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Five Under Five: Contrarian Plays for The Northern Trust

This piece focuses on five golfers projected to have less than five percent ownership in large-field guaranteed prize pools on DraftKings and FanDuel. Be sure to check out our DFS Ownership Dashboard shortly after contests lock to track ownership rates across all buy-in levels.

Five Under Five

Last week’s results: Four of five players made the cut and averaged 78.12 DraftKings points.

  • Soren Kjeldsen: T16, 96.5 DraftKings points, 2.00 percent average ownership
  • Jonas Blixt: MC, 36.0 DraftKings points, 0.67 percent avg ownership
  • J.J. Spaun: T16, 87.0 DraftKings points, 1.63 percent avg ownership
  • Harris English: T50, 67.5 DraftKings points, 3.41 percent avg ownership
  • Cheng-Tsung Pan: 63rd, 61.5 DraftKings points, 2.09 percent avg ownership

Five Under Five was straight fiya last week with four players getting through the cut and surviving the MDF, and two players — Kjeldsen and Spaun —  finishing T16 with at least 87.0 DraftKings points and ownership of two percent or less. Let’s try to keep the magic alive at The Northern Trust.

The Man With Three Names

As always, the first way we can use FantasyLabs to find potentially low-owned yet talented golfers in our Models is to leverage our Long-Term Adjusted Round Score (LT Adj Rd Score) metric. If you sort the field by LT Adj Rd Score, you are looking at a list of players who have been the best golfers over the past 75 weeks. Among these golfers, those who have low salaries could also have low ownership.

After going on a late July heater in which he won the Scottish Open and finished fourth at The Open Championship, Rafael Cabrera-Bello has come crashing back to earth with a 72nd-place finish and a missed cut in his last two starts. RCB is tied for 27th in the field with his 69.2 LT Adj Rd Score, ranks sixth with his 69.3 LT Greens In Regulation (GIR) percentage, and is tied for 17th with his 13.9 LT Adjusted Birdies Per Tournament (Adj Bird Avg).

Not That Rory

I’m not sure what’s gotten into Rory Sabbatini lately, but a streak of four top-25 finishes in his last five starts, including a fourth-place finish at last week’s Wyndham Championship, has improved his Recent Adj Rd Score to 69.1. Sabbatini has been on fire, accumulating an 11th-ranked 74.7 Recent GIR percentage and field-leading 20.3 Recent Adj Bird Avg in his last four starts.

Back To The Euros

Russell Knox became persona non grata this year thanks to a string of missed cuts —  seven in 11 starts, to be exact. With that kind of carnage on his resume, it’s easy to overlook the fact that he’s actually played well recently. Knox finished fifth at the Bridgestone Invitational and was T28 at last week’s Wyndham Championship. Knox is tied for 41st in the field with his 69.5 LT Adj Rd Score, and his 67.8 LT Driving Accuracy (DA) percentage is fifth overall.

That Dude Who Won

It wasn’t that long ago that Kyle Stanley raised the trophy at the Quicken Loans National, but missing three of his last four cuts will likely cause people to forget about that. Stanley’s 69.8 LT Adj Rd Score ranks in the top half of this field, he is tied for ninth overall with his 68.5 LT GIR percentage, and he ranks ninth all alone with his 67.1 LT DA percentage.

Not Charley

If you like the taste of chalk, by all means consume plentiful amounts of Charley Hoffman this week. But if you’re looking for a low-owned play, just add another “N” and go with Morgan Hoffmann. Morgan has quietly made three straight cuts, during which time he’s seen his Recent Adj Rd Score improve to 69.8. In addition, the dude has been dropping birdies like it’s his job (which I guess it kind of is): His 19.0 Recent Adj Bird Avg ranks third overall.

Be sure to check and see if anyone other than Hump rosters the other Hoffmann with our new PGA Contests Dashboard shortly after contests lock.

This piece focuses on five golfers projected to have less than five percent ownership in large-field guaranteed prize pools on DraftKings and FanDuel. Be sure to check out our DFS Ownership Dashboard shortly after contests lock to track ownership rates across all buy-in levels.

Five Under Five

Last week’s results: Four of five players made the cut and averaged 78.12 DraftKings points.

  • Soren Kjeldsen: T16, 96.5 DraftKings points, 2.00 percent average ownership
  • Jonas Blixt: MC, 36.0 DraftKings points, 0.67 percent avg ownership
  • J.J. Spaun: T16, 87.0 DraftKings points, 1.63 percent avg ownership
  • Harris English: T50, 67.5 DraftKings points, 3.41 percent avg ownership
  • Cheng-Tsung Pan: 63rd, 61.5 DraftKings points, 2.09 percent avg ownership

Five Under Five was straight fiya last week with four players getting through the cut and surviving the MDF, and two players — Kjeldsen and Spaun —  finishing T16 with at least 87.0 DraftKings points and ownership of two percent or less. Let’s try to keep the magic alive at The Northern Trust.

The Man With Three Names

As always, the first way we can use FantasyLabs to find potentially low-owned yet talented golfers in our Models is to leverage our Long-Term Adjusted Round Score (LT Adj Rd Score) metric. If you sort the field by LT Adj Rd Score, you are looking at a list of players who have been the best golfers over the past 75 weeks. Among these golfers, those who have low salaries could also have low ownership.

After going on a late July heater in which he won the Scottish Open and finished fourth at The Open Championship, Rafael Cabrera-Bello has come crashing back to earth with a 72nd-place finish and a missed cut in his last two starts. RCB is tied for 27th in the field with his 69.2 LT Adj Rd Score, ranks sixth with his 69.3 LT Greens In Regulation (GIR) percentage, and is tied for 17th with his 13.9 LT Adjusted Birdies Per Tournament (Adj Bird Avg).

Not That Rory

I’m not sure what’s gotten into Rory Sabbatini lately, but a streak of four top-25 finishes in his last five starts, including a fourth-place finish at last week’s Wyndham Championship, has improved his Recent Adj Rd Score to 69.1. Sabbatini has been on fire, accumulating an 11th-ranked 74.7 Recent GIR percentage and field-leading 20.3 Recent Adj Bird Avg in his last four starts.

Back To The Euros

Russell Knox became persona non grata this year thanks to a string of missed cuts —  seven in 11 starts, to be exact. With that kind of carnage on his resume, it’s easy to overlook the fact that he’s actually played well recently. Knox finished fifth at the Bridgestone Invitational and was T28 at last week’s Wyndham Championship. Knox is tied for 41st in the field with his 69.5 LT Adj Rd Score, and his 67.8 LT Driving Accuracy (DA) percentage is fifth overall.

That Dude Who Won

It wasn’t that long ago that Kyle Stanley raised the trophy at the Quicken Loans National, but missing three of his last four cuts will likely cause people to forget about that. Stanley’s 69.8 LT Adj Rd Score ranks in the top half of this field, he is tied for ninth overall with his 68.5 LT GIR percentage, and he ranks ninth all alone with his 67.1 LT DA percentage.

Not Charley

If you like the taste of chalk, by all means consume plentiful amounts of Charley Hoffman this week. But if you’re looking for a low-owned play, just add another “N” and go with Morgan Hoffmann. Morgan has quietly made three straight cuts, during which time he’s seen his Recent Adj Rd Score improve to 69.8. In addition, the dude has been dropping birdies like it’s his job (which I guess it kind of is): His 19.0 Recent Adj Bird Avg ranks third overall.

Be sure to check and see if anyone other than Hump rosters the other Hoffmann with our new PGA Contests Dashboard shortly after contests lock.