NFL DFS Showdown Picks for Bears vs. Seahawks on Sunday Night Football (November 2)

After a bit of a dud on Sunday Night Football, NFL Week 8 wraps up with a banger on Monday night. The Seattle Seahawks will host the Chicago Bears, with the Seahawks listed as 3.5-point home favorites. There is also expected to be a decent bit of scoring, with the total sitting at 46.5.

The defending champs got off to a slow start this season, but they remain one of the best teams in the league. They’re first in the league in yardage differential, and they reminded everyone how dominant they can be last week. They throttled the previously undefeated Chiefs, so they remain a team that no one wants to see in the playoffs.

Meanwhile, the Bears have rattled off two straight wins since Caleb Williams returned to the lineup. Their offense has looked explosive in both, while their defense has shown signs of improvement. It should be even better after landing Jeffrey Simmons in a trade with the Titans earlier this week, giving the Bears a legit chance to win the NFC.

Ultimately, this could be a potential NFC Championship preview. Let’s dive into all the DFS options for Monday Night Football.

As news breaks throughout the week and we adjust our projections (powered by award-winning expert ranker Sean Koerner), player ratings in our Player Models will change as the projections change. For updates, visit the models directly.

And don’t forget about the tools that FantasyLabs has to offer, like our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your lineups.

Or you can just use our NFL DFS sims to effortlessly create advanced lineups.

Finally, make sure to check out all the projections available for purchase within the FantasyLabs Models. Subscribers now have the option to purchase Derek Carty’s THE BLITZ from our Marketplace.

You can also combine them to create your own aggregate projections:

NFL DFS Stud Picks

In my mind, there’s no longer any debate about who is the best receiver in football. Jaxon Smith-Njigba entered that conversation last year, and he has blown away the rest of the field so far this season. He’s averaged a whopping 28.0 DraftKings points per game through the first seven weeks, and no other receiver is above 23.1. Across every position in fantasy, only Jahmyr Gibbs is in the same stratosphere.

Smith-Njigba combines volume and efficiency like few others. He has absolutely dominated the looks for the Seahawks passing attack this season, posting a 37% target share, 51% air yards share, and 45% end zone share. It’s resulted in six 100-yard games in seven outings, and he leads the NFL in both receiving yards and touchdowns.

All those looks haven’t hurt Smith-Njigba’s efficiency. He’s on pace to lead the league in yards per touch for the second consecutive season. Ultimately, opposing defenses know the ball is headed his way, and there is still almost nothing they can do to stop him.

The Bears don’t figure to have the answer. They’ve been mediocre against the pass this season, ranking in the middle of the pack in terms of fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. JSN has already torched much better secondaries this season, so it’s hard to imagine the Bears slowing him down.

Smith-Njigba ultimately has the top raw projections on this slate, and he also owns the best projected Plus/Minus. The only real question is how you should deploy him on this slate. While using him at Captain feels like a natural choice, SimLabs projects him to be extremely overowned in that spot. However, he leads all players with a 67.6% optimal flex rate, so he might be better used there.

---

Caleb Williams is the other stud option in this contest, and he has played like a stud when he’s been available this season. In the three games he’s started and finished, he’s racked up 37.26, 19.5, and 25.12 DraftKings points. He’s had 300+ passing yards in back-to-back games and has generally been one of the best QBs in football.

Williams has done most of his recent damage with his arm, but he also has some upside with his legs. We saw that in Week 1 – he had 65 rushing yards and two touchdowns – and he followed that up with 42 rushing yards before exiting in Week 2. Williams has averaged 32.0 rushing yards per game so far this season, up from his career average of 26.4.

The only real concern with Williams this week is his matchup. The Seahawks remain one of the best defensive teams in football, and they have been a nightmare for opposing QBs. They’ve allowed just 10.4 fantasy points per game, giving Williams an Opponent Plus/Minus of -5.6.

Williams is talented enough to overcome it, but it’s still hard to get too excited about him at his current salary. He ranks fourth on the slate in projected Plus/Minus, and he’s No. 3 in SimLabs optimal flex rate.

NFL DFS Midrange Picks