This piece will identify some of my favorite NFL DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking tool within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky, and more. Our Correlation Dashboard is also an excellent resource for finding hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
You can also plug these stacks into our Lineup Builder to hand-build the rest of it, or you can optimize it with our projections. And if you like to create multiple lineups, our Lineup Optimizer allows you to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups.
The Lineup Optimizer has endless customization opportunities.
Oh yeah! And our SimLabs Lineup Generator gives you the ability to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.
You can check out our in-depth SimLabs guide here.
Week 16 NFL DFS Stacks and Picks
Caleb Williams + DJ Moore + Keenan Allen + Jahmyr Gibbs
- Caleb Williams ($5,500 DraftKings, $7,200 FanDuel)
- DJ Moore ($5,700 DraftKings, $6,300 FanDuel)
- Keenan Allen ($5,300 DraftKings, $6,200 FanDuel)
- Jahmyr Gibbs ($7,500 DraftKings, $8,300 FanDuel)
After a relatively hot 4-2 start to the season, the Chicago Bears have followed that up with eight straight losses. They have looked awful in back-to-back road games against the Vikings and 49ers but draw a home divisional matchup against the Lions, who are extremely banged up on defense.
The Bears are still around touchdown underdogs, but this matchup has the highest total on the slate at 48 points. The weather is projected to be around 30 degrees, but this is still just the Lions’ second outdoor game all season. This is a good spot for the Bears to play spoiler and pull off a huge upset at Soldier Field.
Rookie quarterback Caleb Williams has had plenty of ups and downs this season. Williams has lost a fumble in back-to-back games, but he has not thrown an interception since Week 6 and has at least two passing touchdowns in three of his last four games. The biggest problem is Williams has taken a league-high 58 sacks. Whether it is the pitiful offensive line or Williams holding the ball too long, that is not ideal.
Williams played fantastically against the Lions on Thanksgiving Day despite a narrow 20-23 loss. He took a sack on the Bears’ last drive, and they mistakenly ran the clock out, which led to the firing of Head Coach Matt Eberflus. However, Williams was impressive, throwing for 256 yards and three touchdowns. The upside is there, and a matchup against a Lions defense with many injuries is a perfect recipe for success.
DJ Moore is the first of two wide receivers I want to stack with Williams. Moore leads the Bears in receptions, targets, and receiving yards this season. Over the last five weeks, Moore has averaged 7.2 receptions and 72 receiving yards per game. He also has five carries, including three last week for 24 yards against the Vikings. The Bears are getting the ball in Moore’s hands any way possible.
Moore’s ADOT has dropped to 7.6 per game due to getting a plethora of wide receiver screens called his way. Easy receptions work for fantasy scoring. Moore is projected for a slate-high 18% ownership at the wide receiver position this week. At his $5,700 on DraftKings, Moore also has the highest projected Plus/Minus at this position. He is a fantastic play that will likely be locked into many cash game builds.
In order for Williams to reach his ceiling, he will likely need to bring along two pass catchers. The second of the bunch is going to be Keenan Allen. Despite missing two earlier games this season, Allen leads the Bears in receiving touchdowns and target share with 28%. He has four receiving touchdowns in his last four games and is proving to be one of Williams’ favorite targets with his veteran hands.
Allen has posted over 20 DraftKings points in three of his last four games, including his two-touchdown game against the Lions on Thanksgiving. A repeat performance is not out of the question in this spot. Allen’s ownership is also half of what Moore is bringing in despite costing $400 less. Pair them together in this team stack in a favorable matchup against the Lions’ depleted secondary.
The bring-back in this Bears stack is crystal clear. With David Montgomery out for the season and potentially the entire playoffs, Jahmyr Gibbs will be the lead back in one of the best offenses in the league. Gibbs’ usage is about to explode. He is deservingly projected for the most ownership on the slate at any position at his $7,500 price tag on DraftKings and $8,300 on FanDuel.
The Bears defense has been a run funnel, allowing 133.3 rushing yards per game, which is the seventh-most in the league. However, the Lions will also utilize Gibbs in the passing game. He has 13 targets in his last two games. Expect a heavy workload for one of the most explosive running backs in the league.
