Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season gets underway with a very nice Thursday night matchup from the NFC East. The first-place New York Giants will host the Washington Commanders in a rematch of their Week 5 clash that resulted in a 27-27 tie. Since then, both teams have had significant changes, and the Giants come into this matchup as 2.5-point home favorites, and the over/under is 41 points.
The Giants changed QBs from Jameis Winston to J.J. McCarthy, who led the team to an overtime win in Houston and a win over the Eagles last Sunday to improve to 5-2-1 on the year. The Commanders also beat the Eagles back in Week 8 before losing to the Rams by seven points last week. They are 2-5-1, but only two of their losses were by one score, and they have kept most of their games very close. The Commanders will be without Terry McLaurin (knee), who is out for the season, and Jacory Croskey-Merritt (groin), who is first eligible to come off IR next week against the Bengals.
As news breaks throughout the week and we adjust our projections (powered by the award-winning expert ranker, Sean Koerner), player ratings in our Player Models will change as the projections change. For updates, visit the models directly.
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NFL DFS Stud Picks
Commanders QB Jayden Daniels has the top ceiling, median, and floor projections for Thursday’s game in the FantasyLabs Consensus Projections, and he also has the second-highest Projected Plus/Minus in a FLEX spot, behind only his counterpart J.J. McCarthy.
Since McCarthy is playing through a hip injury and hasn’t been as much of a threat on the ground, Daniels is a better option to build around, according to the projections. He had 35.3 DraftKings points in the first contest between these two teams, running for 103 yards and two touchdowns while throwing for 199 yards as well. He hasn’t run as much since that game, finishing with 15.0 and 15.6 DraftKings points in the last two weeks against the Eagles and Rams.
The Giants are a much more favorable matchup for Daniels this week, since they have allowed the fifth-most DraftKings points per game to QBs this season. They allowed Joe Milton III to run for 64 yards against them in Week 9, but they did keep him out of the end zone as both a rusher and a passer.
Daniels has the highest Optimal% as a Captain in our NFL SimLabs for this contest by a wide margin and the second-highest Optimal% as a FLEX play. He has the highest projected ownership in the Captain’s spot, but his upside is very clear based on how effectively he ran against the Giants in their first meeting. Without Croskey-Merritt, he could have even more rushing responsibility in the rematch, keeping his projections extremely high across the board.
On the other side of the matchup, running back Cam Skattebo is worth a look as a contrarian play in the Captain’s spot. He has the fourth-highest Optimal% in our sims as a Captain’s play and the second-highest Optimal% vs. Projected Ownership in that spot. He also has a positive Optimal% vs. Projected Ownership in a Flex spot.
Many managers may be avoiding Skattebo since he seemed to lose his job in Week 6 after a costly fumble against the Commanders in the tie earlier this season. He returned with a huge game in Week 7 against the Texans, though, racking up 22.1 DraftKings points in his best showing of the season. He finished that overtime win with 124 rushing yards and a touchdown on 17 carries, but on his last carry, he injured his hamstring.
Even after a Week 8 bye, Skattebo wasn’t ready to return last week, leaving Devin Singletary to carry the load. Singletary had 21 carries but only 31 yards against the Eagles, so Skattebo should get his job back after being cleared to return for this matchup. He will likely share time with Singletary still, but if he returns to his role as the lead back, he has a very high ceiling for a player with his current salary and ownership projection.
If you’re looking for a non-QB who makes sense as a Captain, Skattebo is worth a look since the Giants definitely want to be run-focused with McCarthy at QB. He is more expensive than McCarthy, which is likely another factor that keeps his ownership lower, making him a strong contrarian play.
NFL DFS Midrange Picks
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