NFL Week 14 wraps up with a solid contest between two likely playoff squads. The Philadelphia Eagles will travel to Los Angeles to take on the Chargers, with the Eagles listed as 2.5-point road favorites. The total for this matchup currently sits at 41.5 points.
Philadelphia won the Super Bowl last year, but they’ve dealt with some adversity this season. Specifically, their offense has been very hit-or-miss. They’ve dipped to 19th in points per game and 24th in yardage after ranking in the top eight in both categories last year. Their run game has taken a massive step backward, while their passing game can be invisible in certain weeks.
Meanwhile, the Chargers have taken a clear step forward. They’re currently sitting at 8-4, putting them in a good position to make the postseason. They still have some work to do, but The Athletic currently gives them a 67% chance to make the playoffs. The Chiefs’ loss on Sunday Night Football certainly helped, as did Daniel Jones going down with a likely season-ending injury.
Let’s dive into all the top DFS options for Monday Night Football.
NFL DFS Stud Picks
The two quarterbacks lead the way on this slate, and one stands out above the other. Jalen Hurts has been one of the best quarterbacks in fantasy for quite some time, and this year has been no exception. Despite his team’s offensive struggles, Hurts is still finding a way to get it done for fantasy players most weeks. He’s averaged 20.8 fantasy points per game, which is the third-best mark among QBs with at least three starts.
However, Hurts has hit a rough patch recently. He’s posted a negative Plus/Minus in three of his past four games, and he’s had 14.5 DraftKings points or fewer in two of them.
The good news is that Hurts is still getting pushed into the end zone at a high clip. His touchdown prowess is his calling card for fantasy purposes. He’s scored double-digit touchdowns in four straight seasons, and he’s had at least 13 in three straight. He’s up to eight so far this year, so another year of 10+ scores seems extremely likely.
Hurts has also been roughly as efficient as usual when taking to the air. He’s averaged 8.20 adjusted yards per attempt, which is only a slight decrease from his 8.42 mark last season. His volume remains subpar – he’s had 28 passes or fewer in seven of 12 games – but he’s been basically the same guy when he has dropped back to pass.
Unfortunately, Hurts will have to navigate a brutal matchup this week. The Chargers have been excellent against the pass this season, and they’ve limited opposing QBs to the second-fewest fantasy points per game. It gives Hurts a -4.5 Opponent Plus/Minus, the worst on the slate.
Still, Hurts leads all players in median and ceiling projection, and he has the top projected Plus/Minus as well. He’s showing up in the optimal lineup simulations in Sim Labs nearly 71% of the time between the Captain and Flex spots, making him a pretty tough fade.
Justin Herbert is expected to be under center for the Chargers, despite dealing with a fractured non-throwing hand. He had surgery to install a plate and screws recently, and he told reporters he intends to play. He’s ultimately listed as questionable, but all signs point toward him suiting up vs. the Eagles.
It’s been a season full of ups and downs for the Chargers’ QB. He started the year with three straight solid showings before posting a negative Plus/Minus in two straight. After that, he had four straight games with a positive Plus/Minus, but he enters this contest in poor recent form. He’s posting a negative Plus/Minus in each of his past three outings, and he’s averaged just 11.0 fantasy points during that stretch. That ranks 33rd at the position over that time frame.
Things aren’t going to get any easier for him on Monday. The Eagles’ defense hasn’t been truly dominant this season, but they’re still capable of making opposing QBs look foolish. They limited the Lions and Packers to just 16 total points in two recent matchups, and the Bears had just 144 passing yards against them last week. The Eagles will also have a slight rest edge after playing on Black Friday in Week 13.
The Chargers are also underdogs in this matchup, though Herbert is the rare QB who has actually performed better in that split. He’s averaged 21.58 DraftKings points as a dog for his career, which is more than a full point higher than his mark as a favorite (per the Trends Tool).
QBs will always have appeal in the single-game format, and Herbert is talented enough to go off against anyone. He has a lot of negatives working against him in this matchup, but he still grades out as a reasonable option in our NFL Models. He is also grading out one of the most undervalued Captains in Sim Labs, with his optimal rate exceeding his projected ownership by the second-highest mark.
NFL DFS Midrange Picks
What in the world has happened to Saquon Barkley? He looked like a cheat code last season for the Eagles, but he has not been close to the same dominant force in 2025-26. Barkley has managed to stay mostly healthy, but his production has fallen off a cliff. He’s averaging a full two yards per carry less than he did last season, while his rushing yards per game have absolutely plummeted. He led the league with 125.3 rushing yards per game in his first year in Philly, but he’s at just 61.7 in 2025-26.
Barkley is still dominating the workload in the Eagles’ backfield. He’s played on 80% of the snaps and logged 70% of the designed rushing attempts, and he’s also posted a 13% target share. Those are all very reasonable numbers for a No. 1 running back. The efficiency simply hasn’t been there.
Barkley is also frequently vultured by his starting QB around the goal line. He’s received just 41% of the carries from inside the five-yard line, which has hampered his touchdown upside. He has just six scores on the year, and he’s failed to score in six of his past seven games. The lone exception vs. a game vs. the Giants, and his rushing touchdown came from 65 yards.
