Ingram/Tannehill, the optimal combo is Baltimore’s top two wide receivers, Marquise Brown and Willie Snead, who rank third and fifth, respectively, in Projected Plus/Minus (there’s not enough salary to go Edwards-Hill here).