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MLB DFS: Model Picks, Value Plays, and Top Stack for June 27

The FantasyLabs MLB Player Models have numerous data points to help you construct your MLB DFS rosters.

They house our floor, median, and ceiling projections for each player, but that’s just the beginning of what you’ll find inside. You’ll also find our Trends tool, stacking tool, and more.

Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your teams for cash games or small-field tournaments.

Let’s dive into some MLB plays that stand out in our Player Models for today’s main slate.

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Real-time DFS models

Data-driven analysis & tutorials

Bargain Rating Picks

You might be asking: what is Bargain Rating, and why should I care?

Bargain Rating shows how much of a bargain a player is on one DFS site versus others. If a player is significantly cheaper on one site than the other, they will have a favorable Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more affordable and a poor Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more expensive. It’s a straightforward metric, but targeting players at reduced price tags is almost always a strong strategy in DFS.

Bargain Rating strongly correlates with player value, which you can quickly see with our predictive projected Plus/Minus metric.

Seeing how Plus/Minus helps you project how many points a player is expected to score compared to what their salary implies them to score, this is a good company for Bargain Rating.

MLB DFS DraftKings Bargain

Tyler Wells ($6,200): Pitcher, Baltimore Orioles

Orioles’ hurlers are generally not considered bargains, but Wells is an exception tonight. He is the 15th highest-priced pitcher on the slate but ranks ninth in Plus/Minus projection.

On the season, Wells is 5-4 with a 3.34 ERA and +3.04 Plus/Minus rating. The sophomore right-hander has won his last three starts and put up over 15 DraftKings points in each.

He faces the Mariners in a late low-total game in Seattle. The Mariners are in the bottom 20% of team batting this season. If you are looking for a cheap pitching option tonight, Wells has the make-up of a solid bargain play.


MLB DFS FanDuel Bargain

Tim Anderson ($3,200): Shortstop, Chicago White Sox

Anderson made his way back into the lineup on June 20 after a three-week stint on the injured list for a groin injury. He has struggled in his first few games back, causing a drop in his pricing to bargain territory.

A career .289 hitter, Anderson is still swatting .339 in 2022 and has one of the lowest strikeout rates in the game.

It’s just a matter of time til Anderson finds his groove again. He faces Angels right-hander Noah Syndergaard on Monday, who is 4-6 with a 4.36 xERA this season in 11 starts.

MLB DFS Ceiling Projection Picks

Pitcher

Jordan Montgomery ($8,000 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel) vs. Oakland Athletics

Despite the incredible start to the Yankees season, it’s been difficult for Montgomery to rack up wins in the stat column. In 14  starts, he is just 3-1 with his respectable 2.97 ERA.

Montgomery had his worst start of the season in his last outing, giving up four earned runs and nine hits against the Rays on June 22. Before that, he had three straight 20+ DraftKings point performances and has a +1.29 Plus/Minus overall this season.

The Athletics have the lowest implied run total on the slate tonight at Yankee Stadium and are dead last in team batting average.


Hitter

Byron Buxton ($6,200 DraftKings, $3,900 FanDuel) at Cleveland Guardians

The Dodgers dominate the ceiling projections on Monday, but Buxton may be a sneaky high-ceiling play at Cleveland.

Batting just .238, Buxton has already matched his 19 home runs from his shortened 2021 season and is near the top of the league with a .394 xwOBA and 92.4 mph average exit velocity.

In June, he has seven 19+ point DraftKings performances and is batting .308 with eight home runs. With only a few days left in the month, this may be an excellent opportunity to capitalize on his June trends while everyone else is enamored with the Dodgers in Colorado.

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Top Stacking Pick from THE BAT X

One of the great features of being a FantasyLabs Pro member is the option to purchase additional items in the FantasyLabs Marketplace.

A new addition to our MLB projections is THE BAT from Derek Carty of RotoGrinders. With this purchase, you can use his projections alone or create aggregate projections within our Player Models.

The top five-man DraftKings stack from THE BAT using projected points in our stacking tool belongs to the Dodgers. When you load them into our Lineup Builder, you’ll have the option to hand-build the rest of your team or optimize the rest of it.

Note: There is precipitation projected in the forecast for this game. Be sure to monitor the status of this game leading up to lock.

The Dodgers are regulars as top stack picks, and so is any team playing in Colorado. Tonight, the best of both worlds collide as the Dodgers take on the Rockies at Coors Field.

The knock on Trea Turner is his lower ceiling production, but this guy is the model of consistency for fantasy scoring. The NC State product has seven double-digit DraftKings performances in his last 10 games and is batting .355 in June.

Freddie Freeman has more variance in his scoring than Turner but has shown his upside potential in the last few weeks. He has posted an insane +4.89 Plus/Minus over his previous 10 games.

By far the highest-priced catcher on the slate, Will Smith has delivered with seven straight double-digit DraftKings point totals. He is projected a full four points higher than any other catcher tonight.

The cleanup-hitting Max Muncy should have plenty of scoring opportunities tonight in this lineup to help work out of his current slump. The versatile infielder is managing just a .162 average and .607 OPS on the season.

We don’t usually see eight-hole hitters make the top stack, but Cody Bellinger slides into the last slot tonight as a mid-priced outfield option. He is an all-or-nothing proposition at the plate with two 20+ DraftKings point performances and three goose eggs over his past 10 games.

Daily fantasy players will want as many pieces of this game as possible. The Dodgers may have their highest implied run total of the season tonight against the Rockies’ Chad Kuhl, who is 3-5 with a 4.17 xERA in 13 starts.

The FantasyLabs MLB Player Models have numerous data points to help you construct your MLB DFS rosters.

