I’m here to share a few of my top picks for today’s NBA slate on Underdog, with most of these selections grounded in our latest projections.
Keep in mind that these are some of our best-projected picks as of publication, but NBA news can change, potentially impacting the appeal of these plays. Our NBA DFS projections team continuously updates their inputs to reflect the latest information.
Below, I’ll outline my strategy for Underdog on Thursday.
First… Sign Up to Make NBA Underdog Picks
If you’re interested in joining the action but haven’t signed up yet, you can claim a special offer with our Underdog promo code “LABS” to unlock a generous bonus. Underdog is one of the better-known, most popular DFS pick’em sites. Each day, they offer player projections for NBA matchups. Our task is to decide whether a player will go higher or lower than those projected stats in their matchup. With a large pool of players available, you only need to select at least two picks to submit an entry.
I’ll be using our projections to find meaningful edges on how NBA players might fare in different stat categories. For additional insight as you make your NBA Underdog picks today, check out our fantasy pick’em tool, where you’ll find all of our picks for a variety of sites.

Underdog NBA Picks for Thursday
Now that you’re signed up, here are some of our top NFL picks on Underdog for Thursday:
- Ryan Rollins lower than 4.5 Rebounds
- Jonas Valanciunas lower than 1.5 Assists
- Trey Murphy III higher than 2.5 Threes
Celtics vs. Bucks NBA Underdog Predictions
Ryan Rollins lower than 4.5 Rebounds
The rebounds projection for Ryan Rollins looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 4.5 compares favorably based on our NBA simulations. This pick projects to hit 60.6% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 5.0% edge.
Nuggets vs. Kings NBA Underdog Predictions
Jonas Valanciunas lower than 1.5 Assists
The assists projection for Jonas Valanciunas looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 1.5 compares favorably based on our NBA simulations. This pick projects to hit 61.4% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 3.6% edge.
Blazers vs. Pelicans NBA Underdog Predictions
Trey Murphy III higher than 2.5 Threes
The threes projection for Trey Murphy III looks like a strong pick based on the current data. The Underdog projection of 2.5 compares favorably based on our NBA simulations. This pick projects to hit 56.8% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 2.8% edge.
Pictured: Trey Murphy
Photo Credit: Imagn

