This piece will identify some of my favorite NFL DFS stacks of the weekend. Be sure to use our Stacking Tool within our Player Models to find the highest projected stacks, the stacks that figure to be chalky, and more. Our Correlation Dashboard is also an excellent resource for finding hidden edges in stacking positions and games.
You can also plug these stacks into our Lineup Builder to hand-build the rest of it, or you can optimize it with our projections. And if you like to create multiple lineups, our Lineup Optimizer allows you to effortlessly create up to 300 lineups.
The Lineup Optimizer has endless customization opportunities.
Oh yeah! And our SimLabs Lineup Generator gives you the ability to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation.
You can check out our in-depth SimLabs guide here.
Week 7 NFL DFS Stacks and Picks
Patrick Mahomes + Xavier Worthy + Rashee Rice + Michael Mayer
- Patrick Mahomes ($7,000 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel)
- Xavier Worthy ($6,100 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel)
- Rashee Rice ($5,600 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel)
- Michael Mayer ($3,500 DraftKings, $5,100 FanDuel)
Winning three of their last four games, it is safe to say the Kansas City Chiefs are back. After a relatively easy victory against the Detroit Lions last week, the Chiefs are double-digit home favorites against the Las Vegas Raiders this week. The Chiefs have the highest implied team total on the slate at 28.5 points.
One of the biggest reasons for the Chiefs’ success recently is quarterback Patrick Mahomes. In his last three games, Mahomes has 10 total touchdowns (eight passing and two rushing) with only one interception. During that stretch, he has thrown for 281.7 yards and averaged 29.8 DraftKings points per game. In fact, Mahomes leads all quarterbacks this season in fantasy points per game.
Mahomes has been incredible and will now get one of his favorite targets from last season in Rashee Rice. After a six-game suspension, Rice is expected to hit the ground running. With that news, it is not surprising that Rice is drawing a slate-high ownership projection at his $5,600 price tag on DraftKings.
Before his injury in Week 4 last season, Rice was getting peppered by Mahomes, leading the team with a 34% target share. That was a long time ago, but the ceiling potential is massive in this rejuvenated Chiefs’ offense. Especially in this favorable matchup against the Raiders, it is difficult not to get exposure to Rice this week. He will be one of the first clicks in cash-game contests and is a strong tournament option.
One of the best leverage plays on the slate is Xavier Worthy. Over the last three weeks since returning from a shoulder injury, Worthy has recorded double-digit DraftKings points in each game with a team-high 21% target share. Pairing Worthy and Rice will not be a popular duo with other more intriguing games on the slate, but the Chiefs have a great opportunity to put up 30+ points in this spot.
The Chiefs offense is averaging 25.8 points per game and ranks fourth in offense EPA per play. The Raiders, who are 2-4 this season, have allowed 40+ points in two of their last four games against the Indianapolis Colts and Washington Commanders. Playing at home and getting a star wide receiver back from suspension, expect the Chiefs to light up the scoreboard this week.
The Raiders offense looks a shell of itself seven weeks into the season. Star tight end Brock Bowers is in danger of missing his third straight game after missing practice yesterday. That will open the door for Michael Mayer, who returned last week from his own injury. Mayer ran a route on 80% of dropbacks and led the team with a 32% target share. He hauled in five receptions for 50 yards and a touchdown.
Raiders’ leading wide receiver Jakobi Meyers also did not practice yesterday and may not play this week. Whether it is Meyers’ knee injury or being a highly requested trade target, it would not be surprising if Meyer was the leading receiver for the second straight week. Priced at $3,500 on DraftKings and $5,100 on FanDuel, Meyer is one of the best values on the slate if Bowers and Meyers do not play.
The Raiders may not put up much of a fight this week, but the Chiefs have no problem with running up the score. This is not the Philadelphia Eagles who will sit on the ball the entire fourth quarter. Mahomes also has talked about how much he gets up for games against Raiders’ defensive end Maxx Crosby. Other than Rashee Rice, the ownership for this game stack is projected lower than the potential ceiling of it.