They house our floor, median, and ceiling projections for each player, but that’s just the beginning of what you’ll find inside. You’ll also find our Trends tool, stacking tool, and more.

Also, don’t forget that for large-field tournaments, you can utilize our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to hand-build your teams for cash games or small-field tournaments.

Let’s dive into some MLB plays that stand out in our Player Models for today’s main slate.

Start Your PRO Trial Today

Lineup builder and optimizer

Real-time DFS models

Data-driven analysis & tutorials

Bargain Rating Picks

You might be asking: what is Bargain Rating, and why should I care?

Bargain Rating shows how much of a bargain a player is on one DFS site versus others. If a player is significantly cheaper on one site than the other, they will have a favorable Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more affordable and a poor Bargain Rating on the site where they’re more expensive. It’s a straightforward metric, but targeting players at reduced price tags is almost always a strong strategy in DFS.

Bargain Rating strongly correlates with player value, which you can quickly see with our predictive projected Plus/Minus metric.

Seeing how Plus/Minus helps you project how many points a player is expected to score compared to what their salary implies them to score, this is a good company for Bargain Rating.

MLB DFS DraftKings Bargain

Tyler Wells ($6,200): Pitcher, Baltimore Orioles

Orioles’ hurlers are generally not considered bargains, but Wells is an exception tonight. He is the 15th highest-priced pitcher on the slate but ranks ninth in Plus/Minus projection.

On the season, Wells is 5-4 with a 3.34 ERA and +3.04 Plus/Minus rating. The sophomore right-hander has won his last three starts and put up over 15 DraftKings points in each.

He faces the Mariners in a late low-total game in Seattle. The Mariners are in the bottom 20% of team batting this season. If you are looking for a cheap pitching option tonight, Wells has the make-up of a solid bargain play.


MLB DFS FanDuel Bargain

Tim Anderson ($3,200): Shortstop, Chicago White Sox

Anderson made his way back into the lineup on June 20 after a three-week stint on the injured list for a groin injury. He has struggled in his first few games back, causing a drop in his pricing to bargain territory.

A career .289 hitter, Anderson is still swatting .339 in 2022 and has one of the lowest strikeout rates in the game.

It’s just a matter of time til Anderson finds his groove again. He faces Angels right-hander Noah Syndergaard on Monday, who is 4-6 with a 4.36 xERA this season in 11 starts.

MLB DFS Ceiling Projection Picks

Pitcher

Jordan Montgomery ($8,000 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel) vs. Oakland Athletics

Despite the incredible start to the Yankees season, it’s been difficult for Montgomery to rack up wins in the stat column. In 14  starts, he is just 3-1 with his respectable 2.97 ERA.

Montgomery had his worst start of the season in his last outing, giving up four earned runs and nine hits against the Rays on June 22. Before that, he had three straight 20+ DraftKings point performances and has a +1.29 Plus/Minus overall this season.

The Athletics have the lowest implied run total on the slate tonight at Yankee Stadium and are dead last in team batting average.


Hitter

Byron Buxton ($6,200 DraftKings, $3,900 FanDuel) at Cleveland Guardians

The Dodgers dominate the ceiling projections on Monday, but Buxton may be a sneaky high-ceiling play at Cleveland.

Batting just .238, Buxton has already matched his 19 home runs from his shortened 2021 season and is near the top of the league with a .394 xwOBA and 92.4 mph average exit velocity.

In June, he has seven 19+ point DraftKings performances and is batting .308 with eight home runs. With only a few days left in the month, this may be an excellent opportunity to capitalize on his June trends while everyone else is enamored with the Dodgers in Colorado.

Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100!

Sign up and deposit up to $100

Your deposit will be fully matched

New users only

Top Stacking Pick from THE BAT X

One of the great features of being a FantasyLabs Pro member is the option to purchase additional items in the FantasyLabs Marketplace.

A new addition to our MLB projections is THE BAT from Derek Carty of RotoGrinders. With this purchase, you can use his projections alone or create aggregate projections within our Player Models.

The top five-man DraftKings stack from THE BAT using projected points in our stacking tool belongs to the Dodgers. When you load them into our Lineup Builder, you’ll have the option to hand-build the rest of your team or optimize the rest of it.

Note: There is precipitation projected in the forecast for this game. Be sure to monitor the status of this game leading up to lock.

The Dodgers are regulars as top stack picks, and so is any team playing in Colorado. Tonight, the best of both worlds collide as the Dodgers take on the Rockies at Coors Field.

The knock on Trea Turner is his lower ceiling production, but this guy is the model of consistency for fantasy scoring. The NC State product has seven double-digit DraftKings performances in his last 10 games and is batting .355 in June.

Freddie Freeman has more variance in his scoring than Turner but has shown his upside potential in the last few weeks. He has posted an insane +4.89 Plus/Minus over his previous 10 games.

By far the highest-priced catcher on the slate, Will Smith has delivered with seven straight double-digit DraftKings point totals. He is projected a full four points higher than any other catcher tonight.

The cleanup-hitting Max Muncy should have plenty of scoring opportunities tonight in this lineup to help work out of his current slump. The versatile infielder is managing just a .162 average and .607 OPS on the season.

We don’t usually see eight-hole hitters make the top stack, but Cody Bellinger slides into the last slot tonight as a mid-priced outfield option. He is an all-or-nothing proposition at the plate with two 20+ DraftKings point performances and three goose eggs over his past 10 games.

Daily fantasy players will want as many pieces of this game as possible. The Dodgers may have their highest implied run total of the season tonight against the Rockies’ Chad Kuhl, who is 3-5 with a 4.17 xERA in 13 starts.