Don’t forget to check out our SimLabs Lineup Generator to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation:
Chuba Hubbard + Trey McBride
- Chuba Hubbard ($6,800 DraftKings, $7,100 FanDuel)
- Trey McBride ($6,200 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel)
The first of two mini correlation stacks to target this week is Panthers’ running back Chuba Hubbard and Cardinals’ tight end Trey McBride. This matchup has the second-highest total on the slate at 47 points, with the Cardinals being 4.5-point road favorites looking to stay in the playoff picture.
Despite being one of the most popular running back options last week, Hubbard was a bust. He finished with 8.9 DraftKings points after his 10 rushing attempts for 32 yards and four receptions for 17 yards. He failed to get into the end zone for just the fourth time in his last 11 games. With both Miles Sanders and Jonathan Brooks on injured reserve, Hubbard played 94% of the offensive snaps last week.
Whether the Panthers are leading or playing from behind, Hubbard will get usage on the ground and through the air, making him game-script-proof. He is still projected for 20% ownership across the industry due to his involvement in the Panthers’ offense. This is an incredible opportunity to go back to Hubbard in a strong matchup at home against the Cardinals’ defense.
Trey McBride has arguably been the best tight end in the league this season despite failing to record a receiving touchdown. He leads all tight ends with a 29% target share and 91% route participation. McBride ranks third in fantasy points per game, which again is impressive without any touchdowns.
However, Kyler Murray posted on TikTok that “85 (McBride) will touch the end zone soon, I promise.” Can we believe him? The Cardinals did attempt a shovel pass at the one-yard line last week that went for zero yards, but it was good to see the effort nonetheless. The matchup sets up for success. The Panthers are allowing 14.8 fantasy points per game to tight ends this year, which is the second-highest in the league.
Rather than getting exposure to the full game stack, this mini correlation is perfect for targeting the two most important fantasy players on both teams. McBride is projected for the highest ownership at the tight end position, but his stats back it up. It will also be hard to keep Hubbard from a big game in back-to-back weeks. This is a fantastic spot for both McBride and Hubbard to post ceiling performances this week.
Bijan Robinson + Malik Nabers
- Bijan Robinson ($8,100 DraftKings, $8,900 FanDuel)
- Malik Nabers ($6,100 DraftKings, $8,200 FanDuel)
The second mini correlation that looks appealing is Falcons’ running back Bijan Robinson and Giants’ rookie wide receiver Malik Nabers. Prioritize this stack on DraftKings rather than FanDuel due to the pricing discrepancy for Nabers. He is over $2,000 cheaper on DraftKings for Week 16.
The Falcons have benched Kirk Cousins and are going with rookie Michael Penix. This is a great spot to deploy Penix in the first start of his career, but the Falcons will still likely lean heavily on Robinson. Penix is the most popular quarterback on the slate, so removing him from a Robinson pairing will eliminate a good bit of ownership this week. Robinson with no Penix is the perfect way to differentiate your lineup.
Since Week 6, Robinson has had 100+ all-purpose yards in all but one game where the Falcons got waxed against the Broncos. During that nine-game stretch, Robinson has averaged 90.8 rushing yards and 28.9 receiving yards per game with eight total touchdowns. He ranks second among all running backs during that time in fantasy points per game. The Giants also have the second-worst rush defense in the league, making this a prime spot to get exposure to Robinson in all formats.
Whether his quarterback is Drew Lock, Tommy DeVito, or Tim Boyle, it simply does not matter for Malik Nabers. He has had at least one of these quarterbacks throwing to him over the past three weeks, and Nabers has averaged 12.3 targets per game with a 35% target share. These mediocre quarterbacks understand their role, and that is to pepper Nabers with a ton of targets.
The Giants are always in a trailing game script, and this game should be no different. With running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. dealing with an ankle injury, it would not be surprising to see Nabers get 15 targets in this spot. The Falcons are allowing opposing wide receivers to average 35.3 fantasy points per game, which is the fourth-highest in the league. The quarterback does not matter, just play Nabers.
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