Don’t forget to check out our SimLabs Lineup Generator to create advanced DFS lineups using the power of simulation:
Daniel Jones + Jonathan Taylor + Tyler Warren + Quentin Johnston
- Daniel Jones ($6,000 DraftKings, $7,500 FanDuel)
- Jonathan Taylor ($8,800 DraftKings, $10,000 FanDuel)
- Tyler Warren ($5,200 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel)
- Quentin Johnston ($5,900 DraftKings, $7,200 FanDuel)
Many DFS gamers will target the Washington Commanders and Dallas Cowboys game that has a slate-high 54.5-point total. However, with Deebo Samuel and Terry McLaurin‘s status in doubt, Jayden Daniels still not looking comfortable from his knee injury, and CeeDee Lamb returning from injury, the prices and question marks are not that intriguing and make a perfect fade spot in tournaments.
Instead of that highly owned game, target this AFC matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and Los Angeles Chargers. This game has the second-highest total on the slate at 48.5 points. The Chargers are 1.5-point home favorites, with both teams having a combined record of 9-3. Despite the Chargers being favored, the Colts are the team to prioritize due to their concentrated fantasy points.
Daniel Jones continues to play at an elite level and remains reasonably priced at $6,000 on DraftKings and $7,500 on FanDuel. Jones has averaged over 20 DraftKings points per game with eight passing touchdowns, four rushing touchdowns, and only three interceptions. He has a career-best 71.7% completion percentage, which ranks third among quarterbacks this season.
The Chargers defense ranks eighth in EPA per play but has had more trouble defending the run than the pass. They are allowing 124.2 rushing yards per game, which ranks 21st in the league, compared to 177.5 passing yards per game, which ranks sixth-best. That should be perfect for this Colts offense that prefers to pound the rock with Jones’ designed runs and a heavy dose of Jonathan Taylor.
Taylor leads the league with 603 rushing yards and eight touchdowns. He is second to Christian McCaffrey in DraftKings points per game due to McCaffrey’s insane passing role in the 49ers offense. However, Taylor is still involved in the Colts’ passing attack with at least four targets in each of the past four games, while catching all but one pass. During that four-game stretch, Taylor has erupted for all seven of his rushing touchdowns while averaging 27.2 DraftKings points per game.
Taylor is the highest-priced player on both sites this week at $8,800 on DraftKings and hitting five figures on FanDuel at $10,000. Currently leading the league in OPOY (offensive player of the year) odds, Taylor has been a monster for the 6-1 Colts this season. He has two games with three rushing touchdowns and should have an incredible opportunity at fantasy points in this run-friendly matchup against the Chargers.
Rookie tight end Tyler Warren has emerged to be Jones’ #1 option. Warren leads the Colts with a 23% target share and is coming off a season-high 30% target share last week. He is averaging the second-most DraftKings points per game and target share among tight ends this season. Warren has recorded a touchdown in back-to-back games and leads all tight ends on this slate with a 12.1% optimal lineup rate in our NFL Sims. His price tag still feels a little too cheap for his current role.
Wide receiver Josh Downs is in the concussion protocol and has yet to practice this week. That would likely open up more targets for Warren and potentially Taylor in the short passing game where Downs thrived for the Colts. Michael Pittman Jr. is also a strong play in all formats, but it is preferred to prioritize Taylor and Warren in this matchup and gather nearly all of the Colts’ fantasy production.
The problem when targeting a bringback for the Chargers is wide receiver Quentin Johnston is back this week after missing last game due to injury. Ladd McConkey had his first 100-yard game of the season with Johnston sidelined last week. He caught seven of his nine targets for 100 yards and a touchdown. Despite that, Johnston still leads the team with 377 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
After an incredible start to the season, veteran Keenan Allen has taken a backseat to Johnston and McConkey in the last three weeks. It is between Johnston and McConkey for the best bringback and it is a true toss-up. Take your favorite among these two players but personally, despite McConkey winning me $50K+ last week in DraftKings contests, I am going to Johnston, who has a 12.3 ADOT (average depth of target) and can hit on a few big plays from Justin Herbert.
Prioritize the Colts rushing attack and short passing game and bring it back with the big plays of Quentin Johnston. This AFC matchup in the dome should be a fantasy bonanza for both offenses.
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Pictured: Patrick Mahomes
Photo Credit: Imagn