That game vs. the Giants shows that Barkley still has some upside in the right matchups, and this game vs. the Chargers could qualify. While the Chargers have been elite against the pass, they’ve been susceptible on the ground. It’s still not an elite matchup – they’re 15th in rush defense EPA – but they’ve allowed some huge games to running backs previously. The Jaguars crushed them for 192 rushing yards two games ago, and they had a five-week stretch where they allowed at least 118 rushing yards to five straight opponents.
It’s enough to make Barkley an interesting buy-low candidate. It has been a very forgettable season, but he trails only Hurts in projected Plus/Minus.
At receiver, the Eagles have two guys who are capable of stud-like performances on a weekly basis: A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. Smith has been their top fantasy receiver for most of the year, but Brown has the longer track record of success. He’s also come on strong in recent weeks. He’s posted a massive 37% target share over the team’s past three games, and he’s had at least 110 receiving yards and a score in two straight. That would seem to make him the superior option.
That said, neither guy is a true must-play in this matchup. The Chargers have been great against opposing receivers, allowing the second-fewest fantasy points per game to the position.
Ironically, Brown’s top correlation is actually with Smith (+0.41). Both players also have solid correlation marks with Hurts, so pairing up all three in a big Eagles’ stack makes a ton of sense.
The Chargers also have a solid handful of pass-catching options, but Ladd McConkey has separated himself from the pack in recent weeks. After a slow start to the year, McConkey leads the team with a 26% target share from Week 7 on. He’s finished as a top-20 PPR receiver in six of his past eight outings, so he’s provided a pretty consistent floor. However, he’s only managed to crack 20 DraftKings points in three of them, so he hasn’t had a particularly strong ceiling.
McConkey’s target numbers have also dipped a bit in recent weeks. He’s had six targets or fewer in four straight games, and he’s posted a negative Plus/Minus in three of them. It makes him a bit overpriced at $8,800.
Quentin Johnston, Keenan Allen, and Orande Gadsden round out the Chargers’ passing attack, and all three have provided value at different points this season.
Johnston is the team’s clear big-play threat at the position. He has the highest Average Depth of Target (aDOT) among the team’s pass-catchers, and he leads the team with seven receiving scores. His target share has declined in recent weeks, but he doesn’t need a ton of opportunities to potentially rip off a big one.
Allen hasn’t had a ton of fantasy success of late, but he’s maintained a solid level of involvement in the passing attack. He has a 24% target share in back-to-back games, so there’s no reason he can’t put together a better performance on Monday night. He has the best Plus/Minus projection among the Chargers’ receiver trio.
Gadsden is the most interesting option. At one point this season, he looked like a breakout star. However, the Chargers have had to deal with some offensive line injuries of late, and they’ve asked Gadsden to block a bit more as a result. His route participation was at just 68% last week, and it was at 55% in Week 10.
That said, Gadsden has still posted a target share of at least 20% in five of his past seven games, so he’s still a clear factor in the passing attack. His price tag has come down significantly, making him a nice buy-low option.
Omarion Hampton is the big X-factor on this slate. He’ll suit up for the first time since Week 5, but it remains to be seen how much he’ll be utilized in his first game back. In Hampton’s last full game, he racked up an 88% snap share and 100% of the team’s designed rushing attempts. He has the potential to be a massive fantasy force down the stretch, but he’ll probably be eased into action.
That’s especially true with how well Kimani Vidal fared in his stead. Vidal had three 100-yard games in his absence, and he just narrowly missed in a fourth (95). Something like a 50/50 split between both players makes a ton of sense.
That makes it tough to get excited about either player at their current DraftKings salaries. Hampton is slightly more appealing on FanDuel, where his 92% Bargain Rating is tied for the top mark on the slate. Both RBs could have success when on the field vs. the Eagles, who will be without stud DT Jalen Carter in this matchup. The Eagles were also absolutely gashed on the ground by the Bears last week, so both guys have decent ceilings even if they’re a bit overpriced.
Dallas Goedert rounds out this price range, and he’s had a solid fantasy season. That said, nearly all of his production has come from touchdowns. He had seven scores in his first seven games, and he hasn’t found the paint since then.
When Goedert doesn’t score, he has very little chance of returning value. He’s gone for 8.3 DraftKings points or fewer in four straight games, and he’s had 4.7 or fewer in three of them.
The good news is that the Chargers have allowed 0.5 touchdowns per game to opposing TEs this season, which is tied for the fifth-worst mark in the league. It’s a spot where Goedert could get back in the paint, and he shouldn’t command much ownership after his recent performances.
NFL DFS Value & Punt Picks
- Defenses & Kickers – These options are always in play in the single-game format. There are virtually no value options outside this quartet, so they should be more popular than usual.
- Tre’ Harris ($3,200 DraftKings, $5,200 FanDuel) – Harris has gotten on the field more as the season has progressed. That hasn’t led to much production, but he did have a 19% target share last week. He responded with three catches for 30 yards, so his stock could be on the rise.
- Jahan Dotson ($3,000 DraftKings, $4,600 FanDuel) – The Eagles have had trouble supporting their top two receivers this season, so there definitely hasn’t been room for a third. Dotson has just a 6% target share for the year, and he’s had one catch or fewer in all but two games. Still, he did see three targets last week, and he does have two catches of at least 40 yards on the season. He’s not likely to make a big play, but if he does, he could end up in the optimal lineup.
Pictured: Jalen Hurts
Photo Credit: Imagn
