This piece will identify some of my favorite NFL DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking Tool within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky, and more. Our Correlation Dashboard is also an excellent resource for finding hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
You can also plug these stacks into our Lineup Builder to hand-build the rest of it, or you can optimize it with our projections. And if you like to create multiple lineups, our Lineup Optimizer allows you to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups.
The Lineup Optimizer has endless customization opportunities.
Oh yeah! And our SimLabs Lineup Generator gives you the ability to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.
You can check out our in-depth SimLabs guide here.
Week 9 NFL DFS Stacks and Picks
Patrick Mahomes + Rashee Rice + Travis Kelce + Khalil Shakir
- Patrick Mahomes ($7,100 DraftKings, $8,500 FanDuel)
- Rashee Rice ($7,600 DraftKings, $8,200 FanDuel)
- Travis Kelce ($4,600 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel)
- Khalil Shakir ($5,300 DraftKings, $6,100 FanDuel)
The most exciting game on this 11-game Week 9 NFL slate is an AFC showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills. This game features a 52.5-point total, the highest on the slate, with the Chiefs being 1.5-point road favorites. The Chiefs are implied for a slate-high 27 points this week.
Leading the quarterback position in fantasy points per game is MVP front-runner Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs look like the Chiefs of old, and it is mainly due to the success of Mahomes. Over the last five weeks, Mahomes is averaging 286 passing yards with 16 total touchdowns (14 passing and two rushing) for an average of 28.1 DraftKings points per game. He also has a 71.8% completion percentage over that time.
Mahomes ranks fourth in dropbacks at 41.8 per game, and now Chiefs’ lead back Isiah Pacheco is likely to be out this week with a knee injury. Having to make likely more plays with his arm and his legs, Mahomes has the second-highest projected ceiling in our NFL Models. Mahomes has the third-highest optimal lineup rate in our NFL Sims at 11.3% and is only projected for 10.8% ownership.
Rashee Rice has only played in two games since his suspension but has quickly become Mahomes’ favorite weapon. Rice has led the Chiefs with a 28% target share and 34% target per route run. He has caught three touchdowns in two weeks and nearly had a rushing touchdown last week. His price tag has catapulted $1,000 on DraftKings each week he plays, but he is still a phenomenal play in all formats.
Similar to Mahomes, Rice ranks third in optimal lineup rate at 21.1% among wide receivers. Rice is second in fantasy points per game behind only Ja’Marr Chase, who we will get to in the next stack. He has caught 16 of his 19 targets and is the clear first stacking partner with Mahomes.
After Rice, there are several different players that can be added to this Chiefs’ stack. With Pacheco likely out, Kareem Hunt, who looked great last week, is only $4,700 on DraftKings. Xavier Worthy continues to be a field stretcher and can provide a ceiling that is worth targeting. Travis Kelce is coming off his best game of the season with six receptions for 99 yards and a touchdown.
Kelce is my selection after his price dropped to $4,600 on DraftKings. He is averaging double-digit fantasy points and has caught at least six receptions in three of his last four games with two touchdowns during that time. Similar to Rice, everything thrown Kelce’s way, he seems to catch. He also has 10 targets in three of his last four games against the Bills. Kelce’s salary is too cheap for his role in the Chiefs’ offense.
Bills’ running back James Cook erupted last week for 216 yards and two touchdowns. He is a strong bring-back option, but his salary has also jumped $1,000 on DraftKings. Khalil Shakir, meanwhile, remains favorably priced at $5,300 despite his six receptions for 88 yards and a touchdown last week.
Shakir leads the Bills in receptions, targets, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns. He is Josh Allen‘s go-to target, especially on third and fourth downs. He has recorded double-digit DraftKings points in five of his seven games, providing a safe floor with upside for a ceiling game if he hits paydirt.
This Chiefs and Bills game will be the highlight of the afternoon slate in a potential shootout. The Chiefs side is more intriguing due to their weapons and how incredibly Patrick Mahomes has played recently.
Don’t forget to check out our SimLabs Lineup Generator to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation:
Caleb Williams + D’Andre Swift + Rome Odunze + Ja’Marr Chase
- Caleb Williams ($5,700 DraftKings, $7,300 FanDuel)
- D’Andre Swift ($6,100 DraftKings, $6,900 FanDuel)
- Rome Odunze ($6,600 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel)
- Ja’Marr Chase ($8,400 DraftKings, $9,700 FanDuel)
The Chicago Bears are coming off their first loss since Week 2 last week, where they only scored 16 points. However, this is the perfect bounceback spot for the Bears playing against an atrocious Cincinnati Bengals defense. The Bears are 2.5-point road favorites, implied for 26.75 points, which is tied for the second-highest on the slate. This matchup also features a 51-point game total.
Attacking the Bengals defense has been one of the most profitable spots in fantasy this season. They rank 31st in EPA per play while allowing a league-high 407.9 yards and 31.6 points per game. Yet again, the Bengals defense has been one of the league’s worst, which should help boost this Bears offense.
Bears’ quarterback Caleb Williams has been a boom-or-bust fantasy player this season. What an amazing spot for Williams, with the Bengals defense allowing a league-high 53.1% success rate on dropbacks. This defense just allowed 39 points to the New York Jets. Expect a ceiling game for Williams, who has the second-highest optimal lineup rate at the quarterback position this week at 11.5%.
Since the Bears’ Week 5 bye, D’Andre Swift has been an elite running back. In the last three weeks, Swift is averaging 128 total scrimmage yards with a touchdown in each week and 22.5 DraftKings points per game. Not only are the Bengals terrible against the pass, but they are also allowing a league-high 151.9 rushing yards per game with a 47.5% rushing success rate. Swift should feast in this matchup.
For the third week in a row, Swift has been dealing with a groin injury that has forced him to miss practices during the week. However, he has been dominant when on the field. Keep an eye on his status throughout the rest of the week. If he is out for any reason, rookie Kyle Monangai would be an incredible plug-and-play value option at $4,600 on DraftKings.
Not only is Swift questionable, but the entire Bears receiving core is also questionable with various injuries. Luckily this is a 1pm ET start, so we will get all news before lineups lock.
Rome Odunze is coming off his second 100+ receiving yard game of the season last week, catching seven passes for 114 yards on 10 targets. He continues to lead the Bears in every receiving statistic, including a 26% target share. Odunze has upside because he has yet to have a touchdown since Week 4. What a great matchup to get Odunze back on track against the Bengals secondary.
Currently leading the slate in projected ownership is Bengals’ star wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase. It is preferred that Joe Flacco be his quarterback, but Jake Browning isn’t that bad of a second option if Flacco is out, especially against a Bears’ defense that ranks 29th in dropback success rate.
Chase has been peppered with targets over the last two games. He has an absurd 54% target share over the last two weeks with 28 catches on 42 targets. Even over the last four weeks, Chase has double-digit catches in three of those games and is averaging 29.8 DraftKings points per game during that time. He leads the slate with a 32.9% optimal lineup rate and is an elite play in all formats this week.
With both defenses struggling, this game has the potential to be a massive shootout.
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Pictured: Rashee Rice
Photo Credit: Imagn
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